Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - May 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
FL-2   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (2)-(4/3/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(4/3/2)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(7/1)-(1/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/1)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(3/7)-(2/8/9/3/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
FL-7   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/7)-(2/8/9/3/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/8/9/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/3/7)-(2/8/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/3/7)-(2/8/9/3/7)-(2/8/9/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL STORY Oct25 Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 Aug30 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 122 5.00    
HOLY COWBOY May09 Apr25 Nov16 Oct31 Oct17 (breed a)GOMEZ O 122 8.00    
WAR OF THRONES Nov14 Oct04 Sep21 Aug16 Aug02 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
CHAMPION BY DESIGN Feb06 Jan03 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
CONFORMIST Nov16 Jun22 May31 Apr08 Mar19 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
MARGARITA SUNRISE May09 Nov22 Oct31 Oct19 Sep13 (tas)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00    
 
FL-2   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANGAR ONE May02 Jun07 May18 May02 Feb26 (ficarella broo)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
COUSIN GREG Nov21 Nov08 Oct18     (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 78% 0.30    
DUTCHMEN FOREVER May02 Nov01 Oct18 Sep20 Sep05 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 8.00    
HARDLY WORKING Apr25 Nov21 Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 6.00    
UP FOR ADVENTURE Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Oct04 Sep07 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50    
TWO COLOR MAP Mar15 Feb13 Jan16 Dec13 Nov14 (clarke dylan)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
 
FL-3   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN ZIVA May02 Nov08 Oct05 Sep27 Sep13 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
SCR  ONE TICKED LADY May15 Sep13 Aug30 Jul26 Jul18 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
ALBANY YATES May08 Apr24 Nov09 Oct24 Oct10 (sells rachel)COA J 124 5.00 8% 11.90    
MOCLIPS Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 Sep10 Aug05 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.00 17% 4.70    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH May11 Apr27 Mar30 Mar15 Feb24 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
MIDMON May08 Apr24 Feb24 Feb11 Jan21 (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
WINE TRAIL Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug30 (progno michael )DIAZ J 117 12.00    
 
FL-4   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE VISION May09 Nov14 Oct18 Oct04 Aug30 (d'alessandro ra)DIAZ J 115 4.00 29% 2.50    
MARBLE MOON Oct04 Sep19 Sep07 Aug22 Jul13 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 3.00    
R BOY BODE May09 Apr29 Apr15 Feb09 Aug08 (thompson)DAVIS A 122 4.50    
SMOOTH OPERATION Jan12 Dec21 Nov07 Sep26 Sep07 (grusmark karl)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
BOWING SNOWMAN May09 Apr24 Nov09 Oct17 Oct03 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
SOLAR ZEN May02 Sep22 Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 (huertas nirk)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
PREFERRED OUTCOME May09 Apr19 Mar31 Dec31 Dec07 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
FL-5   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR AWESOME BOSS May09 Apr25 Nov22 Nov09 Jul26 (morales samu)HARKIE K 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
MAGNIFICENT CHROME May09 Apr15 Mar30 Feb02 Jan19 (lynch natalia)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 11% 8.30    
HOORAY FOR HARVEY May09 Apr25 Dec13 Nov04 Oct11 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00    
PROFESSOR DAVE May02 Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 Aug10 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
BLUES CITY May09 Apr25 Nov23 Nov14 Oct31 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
FLAT BILL May02 Dec14 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 (gutters)NAVARRO J 122 15.00    
LOVER'S LEAP May09 Nov14 Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 (tasso ma)DAVIS A 122 5.00    
 
FL-6   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA URCHIN Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Jul27 (miller-saul be)COA J 124 10.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of TAPITBYTHESEA by TAPIT)
HYPER SPEED Apr27 Apr08 Feb24 Sep29 Sep05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of WILD ONE by WILD AGAIN)
TYRANNOSAURUS REX May02 Apr24 Feb26 Jan27 Jan08 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of ROCK STAR ROYALTY by FIVE STAR DAY)
HONEST CHANCE May02 Nov09       (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of BETTY'S CHANCE by DUCKHORN)
UNEXPECTABLE Nov29 Nov09       (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
  (by HEAT SHIELD out of GALE WARNING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BUSTING CREDIT May02         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.50 57% 0.70    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ACCREDITING by SCARLET IBIS)
GOLD TEMPLAR May02 Nov07 Oct25 Oct04   (falk jacqueli)DAVILA A 120 5.00 8% 12.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
 
FL-7   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUDAIMONIA May08 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 Sep12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00    
WABAUNSEE May08 Nov22 Oct24 Oct11 Sep26 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 10.00    
WARTAPPED May08         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
FOREVER AMY May08 Mar24 Mar12 Jan20 Dec16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00    
WAITWAITDONTTELLME May08 Mar22 Mar08 Jan18 Oct24 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00    
COLBY GIRL Jul13 May23 May09 Apr26 Mar25 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
SANDY'S GARDEN Jul04 Mar27 Feb19 Jan22   (tebbutt )DAVIS A 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
ROAD TO ROYALTY May08 Nov22 Oct31 Aug01 Jul18 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 3.50    
 
FL-8   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZA BROWN May15 Mar30 Mar18 Mar05 Jan27 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
CRUNCH B B B         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 5.00 44% 1.30    
CHEF PETER JULIEN Apr24         (dixon linda )HARKIE K 119 15.00 10% 9.50    
BUD HAYDEN May02         (lopez rober)CAMILO D 119 10.00    
BUSTER BURNS Apr30 Mar28 Mar19 Feb19 Feb01 (williams o)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
SHE SPEAKS WELL May09 Dec28 Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
GREEK EASTER Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 Jun08 (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
KHALI BULLET Nov15         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 3.00 11% 8.50    
WESWORLD May09 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Sep13 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 10% 9.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.