Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6/4)-(1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(1/4)-(6/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/3/4)-(5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(5/4/2)-(4/7/13) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/7/13) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/7/13)-(10/5/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/7/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/13)-(4/7/13) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/13)-(4/7/13)-(4/7/13) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/13)-(10/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/13)-(10/5/8/2)-(2/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (10/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/8/2)-(10/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/8/2)-(10/5/8/2)-(10/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/8/2)-(2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Jun14 Jun08 May04 Mar30 Mar16 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 10% 9.00    
2  IGGY BIGS Dec18 Nov27 Oct22 Sep06 Aug09 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
3  MISS MELODY Jun21 Mar06 Feb17 Sep11 Jul30 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  BEG BORROW N STEAL Jun21 Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (block chris)COLON H 122 3.50    
5  KITTY MACLEAN Jun21 May02 Mar25 Aug21 Jul30 (granitz ant)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00    
6  CRYSTAL SNOW Jun14 Jun08 May14 Apr20 Mar30 (cristel j)FELIX E 122 5.00    
 
HAW-2   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE Jun11 Dec07 Nov16     (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 117 3.50    
2  MAGNA MASSA Jun22 May27 May03 Apr02 Mar09 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 6.00    
3  MYSWEETANNALYZE Jun07         (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 117 6.00    
4  R KATIEBUG Jun07         (boyce michele)FELIX E 117 4.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  MISS KITTY PIE Jun06 May16 Nov27 Oct30 Oct09 (randazzo frank)DIEGO JAVIER 122 12.00    
6  SPECIALIZIN Jun22 Apr02 Jun23     (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 117 2.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  BELPERRON Dec08 Nov19 Oct23 Aug07 Jul16 (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 4.00    
 
HAW-3   07/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRANCIPANTS Jun18 Jun04 May18 Apr27 Apr02 (witthauer jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  CELESTIAL SPIN Jun04 May18 Apr27 Jan20 Dec31 (cristel j)FELIX E 122 20.00    
3  TIMELESS GLORY Jun25 Jun11 Apr26 Apr14 Mar12 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
4  ON A TOUR Jun11 May04 Mar26 Feb15 Feb06 (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
5  NO NANNETTE NO Jun18 Jun04 May04 Apr16 Dec01 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
SCR  COMMAND POINT Jun18 Jun04 May18 Mar08 Feb01 (block chris)MOJICA O 124 1.00    
SCR  ZANDREA'S Jun18 Jun04 Apr09 Dec11 Nov13 (rodriguez e)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 20.00    
SCR  ROMANTIC ATTACK Jun18 May31 Nov25 Oct23 Oct02 (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
 
HAW-4   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GHOST BIKE Jun07 May02 Mar09 Dec23 Oct02 (roussel j)FELIX E 119 3.00    
2  ARMAVIR May28 May18       (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00    
3  GOLD SMOKE Jun08 May18 May04 Apr09 Mar26 (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 8.00 25% 3.10    
4  SOHAN Apr25         (schlenk j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00 19% 4.30    
5  ICE VORTEX Jun07 May21 Sep25 Aug26   (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
6  LARRY THE POET Jun15 May28       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 0.80 32% 2.10    
7  CRUISING ALTITUDE Jun07 Aug09 Jul23     (bahena ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 114 20.00    
 
HAW-5   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Jun07 May28 Apr30 Apr09 Mar23 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50    
2  SAMARITA Jun11 May31 May07 Apr23 Apr06 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
3  APRIL'S GEM Jun11 May25 May07 Apr02 Mar19 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
4  GO STORMIN GIRL Jun22 Jun11 May25 May02 Apr06 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
5  FIRST KITTEN Jun11 May31 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
SCR  FIRST SQUADRON Jun11 May25 May11 Apr02 Mar23 (cook brian)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
7  ORDAINED KISS Jun22 Oct09 Sep13 Aug02 Jun10 (bahena ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
 
HAW-6   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KINGSBURY DREAM Jun21 Jun01 Nov25 Nov13 Oct08 (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
SCR  CAT ROYALE Jun18 May31 May11 Apr20 Dec30 (boyce michele)FELIX E 117 12.00    
SCR  I'M BOX OFFICE Jun22 Aug18 Jul13     (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00    
4  JOURNEYIST Jun21 Jun01 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (boyce michele)COLON H 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  TAPERINEA Jun21 May29 Mar11 Feb23 Jan14 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
SCR  WANDA STRONG Jun21 May31 May18 Dec09 Nov25 (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00    
7  HARVEY'S PRINCESS May10 Oct01 Aug25 Jul20 Jun09 (west w)MOJICA O 122 12.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  TAR HEEL GIRL Jun08 Apr23 Mar16 Jan22   (block chris)TAVARES JAVIER 117 5.00    
9  SHE'S WANDAFUL Jun21 Jun08 Dec31 Dec09 Nov13 (miller r)EMIGH A 122 12.00    
10  DIALED INNA Jun01 May07 Apr13 Mar24 Mar09 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
SCR  STYLE Jul05 Jun01 Apr21 Feb12 Jan28 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 4.50    
SCR  OCELIA Jun06 Apr19 Nov23 Nov01 Oct18 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
13  BERTRADA Jun11 May25 May07 Apr13 Mar17 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MALIGATOR Jun25 Jun11 May21 Sep23 Aug24 (reid r)COLON H 122 15.00    
2  LUCKY SHOT Jun04 May14 May07 Mar19 Dec31 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIMEHASCOME Jun21 Jun04 May25 May04 Apr27 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 4.00    
SCR  BLAZEN ROAD Jun20 May27 Apr06 Nov04 Oct14 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
5  WEST WARPATH Jun07 May18 Apr30 Mar16 Feb02 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Jun14 May18 Apr23 Apr02 Mar23 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
7  FULL MAGAZINE Jun24 Jun06 May23 May09 Jul23 (essenpreis e)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
8  TRY TRY AGAIN Jun21 Jun04 May25 Apr23 Mar30 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
9  LONESTAR CHROME Dec13 Dec01 Nov08 Oct24 Oct02 (castro isidro)REYES ANGEL 122 30.00    
10  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Jun21 Jun04 May11 Apr23 Mar30 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
11  PAYSTER Jun22 Dec14 Dec06 Nov23 Nov07 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
 
HAW-8   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOOTDADDY JUSTICE Apr18 Feb11 Jan19 Dec17 Dec03 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
2  GUN RUSH Jun21 May31 May14 Apr27 Apr01 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.80 30% 2.30    
3  GLOBAL EMPIRE Jun29 Jun08 May14 Apr27 Apr06 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00    
SCR  FLYING SAMURAI Jun22 Jun04 Nov02 Sep29 Aug29 (ryan a)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
5  JEFF THE LION Jun21 May18 Apr20 Mar30 Nov27 (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  GITA'S LAD Jun01 May11 Mar30 Dec18 Dec11 (young terry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50    
7  SEMINOLE BEACH Jun13 Jun01 May09 Apr18 Mar23 (randazzo frank)DIEGO JAVIER 122 20.00    
8  FIRST MASAMUNE Jun21 Jun01 Apr23 Mar30 Mar16 (ramirez c)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 17% 4.80    
9  PINEDALE Jun21 Jun01 May14 Apr23 Mar30 (cristel j)FELIX E 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.