Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9/5/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/9/5/2/7)-(8/9/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9)-(2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/9)-(2/8)-(7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/8)-(7/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(7/8)-(8/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8)-(7/8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/8)-(7/8/6)-(7/8/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/8)-(8/3/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/8)-(8/3/5/7)-(4/1/7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/7)-(4/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/7)-(4/1/7/3)-(5/6/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3)-(5/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/3)-(5/6/10)-(6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/10)-(5/6/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/10)-(5/6/10/1)-(5/6/10/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/10)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/10)-(6/1/4)-(9/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(9/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(9/5/7)-(8/6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/7)-(9/5/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/7)-(9/5/7/6/2)-(9/5/7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/5/7)-(8/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (8/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/3/7)-(8/6/4/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET J. Mar16 Jan27 Dec08 Dec01 Nov16 (kopecki e)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
2  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Mar11 Feb17 Jan26 Dec17 Dec06 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 126 4.50 ★    
3  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Mar16 Mar02 Feb23 Jan12 Dec10 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
4  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Dec10 Nov26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
5  BERNIE THE GAMBLER Mar16 Mar02 Dec10 Nov18 Nov09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 ★    
6  MADDEYE MOODY Mar16 Mar02 Jan27 Dec10   (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 124 20.00    
7  MIO GRACELAND Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan12 Dec16 (sanderson wad)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 ★    
8  FELICIAS CASTLE Mar16 Mar02 Jan27 Nov30 Nov10 (comi ralp)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
9  MACHEN'S RIDGE Mar16 Jan27 Dec14 Nov23 Oct05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
CT-2   04/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Mar09 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 (jones michae)LEWIS M 115 12.00    
2  JEFFERSON SECURITY Mar02 Jan11 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Dec04 Oct19 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
4  SEATTLE SAILAWAY Mar10 Feb02 Dec16 Oct26 Oct05 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 5.00    
5  SIENTE EL AMOR Mar10 Feb24 Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 124 20.00    
6  LEG UP Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Feb08 Jan26 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  JUBA BOUND Mar10 Feb24 Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
8  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Mar10 Feb08 Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.00 6% 14.70    
 
CT-3   04/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Mar17         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
2  CALERA LOVE Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
SCR  CAROLINE KRYSTYNA         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TIDE IS HIGH by WHISKEY WISDOM)
4  DEAREST M. A.         (jones y)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of HAYLEY AGNES by REDEEMED)
5  MARSANNE Mar04 Feb08 Jan25 Jan01 Nov22 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MYSTIC CITY by CITY ZIP)
6  PROUD PERFORMER Feb15 Jan18 Nov20     (king l)LEWIS M 115 4.50 ★    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of PROUD HEROINE by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  I'M HEADING EAST Mar10 Feb23 Jan20     (rojas e)FLORES E 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by EASTWOOD out of I'M JUST SAYIN by SEMORAN)
8  IRISH VALENTINE Mar17 Feb25 Feb04     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of INDIAN BEAUTY by FAST BULLET)
 
CT-4   04/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00    
2  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Mar09 Feb10 Jan14 Dec14 Nov25 (dillon ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
3  LUNAR PRAYER Feb25 Feb04 Jan11 Dec17 Nov05 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
4  TWO STEP SALLY Jan14         (malgarini mawi)RIOS-CONDE A 124 5.00    
5  LADY QUINN Feb22 Jan26 Dec18 Nov04 Sep05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 6.00 6% 17.00    
6  JUBA'S HOUSE Mar04 Feb04 Jan14 Dec07 Nov11 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 126 8.00    
7  SHAKE IT GIRL Mar01 Jan18 Dec08 Oct26 Oct07 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 15.00 5% 17.50    
8  STOPWATCHSONNY Feb25 Dec07 Nov17 Oct13 Sep23 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  ARLYNE'S CROWN Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Jan05 Nov10 (alessi ja)HERNANDEZ F 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
CT-5   04/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASENJOHNATHAN Mar16         (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
2  SWISS LEGACY Apr27 Mar02 Feb04     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
3  LOGSTRADAMUS Feb23 Feb09 Dec08 Nov17 Oct20 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 11% 7.70    
4  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Mar18 Feb15 Jan25 Dec14 Nov26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 25% 2.90    
5  IN HIGH GEAR Mar30 Mar10 Feb23 Feb09 Dec01 (mcdonald timoth)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
6  NEVERFOLD Mar25 Feb23 Feb09 Dec29 Dec02 (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 122 4.00    
7  I'M THE MONEY MAN Dec14 Nov19 Nov02     (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 6.00 17% 4.70    
8  NEVERPOPTHECORK Mar18 Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov23 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 12.00    
 
