Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(3/4/5)-(6/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/2/1)-(7/3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(7/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(7/3/2/4)-(5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-4   WIN (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/6/4)-(7/3/2/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/2/4)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/4)-(5/6/1)-(2/3/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-5   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/3/1/5)-(5/10/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(5/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/5)-(5/10/8)-(2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (5/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/8)-(5/10/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/8)-(5/10/8/1/2)-(5/10/8/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/10/8)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EVD-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/9/1)-(2/5/4/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z'S GUITAR Apr28         (zenon shelton)STOKES A 118 8.00 ★    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of AMELIATHEAVIATOR by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
2  HEZA SEXY ZONG May04 Apr08 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 (dison phill)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 ★    
  (by ZONG out of SHEZA SEXY A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
3  UNCLE HUTCH         (richards corale )FUSILIER C 118 10.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of KATIE B'S WAGER by HALF OURS)
4  PARTY LITTLE BOY Apr28 Mar26 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 (pennino fran)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 6.00    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of PARTY WITH BRANDO by BERTRANDO)
5  GOT ME A CHRYSLER Apr28 Mar25 Mar08 Feb16   (david b)BARRERA J 113 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of BEDAZZLE SEATTLE by GILDED TIME)
6  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT         (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
  (by CRIDER out of JUNE G by WINTER HALO)
7  BLEEP BLEEP Apr27 Feb25 Feb04     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
  (by RACE DAY out of BERTHA JO by BANKER'S GOLD)
 
EVD-2   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUSADER EXPRESS Apr21 Mar15 Feb10 Jan29 Jan12 (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 117 20.00    
2  SMOOTH COLLIERY Apr21 Mar15 Feb25 Feb16 Jan05 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00    
3  HOME BASE Apr08 Mar04 Jan20 Dec09 Aug02 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
4  IN THE ARCH Apr21 Feb11 Jan12 Nov18 Aug18 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 115 2.00 16% 5.20    
5  CLEAR HUMOR Apr22 Feb16 Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 (toups brent)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00 15% 5.90    
6  BUNKIE'S SONG Apr21 Apr13 Mar15 Feb16 Feb02 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 4.50    
 
EVD-3   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE RIDGE QUEEN May05 Mar04 Feb14 Jan02   (toups brent)MCMAHON J 120 12.00 6% 14.70    
2  SWEET VIDALIA May05 Apr19 Mar22 Mar11 Feb12 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  GATOR PROUD Apr13 Mar15 Feb17 Jan28 Jan01 (boxie josep)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00    
4  STORM BREACH Apr29 Apr12 Feb22 Jan14 Dec17 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 3.00    
5  BEYOND D'ORO Apr12 Jan07 Nov22 Oct21 Aug13 (simon lester)ROSENDO J 120 4.50    
6  FINAL QUEST Mar26 Feb04 Dec29 Dec09 Nov10 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
EVD-4   05/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERIPHERAL VISION May03 Apr20 Mar16 Feb26 Feb03 (ladner rann)FUSILIER C 115 20.00    
2  HOT GOLDEN GIRL Apr29 Apr15 Mar24 Feb18   (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00 5% 18.00    
3  BLACK ACE Apr28 Apr15 Mar24 Feb22   (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
4  TAP IRON FIST Apr15 Feb12 Jan13 Dec18 Dec02 (flint steve)MELANCON JANSEN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SANGIOVESE Apr29 Apr07 Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 (sauvan eric)EDISON JOCELYN 111 20.00    
6  CALIFORNIA BELLE Apr27 Apr08 Feb28 Feb09 Jan20 (latour nicho)BARRERA J 113 3.00 ★    
7  BATTLE OF WITS         (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
8  ROSIE'S ANGUS Apr28 Mar19       (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
9  SWEETASBAILY Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 Dec22 (husak j)SMITH R 123 8.00    
SCR  SIKARA SIKARA Apr29 Apr08 Feb23 Jan27 Dec02 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 110 12.00    
SCR  HIGH DONNA May05 Apr21 Feb26 Feb12 Jan20 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
SCR  ATHENAIS Mar23 Feb15 Jan12 Oct17 Sep22 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00    
 
