Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (6/1/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/10/5/7)-(6/1/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/10/5/7)-(6/1/10/5/7)-(6/1/10/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/10/5/7)-(7/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/10/5/7)-(7/3/5/2)-(4/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-2   WIN (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/2)-(4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/2)-(4/1/7)-(3/7/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(3/7/4/6)-(4/9/10/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/6)-(4/9/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/6)-(4/9/10/1)-(8/5/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-5   WIN (4/9/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/10/1)-(4/9/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/10/1)-(4/9/10/1)-(4/9/10/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/10/1)-(8/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/10/1)-(8/5/6/3)-(3/7/2/9/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-6   WIN (8/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/3)-(8/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/3)-(8/5/6/3)-(8/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/6/3)-(3/7/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/3)-(3/7/2/9/4)-(3/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3/7/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/9/4)-(3/7/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/9/4)-(3/7/2/9/4)-(3/7/2/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/2/9/4)-(3/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/9/4)-(3/7/6)-(2/11/6/5/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-8   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(2/11/6/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/11/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/6/5/7)-(2/11/6/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/6/5/7)-(2/11/6/5/7)-(2/11/6/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY EDDIE A Jun29 Jun15 May25 May03 Feb28 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 115 4.00 17% 4.70    
NEPHI Jun23 Jun10 May20 May11 Apr07 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 3.50    
ANGOLA VACATION Jun22 Jun01 May10 Feb10 Jan25 (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
SPICE OF MY LIFE Jun23 May10       (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 118 12.00    
LORD HELP ME Jun29 May25 May10 Mar26 Mar12 (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
FLYING CAROLINA Jul04 Jun23 May19 Mar19   (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
BOSS MAN ZONG Jun30 May18 Apr19 Feb22 Jan28 (dison ma)STOKES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
FREE FALLING NATE Jun23 May25 Apr27 Jul10   (briley lonnie)STOKES J 118 5.00    
LAMONT Jun30 Jun08 Oct19 Aug26 Aug06 (zeno benja)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
10  BUCK'S GLORY Jun15 Jun01 May11 Apr22 Mar22 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 8.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  RED OCTOBER Jul13 May20 Apr28 Mar25 Mar08 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
SCR  LOST GOLD Jun24 May07 Apr23 Mar13 Feb19 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
SCR  WHISKEY RED Jun24 May13       (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00    
 
EVD-2   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLANS WARRIOR Jun08 Apr21 Feb15 Dec02 Jul07 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 120 8.00    
TAPIT'S LADY Jun29 May19 May13 Apr23 Apr08 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
SIMPLE PLEASURE Jun18 Jun03 May05 Apr23 Apr14 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  DEL MAR DRAMA Jun23 May11 Apr15 Feb17 Feb05 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 2.00    
J Z'S FIRST Jun09 Nov18 Oct27 Aug03 Jul20 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
GEORGIA DAWN Jun08 May18 Apr28 Feb04 Jan25 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
HERE COMES LOVIE Jun09 Apr13 Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 26% 2.90    
BEYOND D'ORO Jun29 May27 May18 Apr12 Jan07 (simon lest)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00    
LAKE RUNNER Jun09 May27 May05 Apr21 Mar05 (richards cor)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
 
EVD-3   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN PROPOSAL Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr28 Jan14 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
MSCHITCHATTOUR Jun16 May26 Apr15 Feb15 Jan28 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 15.00    
BARBIE WARS Jun16 Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 Jan09 (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 123 3.50    
COINMAKER Jun16 Jun02 May13 Apr28 May27 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
IRON BANNER Jun16 May11 Apr22 Dec23 Dec03 (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
SCR  GURKHA GOLD (IRE) Jul06 May13 Apr21 Feb24 Jan13 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 123 4.50    
MADISON'S SCREEN Jun29 May25 Apr21 Mar16 Feb20 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
EVD-4   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REQUITE THE EFFORT Jun16 May27 May12 Apr15 Feb15 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 6.00    
  (by REQUITE out of MIZZENWAY by MIZZEN MAST)
NICELY UNIFIED May27 Dec02 Nov05     (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of NICE NUMBER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
TONI'S M Jun16 May19 May05 Apr15   (landry ray)STOKES J 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TONI'S DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
STORMY VALENTINE         (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50 6% 15.40    
  (by EL DEAL out of STORMY ADVENTURE by DEPUTY STORM)
TOP CON Jun16         (meche shane)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of TOP FIGURE by BIG TOP CAT)
SANDY AUSTIN         (giangrosso)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 8.00 6% 15.40    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of CIRCLE IN THE SAND by HAT TRICK (JPN))
CAROLINA JACY         (landry r)THORNTON G 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of THOSE LION EYES by LION HEART)
 
