Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - June 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-1   WIN (2/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/4)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/4)-(6/5)-(5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/2)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-4   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1)-(4/5/2)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/4/3)-(2/6/1/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/9)-(2/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/9)-(2/6/1/9)-(2/6/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD LEGEND May19 Apr30 Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 123 8.00    
NOSTALGIA May21 May01 Apr03 Mar21 Mar14 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00 38% 1.60    
DIXIE PENNY May29 Apr14 Apr01 Mar11 Feb23 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
UNHERDOF May21 May13 Apr22 Mar24 Mar12 (roe w)TOHILL S 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
GLAMOROUS LIFE Apr16 Sep23 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 (martinez )DE CRUZ 125 6.00    
CHAMPAGNE BLING May19 Nov26 Oct22 Aug15 Aug05 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 3.00 9% 9.70    
JAZZ BRUNCH May21 Apr28 Apr01 Mar18 Sep16 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.50    
 
PRM-2   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BASEBALL POLITICS May09 Apr22 Apr06 Mar16 Jan27 (manley steve)BAIRD T 125 3.00    
KINGSWOOD May21 Apr01 May23 Apr29 Mar18 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED SKY May20 Apr23 Dec10 Nov04 Sep29 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 123 6.00    
GRAND DESIGN May27 Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00    
JAYSKER May21 Oct01 Sep02 Aug07 Jul18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
OUR LAST CHANCE May21 Oct01 Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
PRM-3   06/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prairie Mile Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOJITO May29 Apr28 Apr21 Aug27   (compton jesse)TOHILL S 116 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SOLANA WIND by DISTORTED HUMOR)
WARREN L May26 May13 Mar23 Sep19 Aug22 (anderson )DE CRUZ 116 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR May20 May06 Apr21 Apr08 Jul17 (murphy swan)NOLL S 116 4.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of GALLERY GIRL by GIO PONTI)
LEA ME BE May29 May12 Sep23     (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 5.00    
  (by LEA out of EXPLOREMORE by FIVE STAR DAY)
OCEAN OF STORMS May20 Feb18 Jan21 Aug29 Aug08 (arnett g)BIRZER E 116 1.20 52% 0.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
 
PRM-4   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM STREAK May14 Apr29 Mar31 Mar10 Jan29 (rosin w)ZIMMERMAN R 125 1.60    
MAGGIE D'CAUSE May16         (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SABRIA May19 Oct02 Sep12 Aug28 Aug08 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
R ONE WINE May19 Apr22 Mar10 Feb11   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 3.00 61% 0.70    
A J'S RIDE Oct02 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 123 8.00    
UNUNDERSTANDABLE May29 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 125 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
PRM-5   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLY FIRST CLASS May20 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Mar11 (arceo salvado)EDWARDS JAVIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BARSTOW May12 Apr22 Apr08 Apr01 Mar18 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIVINGONTULSATIME Mar05 Jan29 Jan22 Dec21 Dec08 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
ASK FOR BODE May27 Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 Jan14 (arnett g)TOHILL S 125 2.50 69% 0.40    
COCO BRAVADO May20 Jan15 Jan07 Dec21 Oct30 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 3.50    
WESTA WAVERLY May12 Apr12 Dec30 Dec03 Oct30 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 123 6.00    
HIGHER AUTHORITY May22 May05 Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 (martin timothy )ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00    
SAILOR CHOW May28 Oct02 Sep25 Sep02 Aug15 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00    
 
PRM-6   06/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jim Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALUXY Apr26 Apr05 Dec17 Nov21 Oct12 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MISS PIPPA by MASTER COMMAND)
ITS A WRAP May29 Apr29 Jan25 Dec14 Oct28 (clark r)CORBETT W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IN KELLY'S DEFENSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  FLEETRIDGE Apr29 Oct13 Sep24 Aug07 Jul09 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 120 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GLORIETTA BAY by A.P. INDY)
AIN'T LIFE GRAND May05 Mar18 Oct01 Aug27 Jul23 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 1.20 48% 1.10    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CAT D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BUCK MOON Apr29 Mar23 Jun10 May13 Apr13 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 126 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GRAND PAULINE by TWO PUNCH)
JOE FRAZIER May06 Apr15 Mar24 Sep19 Aug26 (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 10.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of THIRD DAWN by SKY MESA)
MUNQAD Apr29 Apr08 Jan06 Dec10 Nov05 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MUHAAWARA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
PRM-7   06/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Panthers Purse ($50K) 3 F PT-10:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIRTING GIRL Apr29 Apr07 Oct02     (asmussen ste)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HOUSE OF DANZING by CHESTER HOUSE)
CRYPTO MO May28 May13 Apr08 Aug26 Aug07 (murphy swan)NOLL S 116 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of FORTY WINDS by FORTY TALES)
ARIZONA KALEI May13 Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
DON'T GET PICKLED May13 Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb18 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 116 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of C C'S PRIDE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
BROKEN HEARTS BAY May13 Apr05 Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 (arnett g)BIRZER E 116 3.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
OUR DAVINA May13 Apr26 Mar28 Dec14 Nov19 (young sco)TRIANA JR 116 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS by LANGFUHR)
 
PRM-8   06/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3 ALL PT-10:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIZED TAP May13 Jul23       (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of TETON FIRE by TETON FOREST)
GOLD TAPPER May26 May13       (fett brandi)NOLL S 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of GOLDEN ELITE by ELITE SQUADRON)
BILLY BOB ROCKET Mar25 Feb23       (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
  (by SPANIARD out of DANCEINTHESTREETS by CITIDANCER (IRE))
SCR  NINETEEN HUNDRED Sep30 Sep19 Sep03     (guillory henry )CORBETT W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPANIARD out of TRIBAL MISTRESS by TRIBAL RULE)
FRANKLYGREAT May26 May13       (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FRANKIE'S LADY by MEADOWLAKE)
LUCKY AIN'T ENOUGH May13 Apr23 Mar26 Nov18 Sep30 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by STROLL out of TOUGH RIPPLES by GOOD AND TOUGH)
MADETHEDEAN'SLIST May26 May13 Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
  (by STROLL out of SHE'S BETTER LOUD by BRAVO BULL)
CINCO DE MO May13 Apr07       (ashford tristan)TOHILL S 120 4.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SMARTY MO by SMARTY JONES)
BAD BOY BRAWNY Jul02         (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STROLL out of GET REAL by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET May26         (clay pat)EDWARDS JAVIS 115 20.00    
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.