EVD-5   05/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D T'S DREAM Apr08 Dec17 Oct29 Aug27 Feb25 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 4.50 9% 10.40    
2  KIT KAT KIDD Aug06 Jun04       (flint steve)MELANCON JANSEN 115 8.00    
3  MOURVEDRE Apr29 Mar07 Feb19 Jan13 Oct22 (diodoro robe)BARRERA J 118 12.00    
SCR  ADIEU ACES Feb22 Feb01       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00    
5  GEAUX SUGAR Apr12 Feb24 Feb05 Nov25   (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  CUSTOM PRAYER Mar11 Feb16 Jun25 May26 Apr08 (ladner ra)THORNTON G 120 3.50 11% 8.20    
7  A'DEBRIS Apr22 Jan12 Dec19 Dec01 Nov09 (breaux)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 3.00 ★    
 
EVD-6   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENSAS ALL OURS Dec01 Nov09       (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 118 8.00 13% 7.00    
2  OURPERFECTPRINCE Apr28 Apr13 Mar25 Mar03 Feb10 (david b)THORNTON G 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  MIDNIGHT CROWN May05 Mar02 Feb17     (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00 23% 3.30    
4  MIDGE'S TIME Apr20 Feb28 Jan20 Dec01   (rubin donald)VARGAS P 123 12.00    
5  BEAUDEAN Apr29 Feb23 Feb09 Oct29 Oct07 (granger randall)STOKES A 118 4.50 5% 18.50    
6  SAUCY ARGUMENT Apr19 Mar08 Feb09     (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.00    
7  BOSS MAN ZONG Apr19 Feb22 Jan28 Jan13 Dec27 (dison phil)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 3.50    
 
EVD-7   05/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUTIE MO May04 Feb04 Jan25 Dec29 Dec10 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 4.50 ★    
2  JERSEY HOTTIE Apr28 Apr12 Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 15.00 ★    
3  BE A BANDIT Apr27 Apr07 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 (zenon shelton)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 20.00    
4  MY LITTLE JEN Apr28 Apr13 Feb20 Jan12 Dec11 (richards co)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50    
5  MONEY WELL SPENT May04 Mar15 Nov25 Sep10 Jul20 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  GEORGIA DAWN Apr28 Feb04 Jan25 Nov30 Oct22 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
SCR  MEAN AMERICAN Apr22 Mar08 Feb03 Jan14 Dec22 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
8  ANGELA'S CELERITY May04 Apr08 Feb03 Jan13 Dec28 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  SIXTH ANNIVERSARY Apr19 Dec10 Dec01 Nov03 Oct23 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 113 10.00    
10  MISS JANA May04 Mar26 Feb24 Feb04 Jan12 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 6.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  STRUMMER Feb20 Nov25 Oct12 Aug06 Mar27 (gelner scott)MELANCON G 118 12.00    
SCR  MISS KENNEDY Mar08 Feb20 Jan22 Dec31 Dec03 (duke steven)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
 
EVD-8   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOSS MAN Apr28 Apr13 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 20.00 ★    
2  STEAL IT BACK Mar24 Mar04 Feb21 Jan29 Jan06 (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 1.80 61% 0.70    
3  CAEUS IN PASADENA Jan08 Dec14 Aug05 Jun23 Mar23 (zenon charles)STOKES J 120 20.00    
4  SOURNOIS Apr26 Apr14 Feb28 Dec21 Dec09 (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
5  TOO MUCH CROWN Feb18 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov11 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 4.00 9% 10.30    
6  FLIT N FLOT TIME Apr26 Apr07 Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
7  COUNTERFEIT Apr28 Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 Oct22 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
8  CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Apr22 Apr08 Feb23 Feb03 Jan13 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
9  MY BOOK Apr26 Feb28 Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.