EVD-5   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR SONG Jun16 Oct05 Aug24 Jul30 Jul14 (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT PERIGEE Jun19 May29 May07 Jan01 Dec19 (richards c)MARQUEZ L 115 20.00    
MUCHO MARVIN Jun16 May11 Apr21 Mar15 Mar01 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 3.00    
DOUBLE BARREL MAN Jun09 May11 Nov30 Oct13 Aug06 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  MR. PRIORITY Jun03 May22 May07 Apr21 Mar15 (husak j)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
SCR  ANALYZER Jul04 Jun18 Feb03 Jan15 Jan06 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
BUNKIE'S SONG Jun24 Jun10 May18 Apr21 Apr13 (landry ray)STOKES J 115 4.00    
GRAND PRADO May26 Apr15 Feb16 Dec28 Dec14 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00    
CURTIN'S UP Jun24 Jun01 Apr29 Apr15 Feb16 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 11% 7.80    
10  TRIPPER JOHN Jun18 May28 May06 Jan20 Dec27 (broussard jervo)MCMAHON J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-6   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKSKIN JERRY         (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BUCKSKIN DOLL by DIXIE UNION)
MISS JAN         (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 4.00    
  (by DAAHER out of VAL'S PAL by RUN PRODUCTION)
BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Jun16         (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
SCR  ZOSIAS SHIP Jun16         (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ZOSIA by MACHO UNO)
REAL DEAL RYAN         (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by ONE LINER out of SLAMMING by GRAND SLAM)
DARK SKYER         (richards coral)THORNTON G 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELIEVEINSOMETHING by ETBAUER)
DIAMOND DEAL         (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 5.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of RANSOM RED by RED ROCKS (IRE))
EMILYHASHERTURN Jun16         (jeansonne justin)ROSIER R 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by DAAHER out of DEVERELL by ARCH)
 
EVD-7   07/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE DEE KAY Jun15 Jun02 May05 Apr14 Mar22 (henry eric)MCMAHON J 116 12.00    
SNIVELING Jun17 Jun02 May25 May03 Apr08 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 9% 10.50    
MANGELSEN Mar16 Mar04 Jan20 Aug06 Jul09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50 34% 2.00    
THUNDERSHOOK Jun24 Jun05 May11 Apr16 Apr07 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEACOCK KITTEN Jul01 May25 Apr12 Feb24 Jan07 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
GET THEM JUSTIN Jun15 May19 May03 Feb25 Feb03 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 5.00    
PARROT HEAD Jul02 Jun23 Jun15 May29 Apr15 (cravens ronni)VARGAS P 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
ONE TIME GEM May13 May03 Feb11 Jan15 Aug19 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 116 15.00    
WHEN'S TEE TIME Jun17 Sep27 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 8% 11.40    
10  DREWPOWER Jun05 Mar03 Jan28 Dec27 Nov26 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
 
EVD-8   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWMAZING Mar01 Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 Nov16 (briley lonnie)STOKES J 120 4.50    
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Jun09 May08 Apr29 Apr14 Mar25 (husak gary )MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00    
SCOOTERIA Mar26 Feb17       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
SONO May22 Apr28 Mar23 Feb24 Feb05 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 115 3.50    
SCR  HOLIDAY DIAMOND May20 Mar01 Feb11 Jan20 Jan05 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 115 12.00    
MOR BIG LEE Mar25 Mar10 Feb22 Feb04 Jan12 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAMBOURINE STAR Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
EVD-9   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLITTER STORM Jun22 May25 May06 Apr19 Feb02 (dison phil)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 12.00    
SACRED NATION Jun23 May25 May05 Jan28 Aug18 (woodley car)MELANCON JANSEN 115 3.00 34% 1.90    
ASTERN BANKER Jun09 May20 May03 Apr20 Feb20 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 123 6.00    
VERDUNVILLE Jun24 Feb10 Dec28 Oct12 Aug26 (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00    
ASTROLOGY WONOWON Jun29 Jun15 May25 May10 Mar01 (granger randall)STOKES A 115 3.50 8% 11.50    
MIDNIGHT CROWN Jun29 Jun08 May18 May05 Mar02 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.50 11% 8.20    
COLE'S SENSATION Jun23 Jun02 May13 Feb09 Jan13 (delahoussa)ALBERT S 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE CHAN Jun23 Jun10 May25 May10 Apr02 (simon leste)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
TRUVY'S BANDIT Jun23         (averett)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 12.00    
10  STRAY CAT STRUT May05         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00    
11  CHILI RED Jun09 May19 Mar22 Feb17 Nov09 (terre david)BARRERA J 113 8.00 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.