Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (4/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/1)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/1)-(2/3)-(9/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(9/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(9/1/5)-(5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-3   WIN (9/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/5)-(9/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1/5)-(9/1/5)-(9/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/1/5)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5)-(5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/8/6/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/8/6/1/3)-(5/8/6/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5)-(4/5/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4/5/1)-(1/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/12)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-6   WIN (1/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/12)-(1/12/5/11/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/12)-(1/12/5/11/4)-(1/12/5/11/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/12)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/12)-(2/1)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/9/10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/9/10/3)-(2/1/9/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(7/3/1)-(1/9/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/4/10)-(7/3/1/4/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(1/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-9   WIN (1/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/3)-(1/9/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/3)-(1/9/3/6)-(1/9/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CECE WAVE Feb15 Jan27 Dec20 Nov26 Nov05 (duhon paul)LUZZI J 123 20.00 10% 9.30    
  (by TIDAL WAVE out of DONE DONE IT by JOE'S SON JOEY)
2  WISE MEMORIES Jan21 Dec30 Nov27     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of WICKEDLY WISE by TACTICAL CAT)
3  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL Feb26 Feb11 Jan16 Nov22 Nov12 (cruz eduardo)DIAZ RENE 123 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of I AM IRON WOMAN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
4  FAME STREET Feb17 Jan27 Oct08 Sep14 Aug20 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 115 1.00 41% 1.40    
  (by STREET SENSE out of NEWSREEL (IRE) by A.P. INDY)
5  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Feb17 Jan27       (jacks e)DIEGO V 115 3.00 12% 7.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
6  GIRL ON THE GO Feb19         (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FIRST ROMANCE by DYNAFORMER)
7  A LITTLE GOOD NEWS Mar17 Feb10       (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 115 4.00 13% 6.80    
  (by TAPIT out of NIGHT SONG by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
HOU-2   03/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEAU Feb10 Jan06 Nov26 Oct21 Sep10 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.00 61% 0.60    
2  ERNIE BANKER Feb20 Feb04 Jan15 Jan01 Nov07 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 1.80 5% 19.00    
3  WARRIOR'S MAP Feb17 Feb04 Jan16 Sep13 Aug23 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRIVEHAPPY Mar03 Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Sep25 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 12.00 ★    
5  BIZZY LEGS Jan28 Jan06 Nov19 Nov08 Oct20 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50    
6  MILITARY BEARING Feb25 Jan25 Jan06 Nov11 Oct26 (j)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
SCR  RED N WILD Mar03 Feb20 Jan16 Dec03 Oct12 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  CLIFF DIVER Mar17 Mar04 Feb20 Oct15 Oct01 (caldwell j )HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
 
HOU-3   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG RESULTS Feb10 Jan14 Dec21 Nov30 Oct28 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00 7% 13.50    
2  LOVING LUCKY Mar05 Oct05 Sep19 Sep03 Jul26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50    
SCR  IT'S A BIRD Jan21 Dec17 Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 (grimaldo jose)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
SCR  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Oct19 Sep24 Sep06 Aug25 Aug08 (g)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 16% 5.10    
5  SCHOENHARDT Feb03 Jan14 Aug27 Jul17 Jul02 (carrizales edel)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Mar10 Feb12 Dec21 Dec09 Nov09 (butler ken)PEREZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
7  GOLD ACCOUNT Feb25 Oct08 Sep22 Sep10 Jul16 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.50    
SCR  FLEXATI Mar11 Nov14 Nov05 Sep17 Sep07 (bravo franc)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 ★    
9  DELIRIUM Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 May08 Apr01 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
HOU-4   03/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN FOREST Mar17 Mar05 Jun26 Jun10   (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50 ★    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of THE CAT WHO by MAGIC CAT)
2  RIP RULES         (echeverria hector)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of GIRL'S RULE by ROMAN RULER)
3  XANDER S         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 ★    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
4  MR. VALENTINO Mar17 Feb24       (keen dallas)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
  (by REVOLVING out of FLAIR FOR FASHION by OLD FASHIONED)
5  ZAVALA Mar05         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 1.80 69% 0.40    
  (by HAMAZING DESTINY out of BLUSHING SIS by GIACOMO)
6  BARSINVIEW Feb26 Feb11       (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DESIRABLE LADY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
7  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 20.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of SHE'S LETHAL by MASS MEDIA)
8  HARD GOLD Mar17 Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 2.50 ★    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MAQUITA ELAINE by HARD SPUN)
9  MUD ON MY BOOTS         (e)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of EARLY M by EARLY FLYER)
 
HOU-5   03/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAHMS BOY Mar11 Feb10 Apr28 Mar25 Mar12 (lloyd carol)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 15.00 6% 14.50    
2  CHARLIE'S TOWN Feb23 Jan08 Dec16 Mar11 Feb17 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
3  PUTMAN Feb22 Jan29 Nov26 Oct07 Jul30 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
4  CHIEF BRADY Jul22 Jun24 May14 Mar26 Feb19 (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  MEANT FOR ME Feb28 Feb16 Jan12 May29 Mar05 (johnson b)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 11% 8.00    
6  WIN WON DOBBS Mar19 Feb10 Jan22 Dec28   (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00    
SCR  MY AMIGO CHARLIE Feb16 Jan15 Dec28 Nov30 Nov02 (grim)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
SCR  PHILO BEDDOE Mar11 Apr10 Mar19 Mar05 Jan30 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.00 17% 4.90    
9  WILTON Jan22 Jan08 Oct15 Sep24 Sep18 (g)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
SCR  RUSH THE COLORS Jan22 Jan05 Nov11 Jul17 Jul08 (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 ★    
 
