Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/3/6/1)-(3/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-5   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/1)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/1)-(3/1/6)-(7/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(7/6/1)-(2/6/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(2/6/7/5)-(9/12/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/5)-(9/12/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/5)-(9/12/4/1)-(9/3/8/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-9   WIN (9/12/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/12/4/1)-(9/12/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/12/4/1)-(9/12/4/1)-(9/12/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/12/4/1)-(9/3/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/12/4/1)-(9/3/8/1)-(2/5/4/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRM-10   WIN (9/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/8/1)-(9/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/8/1)-(9/3/8/1)-(9/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/8/1)-(2/5/4/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRM-11   WIN (2/5/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/8/6)-(2/5/4/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/8/6)-(2/5/4/8/6)-(2/5/4/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   07/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($45.864K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT STORMIN Jun23 May12 Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  BUG A BOO Jun12 May19 Oct02 Sep25 Sep12 (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 122 8.00    
3  MY HAPPINESS Jun02 Oct01 Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 (hicklin christin)BIRZER E 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  SASSY AIN'T I Jun18 May28 Oct01 Sep26 Sep05 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAYLEYWICK Jun18 May19 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 (foley sea)DE CRUZ 122 3.50    
6  REBEL RISING Jun18 May22 Sep26 Aug29 Aug12 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 2.50    
 
PRM-5   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN TOURIST         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00 11% 8.10    
  (by TOURIST out of GO WEST MARIE by WESTERN FAME)
2  LIBERTY'S HAULER May13 Dec26 Oct07     (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of AUGUST SNOW by TAPIT)
3  CONTRABANDISTA Jun23 May27 May12 Mar24 Feb20 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.00 16% 5.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HARLAN'S ROMANCE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  MEET GEORGE JETSON Jun19 May29 Oct22 Sep29 Aug12 (hemba brad)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
  (by ORB out of PLEASE BE DISCREET by DISCREET CAT)
5  BRIARTOWN Jun18 May28 Apr29 Apr23 Mar25 (richard ch)ERAMIA E 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of SISTER PIPPA by DIXIE UNION)
6  RUNHAPPY D'ORO         (williams alan)CORBETT W 118 5.00 12% 7.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HOT WATER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CODE ONE Jun23 May27 May12 Apr01 Feb26 (martinez )DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
8  UXMAL Jun09 May20 May12 Feb18 Jan20 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 118 4.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BONITA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
PRM-6   07/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Distaff Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE ORCHID Mar12 Feb04 Jan07 Nov19 Oct23 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
2  BIG BAD DIVA Jun26 Jun09 Mar25 Mar05 Jan13 (martin e)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of GIANTS DIVA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  COASTAL CHARM Jun15 Apr29 Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MALIBU BREEZE by MALIBU MOON)
4  BUTTERBEAN Jun09 May19 Apr29 Mar17 Jul23 (mcpeek kenneth )CORBETT W 120 2.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
5  MISSYINTOMISCHIEF Jun09 Nov15 Oct14 Sep30 Aug27 (von kelly)TOHILL S 120 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STELLALUCE by CUVEE)
6  JUBELLA Jun11 Apr28 Apr07 Feb12 Dec09 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 6.00 10% 9.30    
  (by MINESHAFT out of PRETTY VALENTINE by MACHO UNO)
 
PRM-7   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Sprint Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OIL MONEY Jun11 Mar26 Feb26 Jul08 Jun10 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
  (by J P'S GUSTO out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  DEAN'S LIST May29 Mar26 Feb20 Jan15 May14 (ashford)GONCALVES R 126 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MILDLY OFFENSIVE by SHARP HUMOR)
3  ULTIMATE Jun09 May06 Apr23 Apr01 Mar12 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 120 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TREASURE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  JOE FRAZIER Jun10 May06 Apr15 Mar24 Sep19 (martin e)TOHILL S 120 12.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of THIRD DAWN by SKY MESA)
5  OUR LAST CHANCE Jun24 Jun10 May21 Oct01 Sep05 (anderson )DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ABC ME WIN by ALPHABET SOUP)
6  ALBIZU May29 May05 Mar17 Feb25 Jan08 (diodoro r)TORRES A 126 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by INCLUDE out of INSUPERABLE by CITY ZIP)
7  STROBE Jun10 Apr15 Jan27 Dec22 Nov12 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 126 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLASHING by A.P. INDY)
 
