Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - March 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(6/8/7/2)-(7/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-2   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/2)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/2)-(7/2/1/3)-(3/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-3   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(3/6/1)-(8/4/3/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(8/4/3/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(8/4/3/1/9)-(1/2/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-5   WIN (8/4/3/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/1/9)-(8/4/3/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/1/9)-(8/4/3/1/9)-(8/4/3/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/3/1/9)-(1/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/1/9)-(1/2/7)-(7/6/5/1/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRX-6   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(7/6/5/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(7/6/5/1/4)-(1/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-7   WIN (7/6/5/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/1/4)-(7/6/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/1/4)-(7/6/5/1/4)-(7/6/5/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/5/1/4)-(1/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/1/4)-(1/2/6)-(7/8/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-8   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(7/8/6)-(5/9/2/10/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-9   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6)-(7/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(5/9/2/10/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-10   WIN (5/9/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/10/7)-(5/9/2/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/10/7)-(5/9/2/10/7)-(5/9/2/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY FIRE Mar01         (cole)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 10.00    
BUBBY PAPERMAKER Mar06 Feb14       (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 121 6.00    
E T'S CODE RED         (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 12.00 5% 17.30    
BLACKWATER FALLS Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 Dec08 Nov17 (bryant donald)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 6.00 31% 2.20    
BRANDON'S SMILE Dec18         (avila juan )ZAMBRANA JADIEL 111 6.00    
SECRET THUNDER Dec02 Oct02 Aug25     (falcone robe)TORRES A 114 2.50 38% 1.70    
DESTIN'S MISSION Jan03 Nov12 Oct18     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 5.00    
UNION REWARD Mar21 Feb27 Jan31 Jan11 Nov22 (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00    
 
PRX-2   03/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOK OUT LAMBO Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00    
RUNNINGFORHOME Mar13 Feb28 Jan31 Jan18 Jan02 (kirby t)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00 8% 11.90    
MISSISSIPPI Feb28 Jan31 Jan18 Oct31 Oct12 (perez ruperto)MILAN GERARDO 121 6.00    
JUST NOD AND SMILE Mar15 Feb02 Jan16 Dec20 Nov30 (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
CURLIN'S THRILL Mar21 Feb14 Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 121 6.00    
MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Mar06 Feb20 Jan10 Dec16 Oct28 (romero alex)DE KEMICH 117 6.00 39% 1.50    
OUTRAGEOUS BET Mar08 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 (tapsas elias)RUIZ ELISEO 111 4.00 8% 11.30    
DEVOTED KITTEN Feb10 Jan25 Jan06 Dec06 Nov18 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 121 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
PRX-3   03/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZEN MAN Feb13 Jan23 Jan04 Nov29 Nov14 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 121 1.80 12% 7.30    
STEVIE T Mar08 Feb21 Feb06 Jan10 Dec12 (diaz jorge)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 111 3.00 17% 4.80    
VANCOUVER D'ORO Mar15 Mar01 Feb20 Jan17 Jan02 (arce josue)RUIZ ELISEO 111 10.00 9% 10.10    
SIR CUPID Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 Jan17 Dec14 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 10.00    
LIBERTY RUNNER Mar21 Feb20 Jan31 Nov14 Oct19 (leung carlos)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
WHERESTHEPASSION Mar14 Feb13 Jan23 Jan10 Dec20 (mercedes pedr)PEREZ M 121 15.00    
EMINENCY Feb22 Feb09 Dec31 Dec04 Nov12 (castillo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
PRX-4   03/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS HOTSHOT Mar17 Feb27 Jan25 Nov23 Nov14 (gonzalez-mi)RAMOS C 116 15.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 Jan25 Dec13 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00 11% 8.30    
JUST STAY HOME Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 Jan16 Dec13 (ramirez silvin)LOPEZ DERECK 111 3.00 29% 2.50    
MARIANNA QUEEN Mar17 Feb27 Feb06 Dec20 Dec05 (santaella-cal)RANGEL JOEZER 121 4.50    
PENANCE Mar15 Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 Dec12 (pollara frank)RIVERA D 121 4.00    
FAST INTENTIONS Mar07 Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 Dec14 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
LONDONDERRY Mar13 Feb07 Jan25 Jan16 Dec20 (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.00    
 
