Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - June 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6/2/5)-(6/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(6/5/1)-(2/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(2/6/7)-(7/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(7/6/5)-(1/6/3/12/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-5   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(1/6/3/12/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(1/6/3/12/11)-(4/9/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/6/3/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/12/11)-(1/6/3/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/12/11)-(1/6/3/12/11)-(1/6/3/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/3/12/11)-(4/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/12/11)-(4/9/6/8)-(9/7/8/6/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/6/8)-(4/9/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/6/8)-(4/9/6/8)-(4/9/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/6/8)-(9/7/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (9/7/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/6/3)-(9/7/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/6/3)-(9/7/8/6/3)-(9/7/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   06/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL BOX May31 May21 Apr06 Dec31 Dec11 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  WHERE'D THE DAY GO May21 May07 Apr13 Mar30 Nov11 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
3  BEHAVIN MYSELF May31 May21 May07 Apr20 Apr13 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  GAGOOTS May21 May07 Apr20 Dec31 Dec16 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00    
5  KRAMDEN May27 May21 May07 Apr20 Apr03 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
6  BLURT May31 Feb16 Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   06/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAGON DREW May28 Apr02 Feb03 Jan18 Jan04 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 3.50    
2  FOLLOW THE SIGNS May18 Apr23 Apr02 Mar23 Mar12 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  REMEMBER THE MAINE May28 Mar16 Feb17 Feb02 Jan11 (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
SCR  GRAND HIDEAWAY May28 Mar30 Dec17 Nov26 Nov13 (reid r)COLON H 124 4.00    
5  WINGING WAYS May28 May18 Apr09 Mar16 Oct30 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  EXPROMPT (FR) Jul10 May15 Jan23 Jan08   (campbell joel)EMIGH A 122 4.50 46% 1.20    
7  GREELEYS ICE May28 May04 Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 (reyes martin)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00    
SCR  KENNESAW May21 Apr06 Mar12 Feb23 Jan05 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
 
HAW-3   06/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32.5K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD POSSE Dec31 Dec09 Jul05 Jun14   (becker scott)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 18% 4.40    
2  WHITE LIES May21 Apr30 Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 (miller r)EMIGH A 122 3.00    
SCR  BEG BORROW N STEAL Jun01 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Dec31 (block chris)COLON H 122 6.00    
4  RAINY MOUNTAIN Jun01 May14 Apr23 Mar30 Dec31 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00    
5  ISABELLACANNETELLA May21 Apr30 Mar23 Dec10 Nov25 (jones s)FELIX E 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  RACETOTHEFINISH May14 Apr29 Apr09 Sep03 Jul12 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
HAW-4   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOVE IT BABY Jun08 Sep08 Jul26     (rivelli larry)FELIX E 117 1.40    
2  LUNARCHY May31 Apr27 Apr20 Mar16   (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 4.50 38% 1.60    
3  MUD HUT Apr20 Mar09 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
4  SALLY'S SUPRISE May11 Apr27       (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 117 10.00    
5  CRYSTAL SNOW Jun08 May14 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
6  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Jun08 May04 Mar30 Mar16 Feb22 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
7  HOLY IMAGE May28         (weir george)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00 14% 6.10    
 
HAW-5   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABRICATOR May25 Apr30 Mar11 Feb15 Jan19 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 124 4.00    
SCR  SOVIET STANDARD May28 May14 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 4.50    
3  CHAD'S FLASH May28 Apr13 Mar26 Mar10 Feb21 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 117 6.00    
4  DASTARDLY DEEDS Apr06 Mar23 Dec29 Nov26 Nov06 (flores pedro)GILES EMMANUEL 117 30.00    
5  TIZWOW May28 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 Mar05 (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 117 5.00 6% 16.70    
6  CAMPISI Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jan13 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 3.50 18% 4.40    
7  TEA WITH LEMON May28 Apr13 Mar26 Mar05 Dec31 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
HAW-6   06/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP STICK May28 Apr15 Mar25 Mar04   (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of RUSTIC CHIC by ORB)
2  A P BLAZING GREEN May28 May07 Apr16 Mar26 Sep09 (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
3  FROSTED TEMPTATION         (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of HAPPY REFRAIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  SMOOTH ATTACK May20 Apr13 Mar26 Dec30 Dec16 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MAGGIE BEE by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  OVERDUE HONOR May20         (roussel j)FELIX E 124 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STARSHIP DUCHESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  DARK SOLUTION         (weir george )CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of DARK SANDS by DESERT CLASSIC)
7  ARTIE AND JESSIE Aug19 Jul31 Jul08     (horvath frank)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 30.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
8  SIMPSON BAY Jul07 May26 May07     (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of BLAME IT ON DIXIE by BLAME)
9  INDIO GUAPO Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 Jun11 (reyes marti)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 30.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of INDIAN ANGEL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  PIRATE MARMALADE         (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  ICE SHARD         (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00 9% 10.30    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TO THE MORNING by MORE THAN READY)
12  SMILING STORMY May21         (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 118 20.00 10% 9.40    
  (by GET STORMY out of FAYREEN by ELITE SQUADRON)
 
HAW-7   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MALPAIS May25 Apr30 Mar12 Dec31 Nov26 (villa francis)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
2  BOCA BOY May25 Apr06 Mar04 Jan14 Dec03 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 8.00    
3  LYKAN May25 Jan06 Oct01 Jul24 Jun25 (mason ingrid)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
4  W W HOTSHOT May28 Mar30 Mar12 Nov26 Oct29 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  SPORT PEPPER Mar19 Jan01       (zavash kerr)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00    
6  COMISKEY PARK May25 Apr30 Apr06 Mar16 Dec30 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
7  W W CANDY May15 Apr30 Mar30 Dec31 Dec11 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00    
8  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE May25 Apr30 Mar16 Feb22 Feb04 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  WILDWOOD SICILIAN May28 Apr30 Apr06 Nov13 Sep06 (young r)FELIX E 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
HAW-8   06/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPULSIVENESS May11 Apr23 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00    
2  PINBALLER May25 Apr20 Apr02 Mar19 Mar09 (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
3  COMMAND CENTRAL May25 Apr20 Mar31 Mar04 Feb04 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  OVER CALENDARED Jun03 May18 May11 Apr29 Apr13 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
5  MODIFIER Jun04 May18 May11 Apr09 Mar19 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 10.00    
6  MEMPHIS PRAYER May25 Apr27 Apr13 Mar17 Jan21 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FORWARD CURVE May25 Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
8  GATE CREW May25 Apr20 Apr02 Mar16 Dec02 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  JEALOUS EYES Apr27 Mar16 Feb17 Jan28 Dec31 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.