PRM-8   07/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prairie Gold Lassie Purse ($100K) 2 F PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S NOT A JOKE Jun26         (martin e)BIRZER E 116 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COURT OF LOVE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  CROWN IMPERIAL May31         (ortiz a)ZAYAS J 118 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MI FIORI by CONGRATS)
3  ANCHORS AND SPURS Jun04         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ETHEREAL MISS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  POISED Jun10         (lauer mich)ERAMIA E 118 6.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of RUN ALONG by RUN SOFTLY)
5  CALEBS LADY May06 Apr15       (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 8.00 5% 17.90    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of LADY OF HONOR by ALGORITHMS)
6  TX WOMEN FOR ARTS Jun15 May19       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PROXIMITY BIAS by FLATTER)
7  KISS Jun10 May13       (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of NASTY NOOZIE by PARTNER'S HERO)
8  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT Apr29         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 120 3.50    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of STAR OF MUNSTER by TRIBAL RULE)
 
PRM-9   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Saylorville Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT-10:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZE AWAY N HIDE Jun23 May22 Apr19 Sep11 Aug05 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of MY BRIA by JUMP START)
2  SPANISH DELIGHT Jun09 Feb24 Feb03 Jan06 Nov20 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 120 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of SPANISH SLEW by SEATTLE SLEET)
SCR  TAP DANCE FEVER May29 Apr29 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of IT'S HEIDI'S DANCE by GREEN DANCER)
4  BLUEFIELD May28 Mar31 Jan22 Dec09 Sep16 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of IMTHEBLUES by PENTELICUS)
SCR  MAJESTIC WAYS May29 Apr07 Feb24 Dec09 Nov12 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of TIPPLING WAYS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  DEALING JUSTICE Jun09 Apr21 Mar02 Jan14 Nov11 (mott riley)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CLEVER RUN by SMART STRIKE)
7  MY FIRST PEARL Jun09 May06 Mar05 Feb04 Dec21 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PEARLY BLUE by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  AQUILA MOON May20 Apr24 Jan16 Dec09 Nov21 (young scot)ERAMIA E 120 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of KATIE'S KEEPSAKE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  FIRE ON TIME May29 May12 Mar11 Jan28 Dec03 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  YUUGIRI May07 Apr08 Feb25 Dec30 May06 (brisset )SANTANA JR 126 6.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of YUZURU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  GUNNING May20 Apr29 Mar31 Mar09 Sep24 (mcpeek kenne)FUENTES A 126 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PUCA by BIG BROWN)
12  ADALINE JULIA May29 May13 Mar31 Jan21 Dec30 (diodoro r)TORRES A 126 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by OXBOW out of DAEDAL by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
PRM-10   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-11:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND DESIGN Jun10 May27 Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 5.00 8% 10.90    
2  KINGSWOOD Jun23 Jun10 May21 Apr01 May23 (arnett j)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
3  WESTONS WILDCAT Jun11 May27 Apr24 Feb18 Jan21 (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  JAYSKER Jun10 May21 Oct01 Sep02 Aug07 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN LUNA Jun23 Jun02 May21 Apr15 Mar12 (jordan tod)ERAMIA E 123 10.00    
6  HI YAH Jun10 May02 Apr17 Feb13 Dec21 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00    
7  BOLT FORTY FIVE Jun02 Oct23 Sep23     (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
8  COSMO May14 Apr15 Mar19 Feb26 Jan22 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 3.50 11% 8.50    
9  ALVAARO Jun11 May11 Mar03 Feb05 Dec02 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 125 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
PRM-11   07/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAYS BIG DREAM Jun18 May26 Sep30     (von kelly)TOHILL S 119 3.00    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of CRIMSON JAMAR by ADDED EDGE)
2  GOLD TAPPER Jun25 Jun10 May26 May13   (fett brandi)NOLL S 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of GOLDEN ELITE by ELITE SQUADRON)
3  MACHO FORTY FIVE Jun18 May13       (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 124 8.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of JAFMILS PERSUADER by JAFMIL)
4  FRANKLYGREAT Jun25 Jun10 May26 May13   (chleborad )ERAMIA E 119 12.00 7% 13.30    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FRANKIE'S LADY by MEADOWLAKE)
5  SPANISH KISS Jun18 May26       (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of KISSIMMEE by KISSIN KRIS)
6  SANGRIA SKY Sep25 Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 Jul11 (tibbitts dave)CORBETT W 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MOVIE MYSTERY by FLATTER)
7  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET Jun18 May26       (tracy tan)TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
8  EYE OF THE PANTHOR         (pearson paul )EDWARDS JAVIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of GOLDENBULLETDAY by DEHERE)
9  MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Jun25 Jun10 May26 May13 Sep19 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00    
  (by STROLL out of SHE'S BETTER LOUD by BRAVO BULL)
10  TEMPLE CITY RUN Jun18 Jun05 May26 Sep19 Sep03 (guillory )TRIANA JR 119 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of RUN WITH THE BAND by GULCH)
11  WILY WADE Jun18 May28 Aug22 Jul11 Jun20 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00    
  (by DANZA out of SCARLETT'S SEQUEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.