Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(8/4/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5)-(8/4/3)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-2   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3)-(8/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(7/3/5/2)-(8/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/2)-(8/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/2)-(8/4/1/5)-(1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (8/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/5)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/5)-(1/5/6)-(2/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(2/1/3)-(2/4/5/10/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-6   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/4/5/10/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/4/5/10/9)-(2/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/4/5/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/10/9)-(2/4/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/10/9)-(2/4/5/10/9)-(2/4/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/5/10/9)-(2/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (2/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   06/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HER GOLD MINE Jun11 Jun01 May04 Apr09 Mar16 (meraz antoni)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50    
SCR  NO NANNETTE NO Jun18 Jun04 May04 Apr16 Dec01 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
TIMELESS GLORY Jun11 Apr26 Apr14 Mar12 Feb03 (granitz j)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
SCR  HARD LIKE HOLLY Jun07 May25 Dec31 Dec18 Dec04 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
CAIRO SUMMER Jun07 May25 May18 Apr27 Apr13 (witthauer j)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  WEEKEND PASS Jun07 May14 May04 Apr27 Apr09 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINGING WAYS Jun14 May28 May18 Apr09 Mar16 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50    
MUD ISLAND Jun08 May21 May06 Apr22 Apr06 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
CHOPPER May28 Apr06 Mar16 Mar05 Dec30 (cook brian)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
RISKY BOY Jun15 May28 May11 Apr23 Apr06 (shephard )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
GREELEYS ICE Jun14 May28 May04 Mar05 Dec30 (reyes martin)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON TEDDY Jun08 May25 May04 Apr20 Feb22 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 12.00    
SCR  CLEAR N CONVINCING Aug17 Aug09 Jun24 Jun10 May13 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 2.00    
MALIGATOR Jun11 May21 Sep23 Aug24 Jun24 (reid r)COLON H 122 6.00 68% 0.50    
 
HAW-3   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Jun07 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.50    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of LADY PAISLEE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
FEATURED POWER Jun25 Jun10 May20 Apr30 Apr09 (wilborn kevin)COLON H 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREYTAP out of SAM'S FARIT by WHEATON)
NAPABIT May30 May16 May02     (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 6.00 11% 8.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of LOOKING FOR BITS by MONARCHOS)
DILLYDILLY DIAMOND May11         (ryan chris )ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of O SO PRUDENT by PRUNE)
LADY WHITE SOX Sep19 Jun24 Jun10     (bahena fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of LADY'S QUEST by RAINBOW QUEST)
TU ROYAL Jun11 Apr18 Apr02 Mar12 Dec30 (manley steve)EMIGH A 119 4.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of ROYAL POSH by POSH)
MADELYN BELLE Jun07         (catalano m)MOJICA O 119 1.40 58% 0.70    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SAM'S PHILLY by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
HAW-4   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE NICK Jun04 May25 Apr20 Apr02 Mar16 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KEEN RESPONSE May30 May11 Apr06 Feb11 Dec17 (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00    
TEA AFTER BALLET Jun08 May25 May18 Apr30 Apr06 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
FLASHY RICHIE Jun04 Apr30 Apr13 Apr02 Dec31 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
LOOK AWAY May25 Mar26 Jan19 Dec30 Dec20 (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BLOOMING GARDEN Jun04 May18 Apr30 Apr02 Dec30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50    
POWERFUL MAN Jun04 May25 Apr30 Apr13 Mar26 (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 4.00    
OPTION Jun01 May11 Apr23 Apr06 Nov18 (meraz anton)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 2.00 38% 1.70    
 
HAW-5   06/25/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Hawthorne Derby Presented Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALLY GOOD May14 Apr15 Nov04 Oct09 Sep14 (maker j)EMIGH A 118 1.40 40% 1.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MEANS WELL by SMART STRIKE)
WOLF HUNTER Jun08 May11 Mar18 Mar09 Feb23 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
MONEY AGENT Jun08         (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 118 15.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
RUSSIAN HAMMER May28 May04 Apr23 Mar26 Mar05 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 8.00    
  (by BELOMOR out of CUTE LEGGY LADY by MASTER COMMAND)
ACT A FOOL Jun04 Apr09 Mar05 Jan13   (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 1.80 23% 3.40    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of POST SCRIPT by QUALITY ROAD)
OUT OF DEDUCTIONS May21 Apr07       (block chris)MOJICA O 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
HAW-6   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVZONAROLL Dec10 Nov19 Oct14 Sep25 Aug31 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
CALL ME ICE MAN May20 Apr08 Mar15 Feb18 Feb02 (campbell michael)FELIX E 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
LOOKIN FOR BALA May30 May07 Dec10 Nov19 Oct21 (essenpreis e)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  TABLE MONEY Jun07 May06 Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 15.00    
SHARP AZ NAILS May28 Mar05 Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 5.00    
ELI'S PROMISE May28 Apr20 Feb24 Jan20 Sep30 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50    
SCR  GALLANT BUCK Jun07 May11 Feb17 Jan06 Dec16 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 120 12.00    
SNOWMOBILE Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Dec09 Nov25 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 15.00    
 
HAW-7   06/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Jun04 May06 Apr15 Mar10 Feb17 (rosin w)COLON H 122 4.50    
SIMPLE LOGIC Jun04 Oct07 Sep07 Aug15 Jul18 (block chris)EMIGH A 122 3.00 74% 0.40    
BEN DREAMING May28 May04 Apr02 Mar25 Mar04 (divito jame)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 12.00    
BAKENEKO Jun11 May21 Apr20 Apr13 Mar24 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BEEALEA Jun08 Jun01 May14 Apr27 Apr06 (rodriguez ed)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKE PRICE Jun07 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 (shephard )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Jun01 Apr12 Mar02 Jan28 Dec22 (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 1.80    
SCR  HIGH BROW May31 May04 Apr06 Mar19 Jan15 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
COMMAND CENTRAL Jun14 May25 Apr20 Mar31 Mar04 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  SON OF GRACE Jun11 Jun04 May25 May14 Apr30 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED DREAM Jun07 May25 Apr29 Apr19 Mar31 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
MAD DRAGON May25         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  BREAKFAST IN BED May21 Dec05 Nov22 Nov09 Oct31 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
DEVLISH HOUR May21 Apr07 Dec16 Sep15 Jul28 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50 8% 11.40    
STAN THE CAMERAMAN Jun07 May21 May04 Apr16 Mar23 (poulos dee)EMIGH A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
ADDIE'S PEACHES Jun07 Apr13 Oct18 Oct06 Aug23 (reyes martin)LOPEZ A 119 30.00    
BLACK RUSSIAN Jun07 May25 Apr30     (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
CHERRY ORCHARD Jun15 Jun07 May21 May04 Apr13 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.