Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(1/4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(2/6/8/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/6/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/1/9)-(2/6/8/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/1/9)-(2/6/8/1/9)-(2/6/8/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/8/1/9)-(3/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/1/9)-(3/2/6)-(1/2/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(1/2/4/9)-(2/6/4/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-4   WIN (1/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9/8)-(1/2/4/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/4/9)-(2/6/4/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/9)-(2/6/4/9/3)-(4/11) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/6/4/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/9/3)-(2/6/4/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/9/3)-(2/6/4/9/3)-(2/6/4/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/4/9/3)-(4/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/9/3)-(4/11)-(2/6) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
OP-6   WIN (4/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/11)-(4/11/1/3/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/11)-(4/11/1/3/10)-(4/11/1/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/11)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/11)-(2/6)-(9/6/2/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
OP-7   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(9/6/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(9/6/2/3)-(10/7/5/11/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-8   WIN (9/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/3)-(9/6/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/3)-(9/6/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/2/3)-(10/7/5/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-9   WIN (10/7/5/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/11/1)-(10/7/5/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/11/1)-(10/7/5/11/1)-(10/7/5/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTLEGGING GIRL Apr22 Mar09 Feb24 Jan29 Dec30 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 120 3.50 ★    
1A  SOPHIE'S STAR Apr22 Mar16 Feb25 Jan14 Dec31 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 115 3.50 20% 3.90    
2  OLD SCHOOL FLASH Mar30 Mar19 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 8% 11.60    
3  ALTAR GIRL Apr22 Mar30 Mar05 Feb24 Jan28 (fires h)COURT K 115 6.00    
4  WORTHINESS Jan08 Dec30 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 1.00 49% 1.10    
5  TRUEBLUEGIRL Apr14 Mar16 Mar02 Feb05 Apr15 (quinonez natha)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00    
6  ONLYTHREESOCKS Mar16 Jan28       (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 115 30.00    
7  I GUESS NOT Mar30 Mar05 Feb10 Dec01 Oct02 (smith kenn)ASMUSSEN J 125 10.00 ★    
 
OP-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARL G Apr23 Mar18 Mar04 Jan20 Dec16 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 9% 10.70    
2  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Apr23 Jan20 Jan08 Nov07 Oct15 (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  TRAPPE VALLEY Mar30 Oct27 Sep23 Aug27 Jul22 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00    
4  MORNING SNOW Apr14 Mar18 Feb20 Feb04 Jan08 (pish danny)ZIMMERMAN R 118 4.00    
SCR  OJITOS Apr23 Mar23 Mar16 Mar02 Jan08 (hewitt michae)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 20.00    
6  SIDETOWN Apr07 Mar09 Feb20 Jan20 Feb21 (prather j)TORRES A 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
7  STUD PUPPY Apr14 Mar18 Mar02 Dec13 Nov29 (zito p)HARR KELSI 118 30.00    
8  ROCK N JUNE BUG Apr14 Feb03 Jan06 Nov27 Nov09 (petalino joe)WALES T 118 15.00 9% 10.10    
9  TILLIS Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 Feb03 Jul17 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
 
OP-3   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPECCABILITY Apr08 Oct19 Sep03     (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 121 4.50 ★    
2  HUMOR ME NOW Mar23         (cox h)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  PERMAFROST Apr08 Feb25 Jan15 Nov13 Oct19 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  MOON OVER DUBAI Mar19 Feb17 Dec31 Oct30   (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
5  DOUBLE NUMBERS Sep23         (von hemel)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
6  DARYL'S BOLT Apr16 Mar04 Jan22 Dec26 Nov12 (litfin ne)TORRES A 121 3.00 6% 14.70    
7  CHROME RUN Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Jan13 Dec16 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 10.00    
 
OP-4   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPRESSOR Apr08 Feb24 Sep05 Aug11   (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 1.40 31% 2.20    
2  EL GEMAR Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 Jan14 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  LEOLA Apr07 Feb26 Feb12 Jan08 Oct23 (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
4  JOE BILL Apr07 Mar09 Feb20 Feb04 Jan06 (smith kenn)ASMUSSEN J 125 20.00 14% 6.10    
5  DALTON'S RUTROW Apr07         (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 15.00    
6  FIVE O FOX Apr08 Mar09 Feb20 Feb03 Dec18 (peitz c)WALES T 125 3.50    
7  MALORIE'S BIG BOY Apr08 Mar05 Feb11 Jan20 Jan06 (richard chris)ZIMMERMAN R 121 8.00    
8  SUNSIGN Apr07 Mar23 Feb26 Feb04   (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 125 20.00 ★    
9  WHONEW         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 30.00 12% 7.50    
 
