Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (10/9/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/1/8/7)-(10/9/1/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/1/8/7)-(10/9/1/8/7)-(10/9/1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/1/8/7)-(8/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/1/8/7)-(8/5/2/3)-(2/6/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-2   WIN (8/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/2/3)-(2/6/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2/3)-(2/6/4/8)-(4/6/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-3   WIN (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/8)-(4/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/8)-(4/6/5/3)-(8/7/9/12/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(8/7/9/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(8/7/9/12/4)-(9/1/8/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (8/7/9/12/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/12/4)-(8/7/9/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/12/4)-(8/7/9/12/4)-(8/7/9/12/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/9/12/4)-(9/1/8/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/12/4)-(9/1/8/4/5)-(1/8/7/3/12) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-6   WIN (9/1/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/4/5)-(9/1/8/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/4/5)-(9/1/8/4/5)-(9/1/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/8/4/5)-(1/8/7/3/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8/4/5)-(1/8/7/3/12)-(12/11/1/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-7   WIN (1/8/7/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/3/12)-(1/8/7/3/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/3/12)-(1/8/7/3/12)-(1/8/7/3/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/7/3/12)-(12/11/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/3/12)-(12/11/1/5)-(6/8/7/10/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-8   WIN (12/11/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/11/1/5)-(12/11/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/11/1/5)-(12/11/1/5)-(12/11/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/11/1/5)-(6/8/7/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (6/8/7/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/10/4)-(6/8/7/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/10/4)-(6/8/7/10/4)-(6/8/7/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT OIL Jun08 Mar15 Feb11 Jan19 Dec19 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 118 5.00 7% 13.40    
BUCK'S GLORY Jul14 Jun15 Jun01 May11 Apr22 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 115 4.50    
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 May07 Apr19 (richard russell )STOKES A 120 15.00    
C. F. CONGRESS Jul08 Jun15 May10 Apr19 Mar24 (west henry)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 20.00    
COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Jul07 Jun15 Jun02 May04 Apr08 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
CHIEF KIMOSABI Jul13 Jun15 Apr14 Feb10 Jan08 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
PRINCE OF GLORY Mar04 Feb12 Feb03 Jan08 Dec09 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALLIGATOR CRAWL Jun18 May15 May06 Dec22 Nov05 (gomez a)BURNINGHAM J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
CINCO RICHIE Jul03 Jun10 May28 Apr22 Feb26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
10  BELLO CREEDO Jul08 Jun12 May20 Apr26 Mar11 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
EVD-2   07/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY UNCLE BILLY Jul15 May11 Apr21 Feb17   (gelner sco)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 10.00    
KAT'S SOLDIER Jun22 Jun01 May06 Apr19 Jan25 (bernard john)STOKES A 120 3.00 10% 8.90    
VERDUNVILLE Jul14 Jun24 Feb10 Dec28 Oct12 (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS MAN ZONG Jul14 Jun30 May18 Apr19 Feb22 (dison m)POMPELL L 120 4.00    
SHOETRICK Jul15 Jun08 May11 Apr21 Jan19 (brinkman bret)VARGAS P 123 5.00 33% 2.00    
COLE'S SENSATION Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May13 Feb09 (delahoussa)ALBERT S 115 12.00    
POWER MASTER Jun15 May25       (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
LOST GOLD Jul15 Jun24 May07 Apr23 Mar13 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
EVD-3   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL MISCHIEF         (noel dane)ALBERT S 113 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAULINE REVERE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SUNNY SASSICAIA Jun17         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 115 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by SASSICAIA out of FORTYSUNFLOWERS by FORTY WON)
FLASHY LOVER Jul13 Mar25 Feb23     (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00    
  (by ZONG out of JUST MATTIE by PURGE)
JOSIE'S PRIORITY Jun30 Jun08 May12 Apr14 Mar25 (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 3.50 8% 11.10    
  (by APRIORITY out of EQUESTRIAN JANET by BRAHMS)
INGLIS Jul15 Jun30       (patt jr)STOKES A 120 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of TUJUACAGOFAST by BWANA CHARLIE)
PRINCE COSMO Jun24 Jun02 May13 Nov18 Sep17 (wilson shan)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of COSMIC QUEEN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  LOVELY SASSICAIA         (thomas lee)BARRERA J 113 15.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of LOVELY R R by CARSON CITY)
KNOT THE ONE Jun02 Apr28 Feb20 Jul16 Jun05 (noel dane)VARGAS P 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of WEDDING JITTERS by BROKEN VOW)
 
EVD-4   07/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORGED IN STEEL Jun15 May19 Apr26 Mar04 Dec22 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 2.50    
TIME TO MOVE Jul07 Jun09 Apr13 Feb18 Jan18 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 123 15.00    
TALK TO TOKEY Jun29 May25 Apr26 Mar12 Feb28 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 10% 8.90    
BONUS APPRECIATION Jul15 Jun17 May06 Apr14 Mar22 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
QUARTER RAT Jul07 Jun10 May08 Apr14 Mar15 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
GOLDEN QUALITY Jul13 May27 Jan12 Dec27 Nov30 (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 123 2.00 19% 4.30    
MICHAEL'S BAD BOY Jun29 Jun01 May19 Feb18 Jan21 (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 123 8.00    
 
