Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Chippewa Downs
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CPW-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CPW-3   WIN (3/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CPW-4   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CPW-6   WIN (1/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CPW-7   WIN (4/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CPW-8   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CPW-9   WIN (5/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/4)-(5/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/4)-(5/8/2/4)-(5/8/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CPW-2   06/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA TB Derby Purse ($10K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOTER FLASH Jun04 May12 Mar19 Jun26 Jun18 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by DENDROLOGY out of PRAIRIE TEMPER by BULL TEMPER)
EMMITTS ROYAL ECHO Jun18 Jun04 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 (cavanaugh perry)MORIN RYAN 124 3.50 7% 14.30    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of BIG CATS ECHO by KING CHA CHA)
LIAM'S STARRY NITE Jun04 Jul30 Jul03 Jun18   (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
DEMI'S HEMI Jun11 Jun11       (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 124 20.00    
  (by OLD PUERTO out of DEMI'S GOT A HEMI by DEMIDOFF)
ENDERSROYALDANCE Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 Jul16 (cavanaugh perry)HERMAN EVAN 124 12.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of TOPPER TOO by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
BOOOGER CAUSEWAY         (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 124 25.00    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of STARSHIP MISCHIEF by GONE ASTRAY)
 
CPW-3   06/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Chippewa Downs ND Bred Futurity Purse ($12.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENJAMIN'S DANCE         (delorme c)FRINK D 122 10.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of EIGHTEEN BELOWE by NICK (CHI))
LIAM'S CHALLENGE Jun11         (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
VADA'S MOON Jun11         (decoteau blaine)MORIN RYAN 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
KORRA'S BREEZE Jun11         (cavanaugh p)DESJARLAIS CODY 119 5.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of SLIGO BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
SCARLET MOON Jun11         (martin dean)HERMAN EVAN 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
FOUR ABOVE Jun11         (delorme c)PINEDA G 119 6.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of SANTA FE SUE by PIONEERING)
PHENOMENALJOE Jun11         (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
CRAFTY SUE         (deshazo lac)CERVANTES URIEL 119 7.00    
  (by PIES PROSPECT out of TSUNAMI GIRL by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CPW-4   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD OUTLOOK Jun17 Mar31 Mar10 Jan29 Dec16 (birdrattler na)CALZADA ERIC 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
EXODUS AND HOPE Jun17 May14 Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 (haar j)FRINK D 121 4.50    
MOURVEDRE Jun02 May18 Apr29 Mar07 Feb19 (hanson m)PINEDA G 126 3.00    
GOLDEN STAR ROCK Jun25 Jun18 Jun12 May29 Apr14 (dolphus jun)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 10.00 26% 2.80    
AL'S PRINCESS Jun17 Oct03 Sep25 Aug30 Aug15 (dolphus junior)HERMAN EVAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
HONEY CREEK Jun08 May13 May01 Apr11 Mar06 (cavanaugh bruno)MORIN RYAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BER MIS BOY May20 May06 Apr23 Apr14 Mar10 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00    
MISSEN THE POINT Jun17 May19 Sep05 Aug24 Aug10 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 121 5.00    
 
CPW-6   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD TRAFFORD Jun11 May13 Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.50 71% 0.40    
PASHTUNWALI Jun17 Jul31 Jul24 Jul02 Jun19 (horst scot)FRINK D 126 4.50    
ROCKETRINGO Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 Jun10 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
ACTION PACKED Jul31 Jul24 Jul02 Jun19 Jun12 (malaterre jenni)HERMAN EVAN 126 15.00    
GAME DAY DECISION Jun11 Jun04 Sep27 Aug23 Aug01 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIVING VICARIOUSLY Jun18 Jun11 May23 Apr25 Apr04 (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 3.50    
MORO CHARLIE Jun11 May20 May14 Apr29 Apr08 (birdrattler na)CALZADA ERIC 126 3.00 6% 15.80    
 
CPW-7   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIDGET GIDGET Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 Jul23 (martin dean)FRINK D 126 3.00    
ATOKAD ALICE Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 Jun12 (haar amanda)CALZADA ERIC 126 3.50 19% 4.40    
BOOGIE BUG Jun11 Jun11 Jul30 Jun12   (nelson francis)DELORME L 126 4.50 17% 4.80    
LITTLE BERTA Jun11 Jun11 Jul03 Jun25   (wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
DAKOTA BISCAY Jun18 Jun11 Jun11 Jun25 Jun18 (wilke gordy)PINEDA G 126 8.00    
REASON TO STORM Jun04 Jul31 Jul24     (delorme c)MORIN RYAN 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
I'M SHINING LADY Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul23 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 6.00    
 
CPW-8   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYTA Jun18 Nov12 Nov04 Oct22 Sep03 (nelson francis)HERMAN EVAN 126 8.00    
BLUEGRASS SOUL Jun11 May21 May14 Jun12 May22 (hanson m)PINEDA G 126 4.50 22% 3.60    
GIANNA'S WILD CAT Jun11 Jun11 May23 Apr29 Mar05 (horst scot)MARTINEZ R 126 3.00 12% 7.10    
I CINC EYE LUV U Jun11 Apr30 Mar31 Mar19 Sep15 (dolphus jun)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 10.00    
JUS MY IMAGINATION Jun11 Feb04 Jan19 May07 Mar11 (birdrattler na)CALZADA ERIC 126 5.00 23% 3.40    
MAYPOLE'SLASTDANCE Jun18 Jun11       (martin dean)MORIN RYAN 126 15.00    
SHARP CONTRAST Jun18 Jun11 Jul30 Jul24 Jul12 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00 23% 3.40    
HOT HABANERO Jun18 Jun11 Jun11 May19 May12 (suter c)FRINK D 126 20.00    
 
CPW-9   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEY HEY IT'S D K Jun17 Jun25       (wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126 15.00    
BRAVE HELIOS Jun11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
POVERTY FLATS Jun11 May20 May06 Apr22 Mar19 (haar j)FRINK D 126 3.00    
STARS ALIGNED Jun11         (martin dean)MORIN RYAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUST ASK JOEL Jun18 Jun11 May20 May13 Apr29 (suter milto)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
HOLY MUCHACHO Jun11 Oct01 Aug17 Jul24 Jul10 (haar amanda)CALZADA ERIC 126 5.00    
A P GUNNER Jun11 Jul31 Jun26 Jun08   (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126 20.00    
HIT IT UP Jun18 Jun11 Jul02 Jun25 Jun19 (malaterre jennife)DELORME L 121 4.50 30% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.