OP-5   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XYLOPHONE Mar31 Mar10 Feb11 Jan15 Dec16 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 120 4.00    
2  LUCK OF THE DRAW Mar24 Feb25 Jan11 Dec22 May08 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.50 44% 1.30    
3  TRIVISTA Apr15 Mar10 Feb16 Jan29 Jan15 (espinoza e)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Mar09 Feb20 Feb12 Dec17 Oct27 (broberg karl)ZIMMERMAN R 125 6.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  MAKE NOISE Apr23 Apr08 Mar05 Feb19 Feb10 (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 5.00    
6  R DOC Apr15 Jan21 Dec16 Nov14 Nov07 (durham da)TORRES A 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  GEORGIA DEPUTY Apr08 Mar18 Mar02 Feb19 Feb04 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 125 30.00    
8  TWITTY CITY Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 Feb11 Jan01 (altamirano)GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 30.00    
9  WHOOPING JAY Apr14 Mar26 Mar05 Feb26 Feb04 (petalino joe)COURT K 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUM 'N TONIC Apr22 Apr02 Mar25 Feb17 Jan14 (altamiran)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
 
OP-6   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEYCAMP Apr14 Mar30 Mar09 Feb18 Dec09 (cates al)DE CRUZ 121 4.00 ★    
2  DRIVING Mar30 Mar09 Feb18     (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 121 15.00    
3  TIZ A STRATEGY Apr22 Mar30 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 (martin ti)TORRES A 121 8.00 ★    
4  COROMANDEL Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 Jan08 Dec09 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  ROSALIE'S DESTINY Mar03 Feb18       (gonzalez jaime )ZIMMERMAN R 121 30.00    
6  MAY DISCO Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Jan28 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 20.00    
7  QUARANTINED Apr14 Mar03 Feb19 Jan14   (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00    
8  SWEET HOLINESS Mar30 Mar16 Feb24 Feb10 Jan29 (loy dewaine)COURT K 125 6.00    
9  GREER CROSSING Apr01 Mar03 Feb24     (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 15.00    
10  RELENTLESS ROCKET Mar17 Mar09 Jan14     (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 30.00 ★    
11  PREORDAINED Apr14         (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
12  PAT'S GAL Apr22 Mar30 Feb18 Jan08 Dec09 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 8.00    
 
OP-7   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($104K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARGUMENTAL Mar24 Feb19 Nov17 Oct26 Mar27 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
2  JETS A GINNIN Mar31 Feb26 Jan29 Dec10 Oct30 (villafran)TORRES A 118 3.00 61% 0.60    
3  HARTLEY Mar09 Feb12 Jan15 Jul09 Jun11 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 15.00 ★    
4  SASSY SAGEY Mar10 Feb19 Jan01 Nov27 Oct18 (hewitt michael)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
5  COMEDY ACT Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 Dec18 Nov20 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 ★    
6  SILVIA Apr01 Mar16 Feb18 Jan20 Nov01 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.80 13% 6.80    
7  TAKING CHARGE DESI Mar28 Mar11 Feb16 Jan26 Jan09 (lund valo)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
8  OFF RAMP Apr22 Mar24 Feb18 Jan29 Dec30 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50    
 
OP-8   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U S NAVY CROSS Apr22 Jan28 Jan08 Dec17 Dec01 (broberg k)TORRES A 118 10.00    
2  MAMZOOJ Apr16 Apr01 Jan07 Nov27 Oct29 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  MYSTIC NIGHT Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 Jan21 Nov11 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 9% 9.70    
4  ICE BLAST Mar12 Feb10 Sep28 Sep14 Jul30 (mason ingrid)WALES T 118 15.00    
5  JEDREK Mar31 Mar03 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00 ★    
6  ALL WEST Apr08 Mar10 Feb04 Jan12 Dec18 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
7  CATDADDY Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan28 Dec17 (petalino joe)ZIMMERMAN R 118 20.00    
8  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Feb24 Feb12 Jan07 May21 Apr16 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 20.00    
9  TEN GAUGE Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 Jan07 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
OP-9   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY DAY LASSIE Mar24 Feb12 Jan22 Dec17 May06 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SASSY LASS Apr08 Apr01 Feb25 Jan14 Dec31 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 122 8.00    
3  LASSIE MY GIRL Apr08 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31   (wilson mel)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
4  HEATED ARGUMENT Mar31 Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 Dec09 (gonzalez jaime)QUINONEZ S 121 15.00    
5  MS CARROLL COUNTY Apr08 Mar10 Feb19 Jan28 Dec31 (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 122 4.00 13% 6.40    
6  MUSIC MISTRESS Apr15 Mar18       (mckellar )DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
7  GRAMERCY PARK Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Apr09 Mar13 (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
8  MOCHA KISS Apr14 Apr01 Mar19 Feb20 Jan27 (stuart shea)JORDAN R 121 10.00    
SCR  HAMAZING DEBATE Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 Jan07 (gonzalez n)COURT K 126 30.00    
10  ONE WAY OR ANOTHER Apr01 Mar10 Feb20 Dec17 Nov09 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
11  CHOCTAW CHARLIE Apr01 Mar19 Feb20 Dec17 May06 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 20.00 6% 16.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.