Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (5)-(7/4/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5)-(7/4/2/3)-(9/6/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/3)-(9/6/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/3)-(9/6/3/5/2)-(7/5/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (9/6/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/5/2)-(9/6/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/5/2)-(9/6/3/5/2)-(9/6/3/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/3/5/2)-(7/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3/5/2)-(7/5/2/4)-(8/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/4)-(8/7)-(4/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(4/5/7)-(5/10/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(5/10/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(5/10/2)-(7/8/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/2)-(5/10/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/10/2)-(5/10/2/8)-(5/10/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/10/2)-(7/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/10/2)-(7/8/3/4)-(5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/4)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3/6/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/3/6/9)-(5/4/3/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVIELEE Mar03 Feb12 Nov27 Oct29 Oct16 (munoz carlo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00    
2  AWKWARD PAUSE Mar18 Feb22 Jan28 Jan15 Dec31 (mcgoey monica)ALICEA JEREMY 116 6.00 ★    
3  ROLL ON DUDE Feb16 Feb06 Jan02     (cascallares n)REEVES F 123 12.00    
4  I'LL FINISH Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 123 2.00 ★    
5  R KING KONG         (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 123 1.00 73% 0.40    
6  ANY MINUTE Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Jan15 Dec22 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 123 15.00    
 
TAM-2   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLAKENSTEIN Mar15 Feb18 Jan29 Jan07 Dec22 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
2  SAN COSTANTINO Mar15 Mar05 Feb17 Jan29 Jan06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
3  SCRUTINIZER Feb18 Feb05 Jan07 Nov23 Oct16 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00 8% 12.30    
4  KITCHEN FIRE Mar15 Feb19 Jan14 Dec08 Oct24 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  IMPERIAL KING Feb17 Feb01 Dec16 Nov26 Nov05 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 2.50    
6  ISLE OF SKYE Mar03 Feb05 Jan20 Dec21 Aug21 (smith robe)FERRER C 118 6.00    
7  DAVIDIC LINE Mar10 Feb05 Jan11 Dec16 Oct22 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
 
TAM-3   04/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINGER SPARKLE Mar19 Mar08 Feb24 Feb19 Feb05 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 119 12.00    
2  DIVINE ENCOUNTER Dec02 Sep25 Aug28     (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00 6% 14.70    
3  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Mar15 Feb01 Jan01 Dec07 Oct14 (knoll d)ALLEN D 119 5.00 9% 9.90    
4  REDZILLA Mar22 Mar04 Feb17 Feb04 Jan15 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 112 12.00    
5  MYSTIC DREAMS Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18 Jan07 (mazza w)FERRER C 119 4.00 8% 11.60    
6  DONNA LIRICA Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Feb01 Jan01 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
7  SIGN AND SEAL Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 Sep05 Aug24 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
8  RAINOUT Mar01 Feb01 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
9  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Mar15 Feb25 Feb01 Jan01 Dec10 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
TAM-4   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL POLICIA Feb17 Feb03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec28 (sacco gregory)FUENTES MARIO 123 5.00    
2  GERARD Jan26 Dec17 Nov13 Oct22 Oct07 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
3  COLORS Mar12 Feb22 Jan22 Jan06 Jul10 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 118 12.00    
4  FLYING SUN Mar19 Feb26 Aug11     (raven kerri)CASTANON L 118 15.00 13% 6.60    
5  J T'S MY BOY Mar15 Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Jan06 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  EDMUND FITZGERALD Mar11 Feb01 Dec31 Dec24 Sep30 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 123 15.00    
7  POSEIDONS MYTH Mar15 Mar03 Jan18 Dec30 Dec02 (ubide max)ARROYO S 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
8  ALEXIS N NIKO Mar19 Mar10 Feb16 Jan20 Nov25 (mcgoey monica)ALICEA JEREMY 116 2.50    
 
