Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-3   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-4   WIN (9/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/6)-(9/3/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/6)-(9/3/2/6/8)-(9/3/2/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2/6)-(7/9/3)-(9/1/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-5   WIN (7/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/3)-(7/9/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/3)-(7/9/3/1/6)-(7/9/3/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/3)-(9/1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-6   WIN (9/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/4)-(9/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/4)-(9/1/3/4)-(9/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTEREY PENINSULA Mar26 Mar03 Feb12 Dec08 Sep09 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 42% 1.40    
2  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR Apr02 Mar12 May21 Apr23 Mar26 (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 3.00 27% 2.60    
3  BUG ZAPPER Mar31         (womochil jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
4  AMBASSADOR MIKE Mar31 Feb09 Jan26 Dec29 Oct11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 ★    
5  BRICKTOWN BROWN Apr08 Apr19 Mar22     (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50    
6  NACHO S Mar19 Nov27 Sep14 Aug21 Jul17 (russell natha)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
 
FON-2   04/21/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECT ROYAL Apr02 Mar19 Feb11 Jun24 Jun11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  DAVE Apr02 Mar11 Sep19 Aug09 Jun19 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  I'M LUCKY Sep11 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun17 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 12.00 7% 14.30    
4  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER Apr02 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 Sep26 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
SCR  HANSENS MISCHIEF Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Mar19 (ducheneaux j)BETHKE A 125 6.00 31% 2.30    
6  GETTINHOT'NHERE Apr02 Mar26 Feb17 Jan21 Dec07 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
7  LUCKY BREAK Apr15 Mar12 Feb11 Jan18 Dec21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
 
FON-3   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ BRIGHTER Apr02 Mar17 Feb25 Jun17 Jun04 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 30% 2.40    
2  BIG BEND BUCKAROO Apr02 Mar19 Jun10 May28 May01 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 ★    
3  PRINCE B Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Jun19 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 2.50    
4  DIAMANTE JOSE Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Jun17 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00    
5  HUSKER LEGACY Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Jun17 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
6  CHIEF TY HE Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Jun10 May30 (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 ★    
7  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT Apr02 Mar26 Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
FON-4   04/21/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN DIVA Aug11         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 15.00    
2  PIZZA GIRL Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Sep24   (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 10% 8.90    
3  DIXIE TRIXIE Mar25 Mar18 Feb11 Sep24 Sep12 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 1.60 11% 8.40    
4  WITT'S GRIS Apr15 Mar26 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 121 15.00    
5  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE Mar17 Feb25 Sep25 Sep13 Aug21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 15.00    
6  DIXIE SWIRL         (dieter dalton)RAMOS B 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHAMA Apr08 Aug17 Jul10 Jun05   (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
8  PALACEDANCER Mar25 Mar18 Sep26 Aug21 Jul10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 ★    
9  STREET RINGER Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Oct02 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
FON-5   04/21/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST NATIVE CAT Feb02 Jan21 May14 Apr22 Feb18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★    
2  SIR BARNABUS Apr07 Sep14 Aug20 Jul17 Jun26 (stankey jannae)LUARK T 125 12.00    
3  RUNNIN BUFFALO         (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  BIG BLUE OKIE         (deisley gale)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
5  JAMAICA MISTAICA Apr07 Mar17 Sep14 Aug24   (smith george )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
6  AFTER BURN Apr07 Mar17 Nov11 Oct28 Oct05 (womochil jeff)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 ★    
7  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN Apr07 Mar17 Mar03 Jan26 Jan04 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.40 31% 2.30    
8  LOVE OURS Jan28 Jan13 Jan05 Nov12   (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
9  MOJITO Aug27         (compton jesse)RAMOS B 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
FON-6   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S D 'CAT Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 22% 3.70    
SCR  GONE PREACHIN Apr07 Mar25 Mar12 Feb10 Jun17 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 8.00 11% 8.30    
3  LADDIE BOY Mar24 Mar12 Mar04 Feb19 Sep05 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 6.00 8% 11.90    
4  SPORTY FLYER Apr01 Mar26 Feb09 Jan15 Dec30 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 7% 12.90    
5  RUN FOR MATTY Mar31 Mar19 Feb26 Feb18 Nov30 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
6  MASTERPIECE DAY Apr07 Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 Jul26 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50    
7  TWICE THE PRICE Apr01 Feb19 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
8  HATTIES JEWEL Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb19 Feb11 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 15.00    
9  SILVER MAKER Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb19 Sep11 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.