Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(4/6/5)-(3/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/5/2)-(1/2/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(1/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(1/2/8)-(6/5/2/1/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/8)-(6/5/2/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(6/5/2/1/8)-(6/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/5/2/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1/8)-(6/5/2/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1/8)-(6/5/2/1/8)-(6/5/2/1/8) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1/8)-(6/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/1/8)-(6/7)-(4/2/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(4/2/6)-(6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/5/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/5/2/8)-(6/4/5/2/8) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   05/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATIES A LADY Mar25 Feb25 Feb03 Jan21 Dec31 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 0.80    
2  LALOBA FEROZ Apr23 Feb11 Dec28 Sep10 Aug05 (santillana fr)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00 6% 14.60    
3  ANADOR (FR) Mar17 Feb18 Jan15 Dec24 Nov26 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  FALL MOON Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Nov26 Oct01 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
5  LATIN NIKKITA Aug11 Jul10 Jun22 May28 Apr27 (house gary)FERRER C 119 5.00 53% 0.90    
6  IRAZU Apr21 Apr01 Feb19 Feb05 Jan21 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00    
 
TAM-2   05/05/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEESSE Apr28 Apr15 Mar15 Feb25 Mar26 (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 117 20.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD HONEY Apr28 Mar19 Feb10 Jan22 Dec16 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.60    
3  DURA THE EXPLORER Apr05 Mar05 Nov13 Oct21 Sep22 (carmichael mi)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 30.00    
4  PROVOCATIVA Apr15 Apr07 Feb15 Jan26 Jan13 (crichton roh)BATISTA A 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
5  C C'S FREEDOM Mar22 Jan20 Jan07 Oct01 Aug26 (russo j)LOPEZ E 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
6  RIPLEY EFFECT Apr15 Mar19 Mar04 Feb17 Feb01 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
7  TIPHARAH Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 Dec16 Nov26 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 117 10.00    
 
TAM-3   05/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVERN Apr19         (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 20.00    
2  ATHENA'S WISDOM Apr19         (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 2.00 16% 5.10    
3  RITABOOK Apr19 Mar25 Mar12 Feb02 May14 (rigattieri john)MENA E 125 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  NOBLE ATTITUDE Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb12 Jan18 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00    
5  NEWYEARSPRESENT Apr01 Mar15 Feb24 Feb08   (o'connor robert )FERRER C 125 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  MY BATON ROUGE Apr23 Feb22 Dec30 Dec17 Dec07 (calixto ivan)BRACHO A 118 8.00 ★    
7  HUMOR SENSE Mar11 Jan14 Jan04 Dec03 Oct22 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
 
TAM-4   05/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARPOON HARRY Apr16 Mar31 Mar08 Feb12 Jan27 (bennett s)FERRER C 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
2  BARNEGAT LIGHT Apr05 Oct12 Sep07 Aug20 Jul22 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 112 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  ALMANZO Apr09 Jan14 Oct14 Sep13 Jul03 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.50    
SCR  INITFORTHELOVE Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 Sep16 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00    
5  CARRONADE Apr22 Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 Jan20 (mcgoey monica)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
SCR  SAVVY LAYLA Apr22 Apr08 Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 (mcgoey monica)ALICEA JEREMY 112 15.00    
7  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Apr07 Feb18 Nov05 Sep30 Sep09 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 4.50    
8  GREAT BRITAIN Apr08 Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 Jan14 (ward dennis)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 4.50 15% 5.80    
 
TAM-5   05/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Apr22 Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 Dec21 (chain pearl)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 9% 10.00    
2  AWKWARD PAUSE Apr19 Apr01 Mar18 Feb22 Jan28 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
3  AGENT COOPER Apr19 Aug31 Jul20 Jul05 Jun17 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 117 8.00    
4  EXCELLENT MARK Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 (yanez r)CAMACHO SAMY 126 5.00    
5  POSEIDON'S SON Apr02 Mar18 Dec21 Dec01 Oct30 (calixto ivan)BRACHO A 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  JACKSON STRONG Apr19 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Sep28 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  COMMANDER KEITH Apr22 Mar25 Feb15 Jan27 Jul01 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00    
8  CLASSIC FILM Mar10 Oct02 Sep05 Apr23 Mar18 (cascallares n)LUGO D 124 20.00 8% 12.20    
9  CHIQUIRIN Mar18 Feb26 Jan25 Dec29 Dec09 (vazquez m)DIAZ S 124 15.00    
 