CT-6   04/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZBIT Mar18 Mar02 Feb01 Jan19 Dec03 (gillesp)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 8.00 ★    
SCR  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Jan14 Nov16 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 7% 13.20    
SCR  CHURCH KEY Mar30 Mar04 Feb16 Jan14 Dec01 (harrison glenn)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00    
4  HOVEL Mar17 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
5  KATALIMA Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec10 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  BAYS CASTLE Mar09 Feb25 Feb01 Jan19 Jan06 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  CURLIN'S DOVE Nov17 Nov04 Oct08 Jun09 May12 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 124 8.00    
8  REVEIRS MINUTE Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 Dec10 Oct22 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
9  TAPPING SOUTH Mar18 Feb23 Feb04 Oct12 Oct01 (barahona is)RAMGEET R 124 15.00    
10  ARROWWOOD Feb24 Feb01 Dec10 Nov18 Sep01 (runco c)LEWIS M 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  TALENTED TAPPER Mar15 Feb09 Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 (harigeorgiou ko)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
 
CT-7   04/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLEY SIOUX Mar16 Jan28 Dec17 Nov26   (straughn will)ADAMS L 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  RIVER ROYALE R V F Feb23 Jan04 Nov26     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 5.00 ★    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ROYAL DISCOVERY by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
3  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 116 10.00 ★    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
4  LIEUTENANT BROWN Mar16         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 3.50 10% 9.10    
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of LADEPUTAUT by CHAPEL ROYAL)
5  LAST PARTY         (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 126 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LADIES PARTY by SEATTLE SLEW)
6  OFFICER STONE Mar16 Jan28       (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by VINYARDS DREAM out of STONESONG by STONESIDER)
7  MEETMARYSMAN Mar16         (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 126 15.00    
  (by BOBALICIOUS out of MEET MISS CONNIE by MEDFORD)
8  CRUSH 'N RUN Mar23 Mar09 Feb15     (lewis r)LARROSA G 116 30.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of EXECUTIVE DRIVEN by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SCR  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Mar09 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Dec08 (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 116 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
10  NEEDNOEXPLANATION Mar16 Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 (bowman el)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 12.00    
  (by THAT'S RICH out of BEAR'SLITTLEBEAUTY by COPELAN TOO)
 
CT-8   04/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN G Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Jan13 Dec16 (gillesp)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
2  MR TINGLES Mar09 Feb02 Jan21 Jan13 Nov04 (dolling)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  STARSHIP TAXI Mar09 Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 (pennella m)BAEZ M 115 20.00    
SCR  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Mar27 Feb23 Dec07 Nov24 Nov02 (treharne da)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
5  FULLY CONNECTED Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Nov12 Oct12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  FREE DANCER Mar04 Feb02 Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 ★    
7  PRIMAL DESTINY Feb23 Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Sep22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
8  CAIRO CALLING Jan12 Nov17 Oct30 Sep14 Apr28 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.50    
9  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Mar10 Jan21 Oct12 Sep14 Aug06 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
 
CT-9   04/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Mar25         (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
2  SWEET FACTOR Mar16 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Jan07 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00    
3  VICTORIAN RIVIERA Mar29 Jan29 Jan22 Dec02 Nov13 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00 ★    
4  BABKA Mar02 Feb15 Dec29 Oct30 Sep18 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
5  COAST TO GLORY         (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00    
6  SUPER SWEETIE Mar16 Mar01       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  LINDA'S TAJ Mar17 Feb25 Jan13 Dec14 Dec02 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  M'LADY THATCHER Mar12 Jan29 Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ODINA Feb11 Feb04 Jan18 Jan06 Dec02 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00    
10  RACE N RETURN Nov16 Oct29 Aug04     (harigeo)NUNEZ ANAHI 116 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.