TAM-5   04/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRAZU Feb19 Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 Dec02 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
2  CHICA BOOM Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 Dec04 Aug10 (gracida ruben)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50    
3  SUMMER AT THE SPA Mar03 Feb08 Jan25 Jan01 Oct22 (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 6.00 ★    
4  ONE NIGHT STAND Mar12 Jan25 Jan07 Dec07 Nov09 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 5.00    
5  TWISTED TREASURE Mar12 Feb19 Jun19 May30 Apr29 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 30.00    
6  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Feb25 Jan15 Nov26 Sep16 Aug13 (downing willia)CASTANON L 119 4.50 ★    
7  WHISKARITA Feb19 Feb03 Jan20 Dec31 Nov05 (smith ro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PUGILIST Feb25 Jan21 Nov26 Sep23 Aug21 (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 67% 0.50    
SCR  MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) Feb19 Jan25 Nov26 Sep13 Aug23 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 15.00 ★    
10  CUPIDS DREAM Mar18 Mar01 Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 10.00    
 
TAM-6   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO TOWN ANNIE         (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 10.00    
2  LIEUTENANTS SEQUEL         (philipp karyn)BRACHO A 120 12.00    
3  OREO STASH         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
4  ONE TOUGH DAME Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 Jan25 Dec28 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
5  MOONSHINING         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  GLORIOUS WAVE         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
7  CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 6% 15.50    
8  NOBLE ATTITUDE Mar17 Feb25 Feb12 Jan18   (manchan bertr)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
 
TAM-7   04/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHPAW MIKE Feb26 Feb17 Feb04 Jan08 Sep30 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 10.00    
2  GRATIA PRINCE Mar12 Feb03 Dec30 Nov30 Sep18 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  FLAWLESS CAT Mar12 Feb17 Dec21 Oct20 Oct02 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 8% 12.30    
4  FIRE BARON Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 Feb04 Jan21 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
5  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Feb26 Feb17 Jan28 Dec28 Oct23 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 1.80 35% 1.90    
6  CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Jan28 Dec07 Nov04 Sep10 Jul20 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
7  CESAR Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan20 Dec21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 15.00    
8  BROOKLYN GUY Jan11 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08   (alvarado dian)SOSA LAUREANO 112 8.00 ★    
9  HONOR LEO JEAN Feb17 Jan22       (hamm timothy)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
10  ROMANTIC FANTASY Mar04 Jan25       (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 17% 4.70    
 
TAM-8   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGSWOOD May23 Apr29 Mar18 Feb23   (arnett g)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
2  ABISKO Feb25 Nov27       (halden rachel)CENTENO E 118 12.00    
3  CANTANKEROUS CAT Aug22 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 May29 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 13% 7.00    
4  CATCH ON EMOTIONAL Mar17         (dominguez r)BUSH V 122 6.00 6% 15.80    
5  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Mar15 Feb01 Sep17 Aug17 Jun18 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00    
6  ROGER MCQUEEN Mar15 Feb15 Jan26 Dec17 Nov21 (smith ro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
7  BABY BOOMER Jan06 Nov27 Aug26 Jul31 Jul10 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
8  SWAGGY GEORGE Aug22 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May30 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
TAM-9   04/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVELY REMARK Mar10 Jan29 Jan15 Dec28 Dec09 (nunn dougl)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 8.00    
2  IRISH KITTEN Mar10 Feb24 Feb12 Jan04 Dec21 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
3  HURRY UP DEAR Feb08 Jan01 Dec07 Sep17 Aug27 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 115 15.00 ★    
4  MYLASTREDCENT Mar01 Feb08       (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.50 35% 1.90    
5  NEWYEARSPRESENT Mar15 Feb24 Feb08     (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  CASTLE BORN Mar15 Mar01 Feb19 Dec09 May08 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 8.00 ★    
7  MORENA DANCER Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 (marre)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 15.00    
8  I CALLED IT RIGHT Mar12         (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
9  SYLLABUS Mar15 Feb24 Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 (dominguez luis)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00 ★    
10  GLACIE INHERITANCE         (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 20.00    
SCR  FAMILY BAND Dec29 Nov17       (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  AMORE MOON Mar15 Mar01 Jan26 Dec23 Dec02 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 15.00    
SCR  SHE IS ROYALTY Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 Jan15 Dec22 (calixto ivan)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
SCR  BLACK KARMA Mar19 Mar04 Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.