TAM-6   05/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS EXCUSE Apr12 Mar12 Feb11     (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 120 8.00    
2  FINAL NOTE Apr19 Mar08       (hernandez sandin)FERRER C 120 15.00    
3  MISS NEO Apr14 Mar29       (rivera a)MENA E 120 10.00 ★    
4  ROYALE FLARE Apr21 Nov05 Oct08     (lopez bernar)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.00 ★    
5  HIGH DONNA Apr21 Feb26 Feb12 Jan20 Jan01 (escobar alison)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
6  ZIPPY ZINNY Apr21 Mar31       (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
7  BOARDWALK FRIES Apr21 Aug31 Aug04     (galvan baltaz)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  ITRIEDSELLINGHER Apr22 Apr05 Mar17     (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 113 10.00    
9  SARA KALI Apr26 Apr05 Mar04 Feb26 Jan20 (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
10  INSATIABLE EVA Apr21 Mar31 Feb17 Jan21 Aug21 (laurato micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00    
SCR  AMOR SALVAJE Apr23 Mar26 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 (garoffalo jo)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00    
SCR  D'ORO BABY Apr26 Mar31 Feb17 Jan21 Nov17 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   05/05/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEFFNER Apr19 Sep30 Sep22 Aug27 Aug20 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
2  EXACTING Apr22 Feb10 Jan14 Dec17 Nov30 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.50 19% 4.10    
3  PIYPA DE LYNDA Apr21 Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Oct16 (marino gary)ALLEN D 119 20.00    
4  WAR CROSS Apr22 Mar08 Feb10 Jan21 Dec31 (gatis chris)FERRER C 121 4.50 48% 1.10    
5  CUZ Apr05 Mar08 Feb03 Jan21 Dec28 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 ★    
6  WINTER'S GHOST Apr16 Mar31 Mar19 Feb15 Jan20 (rigattieri john)MENA E 123 2.50 5% 18.40    
7  GOLDEN TONE Apr16 Mar19 Mar04 Feb25 Feb03 (rivera xavie)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
8  ARIES REIGNS Apr16 Apr05 Mar18 Mar08 Feb15 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00    
SCR  KUHL STAR Apr21 Apr08 Mar19 Mar05 Nov18 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 12.00    
SCR  LORD BERRIER Apr19 Apr02 Mar03 Feb01 Jan11 (sacco grego)MARIN A 119 5.00    
SCR  FIERCE WARRIOR Apr22 Mar26 Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 109 8.00    
 
TAM-8   05/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEENE ON JENNY Apr19 Mar18 Mar01 Jan27 Nov07 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00    
2  EXAGGERATED HUMOR Feb19 Feb04 Jan21 Jan05 Jun19 (russo j)LOPEZ E 125 8.00 ★    
3  VERIFIABLE Mar24 Feb12       (manning denni)SOSA LAUREANO 111 10.00    
4  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Jan07 Dec22 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  FROSTY SECRET Apr26 Apr08 Mar10 Feb18 Jan22 (manning j)BRACHO A 123 4.50 ★    
6  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Apr19 Mar10 Feb08     (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 1.80 43% 1.30    
7  MARTINI'S AMICA Apr26 Apr08 Mar22 Feb18 Jan05 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00    
8  EMPIRE GIRL Apr22 Apr05 Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 (romero rafael)ZONETT KEYNER 116 20.00 ★    
9  NO MORE FIRE Apr26 Apr08 Mar10 Mar01 Nov06 (barrett grant)FUENTES MARIO 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.