HOU-6   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLCZYK Mar11         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50 62% 0.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE COLLECTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  CLAY'S BLACK OPAL Mar11 Feb18 Jan28     (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 2.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INDY CHEERS by A.P. INDY)
3  PRINCE CURLIN Feb03 Jan13       (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 30.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MIZ STRAWBERRY DEE by ATTICUS)
4  I AM GRODD Mar18 Feb24 Feb03 Jan14 Dec12 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 12.00 ★    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of BALTIC NATIONS by SEATTLE SLEW)
5  JOHNNY APPLESEED         (willis mindy)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 ★    
  (by GORMLEY out of APPEALING APPLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  HERO TIME Oct21 Sep21 Aug27     (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SHARE THE GLORY by GRAND SLAM)
7  KENTUCKY ICE Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 Sep07 Jul17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of OX EYED DAISY by OXBOW)
8  ANOTHER JOURNEY Feb26 Sep15       (keen da)GONCALVES R 122 4.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KISS MY SWISS by SWISS YODELER)
9  C P'S WILD FIRE         (guzman adan)MELANCON JANSEN 122 30.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of C C'S WILD FIRE by CHOOSING CHOICE)
10  HUMOR ME PLEASE Mar22 Mar09 Jan20 Dec23 Dec09 (g)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
  (by LEA out of UNDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  KELL'S BELLS Feb26 Aug26       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 15.00 ★    
  (by MO TOWN out of UNBRIDLED APPEAL by UNBRIDLED)
12  PIONEER TOWN Sep22 Sep03 Jul31     (ashford ray)LUZZI J 122 12.00 13% 6.90    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of WINTER SOLSTICE (GB) by UNFUWAIN)
 
HOU-7   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS PRADO Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 6% 14.60    
2  GUSTAVO Mar11 Feb10 Jan27 Jan06 Aug29 (gustafson)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 3.00 67% 0.50    
3  FLY'N SEXY Feb25 Feb10 Jul24 Jul02 Mar24 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 ★    
4  LIBERTY SPIRIT Mar17 Feb20 Feb04 Dec16 Nov30 (horton linda)JUDE JOHN 123 12.00    
5  BRILLIANT COLORS Mar12 Feb17 Jan20 Jan06 Dec02 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 115 8.00    
6  GET WITT GONE Mar11 Feb25 Feb03 Jan20 Sep27 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 12.00    
7  INFINITE MORO Feb25 Jan21 Jan06 Sep19 Sep06 (k)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
8  VICTOR VALENTINO Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 Sep03 Jul21 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
9  GAMMA RAY Feb10 Jan20 Dec07 Nov14 Oct26 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 ★    
10  BILLY YANK Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Dec08 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00 ★    
 
HOU-8   03/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUDE PERFECTA Feb19 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 Nov30 (j)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 11% 7.80    
2  SUMMER LOVER Mar18 Mar01 Feb20 Jan29 Dec04 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
3  UNDER THE GUN Mar10 Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 Nov09 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  JACKMAN'S RIDE Feb25 Feb05 Jan22 Nov05 Oct15 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.50 ★    
5  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
6  MAYAN Mar04 Jan15 Dec09 Nov09 Sep22 (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00    
7  BIG BERNIE Mar05 May21 Apr30 Mar25 Mar05 (willis )GONCALVES R 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 May21 May07 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 6.00    
9  TALE TWISTER Mar05 Feb17 Sep17 Aug08 Jul10 (jacks karen )PIVARAL GERBER 119 10.00    
10  SR. BI BI Mar11 Feb12 Jan07 Dec14 Dec03 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 10.00 ★    
 
HOU-9   03/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANATLAN Feb19 Feb03 Jan13     (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  FANDO Mar11 Jul22 May29 May08 Mar25 (uriegas hen)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
3  DOUGH BOY Mar04 Jan28 Jul23 Jun26 May15 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 115 15.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  COWBOY RIDGE Mar11 Mar03 Jan27 Jan14 Oct22 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 119 20.00 ★    
5  MOROLICIOUS Mar12 Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00    
6  PHARME'S PHAITH Mar03 Feb20 Jan27 Sep27 Sep19 (j)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 ★    
7  CAPTAINS COVE Mar03 Jan27 Jan05 Dec20 Nov05 (butler ken)PEREZ ANGEL 114 12.00    
8  NIGHTWIND Mar04 Feb18 Jan16 Nov03 Oct13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 115 15.00    
9  TAPITS KASH Mar03 Feb03 Apr01 Feb19 Jan30 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
10  WITT AMERICA Mar11 Feb25 Feb17 Sep27 Sep07 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
11  GOLIATH RIDGE Mar04 Feb19 Feb03 Jan06 Sep19 (kotara rona)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.