EVD-5   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTYPROSPECT Apr26         (delahoussaye bre)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
GOTTEMINABIND Jul01 May30 May14 Apr22 Mar23 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 15.00    
ALL AMERICAN PAT Jun24 Jun09 May03 Apr12 Mar16 (sam w)STOKES A 118 15.00    
T J'S SUNSHINE Dec27 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct26 (zenon charle)MAGNON H 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CUSTOMIZED TWIN Jun24 Apr29 Mar23 Feb26   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 2.50    
STOP SHOP N DROP Jul01 Jun10 May11 Apr12 Feb24 (castille ricke)THORNTON G 123 6.00    
TALENTS HOT DEAL Jul08 Jun10 May20 Mar23 Feb24 (blanchet chris)FUSILIER C 123 10.00 17% 4.90    
JUST A WIN Jul06 May27 May03 Apr15 Feb01 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 4.00 50% 1.00    
ROSIE SPRIT Jun10 May20 Apr15 Mar03 Jan13 (david b)BARRERA J 113 15.00 5% 18.50    
10  MISS E. FU Jun10 Jan13 Jan01     (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 123 12.00    
11  CRYPTO BRAVE Jul08 Jun24 May27 Apr22 Mar08 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00    
12  SABERFIGHT Jul08 Jun10 Jun01 May11 Apr26 (averett ronni)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DORGENOIS Jun26 May13 Apr19 Mar18 Dec22 (delany sarah)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
SCR  JUST ANOTHER WIN Jul08 May19 Apr27 Feb12 Jan14 (woodley j)POMPELL L 123 12.00    
 
EVD-6   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMIC SUN         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of LADY OF THE HOUSE by CLUBHOUSE RIDE)
BOBBY BOY Jul08 Jun03       (noel dane)VARGAS P 115 20.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of NO FUN by DENMAN)
STRONG DIAMOND Jul04 Jun15       (escobar a)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SORENSTAM by SLEWDLEDO)
YAKETY YAK         (jeansonne justin)ROSIER R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of OUR MILLIE by HALF OURS)
JUST ASK WATTS         (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of JUST ASK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
GONE ELVIS Jul04         (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 118 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
RITE ON SAM         (noel dane)ALBERT S 113 3.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUEEYESINTHEREIN by MAGNA GRADUATE)
DA RINGO Jun23 May11       (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PLEASE EXPLAIN by CURLIN)
MAX IS G MONEY Jul04         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by FROSTED out of CHEETAH by FRANKEL)
 
EVD-7   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR ELVIN Jun29 Jun09 May10 Apr14 Mar15 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Jul13 Jun09 May10 Apr26 Mar16 (terre david)ROSIER R 123 3.50    
JANET'S DEVIL Jun29 Jun10 May20 Feb16 Dec17 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 118 12.00 10% 8.60    
NOCOMET Jun30 Jun08 May26 Mar02 Jul14 (senegal dalto)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
SCR  SIR POKERFACE Jul07 May26 Mar16 Mar02 Jun01 (peterson j)ALBERT S 118 20.00    
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 May22 May10 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 123 6.00    
YOUR TIME'S COMING Jul15 Jun17 May20 Dec17 Oct06 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 15.00 11% 7.80    
MIZSPELT Jun10 May11 Apr08 Mar08 Feb15 (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 17% 5.00    
THE THREE KS Apr12 Mar26 Feb21 Jan28 Dec08 (williams m)MELANCON G 123 15.00    
10  GENERAL EISENHOWER Jul13 Jun17 Jun01 May10 Apr26 (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
11  BAQUERO'S BIND Jul07 Jun09 Apr26 Feb25 Feb16 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 20.00    
12  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Jul13 Jun09 May26 Apr12 Feb16 (averett ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 10.00 10% 9.50    
 
EVD-8   07/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY RUNNER Jun09 May11 Apr15 Mar18 Feb23 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 17% 5.00    
GOLD PUNCH May06 Apr21 Feb11 Dec15 Nov24 (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 118 12.00    
SCR  LUCAS ZIP IT Jul01 May11 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 (journet al)ALBERT S 113 20.00    
SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Jun17 May06 Apr20 Feb25 Jan26 (delany sarah)MAGNON H 118 2.50    
PRADO'S PRIORITY May08 Feb21 Feb04 Jan12 Dec17 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 118 15.00 16% 5.50    
BINDING AGREEMENT Jul15 Jun03 May26 Apr20 Mar25 (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
SCR  GEORGE ALLEN Mar25 Mar01 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00    
SCR  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. May19 Apr19 Feb25 Feb16 Jan28 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 118 4.00    
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Jun16 May06 Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 15.00    
SCR  HAIL STATE Jun30 May20 Mar25 Jan27 Dec10 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 20.00    
11  HOLY BAYOU Jun15 May11 Apr12 Mar11 Feb18 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 115 6.00 18% 4.70    
12  ALTERANA Jun09 May15 Feb09 Jan15 Dec10 (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00 23% 3.30    
 
EVD-9   07/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUVY'S BANDIT Jul14 Jun23       (averett ronn)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
ADDISONS WARRIOR May22 Dec15 Oct22 Sep13   (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 8.00    
MINE YOUR BIZ Jun30 May26 Mar22 Mar12 Mar01 (peterson j)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
SMOOTH CUSTOM May13 Jan21 Nov02 Oct07 Mar17 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
FLASH OF RAIN Jul07 Apr08 Oct26 Aug12 Jul29 (charles jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
RUNAWAY JIM Jun30 Jun01 Apr27 Apr13 Mar10 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
STRAY CAT STRUT Jul14 May05       (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 17% 4.70    
MEAN MEISTER Jun23 May25 Apr29 Apr13   (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
CHELSEA'S GLORY Apr20 Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 123 5.00    
10  OAK HILL MO Jan16 Jan04 Oct28 Oct19   (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.