PRX-5   03/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLIN N CONTROLIN Feb22 Jan24 Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 7% 13.30    
CHARLYS WILD ANGEL Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 Feb07 Jan17 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 6.00    
AMERICA'S PRIDE Mar22 Feb05 Jan21 Jul31 May19 (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
QUEEN LUCKY Mar20 Feb20 Jan23 Jan10 Dec20 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00 16% 5.10    
MAARTY'S DILEMMA Mar08 Jan24 Jan09 Dec12 Oct10 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
NANA'S BOOPA Mar08 Feb27 Feb14 Jan25 Jan16 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 111 15.00    
FRIEDER FANATIC Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 Jan16 Dec19 (pola)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 15.00    
RANDOM LUCK Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 Dec20 Nov21 (wyner harol)RAMOS C 116 4.00 31% 2.30    
DIVINE TWIST Apr26 Apr11 Mar16 Feb16   (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  COLETTE'S SPIRIT Mar15 Mar01 Jan16 May11 Apr21 (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 121 20.00    
 
PRX-6   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVISIBILITY Mar03 Jan20 Dec31 Dec06 Nov02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
FIVEALARM FREAKOUT Feb09 Jan15       (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50 16% 5.20    
HIP HOP HOORAY Mar07 Dec20 Dec06     (padilla-preci)RANGEL JOEZER 121 6.00    
SCR  BAY AND GOLD Mar13 Jul27 May23     (dunn john)ADORNO ABNER 118 6.00    
ALL HAIL MO Feb07 Dec20 Nov15 Oct04 Sep01 (padilla-pr)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50    
HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH Mar13 Jan10 Dec28 Dec07 Oct29 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 118 6.00    
MAGIC MISS Jan06 Oct16 Oct02     (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 3.00 6% 14.80    
 
PRX-7   03/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTE UP ALEX Mar06 Feb22 Jan31 Jan23 Dec19 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00 8% 11.40    
MISCHIEVOUS JONES Mar22 Mar15 Feb28 Feb15 Jan23 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00    
MR. TUTTLE Mar21 Mar08 Feb15 Feb07 Jan11 (arce josue)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 15.00    
ABOUT THE MULTIPLE Mar15 Feb13 Jan17 Jan02 Dec19 (soto c)RAMOS C 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRUE DAKOTAN Mar21 Mar06 Feb21 Jan31 Jan17 (castillo sanc)OCASIO M 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
STARSHIP GOTHAM Mar22 Feb20 Jan25 Dec19 Nov22 (dominguez ma)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00 14% 5.90    
SEVEN AND SEVEN Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 (bryant dona)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 6.00 34% 1.90    
DON'T RECALL Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 Jan17 Dec21 (polachek ja)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 111 12.00    
DOUGIE Mar08 Feb15 Jan11 Dec19 Nov21 (mann farrel)CASTILLO A 121 20.00    
10  D BLACK MAMBA Feb15 Jan26 Jan16 Dec12 Nov16 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
 
PRX-8   03/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAN ON E Mar18 Feb07 Dec05 Nov16 Oct25 (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 30% 2.40    
MISS PEPPINA Mar07 Jan03 Dec05 Nov02 Oct05 (soto- martine)OCASIO M 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
NOT A TRACE Mar13 Feb27 Jan25 Jan11 Dec20 (nicholson juni)MOYA F 124 8.00    
SCR  TOMARIE Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 Jun27 Jun11 (bouchard leslye)RUIZ ELISEO 111 5.00    
ALWAYS A QUEEN Feb22 Jan15 Dec07 Nov15   (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50    
TRIBORD Feb14 Jan17 Dec13 Nov16 Oct04 (santaella-calde)BOWMAN ADAM 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
WHYISSHESOOLUCKY Feb27 Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 Dec12 (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 121 12.00    
ONE WILD WOMAN Feb13 Jan17 Dec13 Nov29 Oct31 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 12.00    
 
PRX-9   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATHOSS Mar20 Mar08 Feb09 Jan16 Dec09 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 6.00    
GOLDEN SPOKE Mar20 Mar07 Feb27 Feb13 Jan30 (simone michae)OCASIO M 121 5.00    
FORTY COMETS Mar20 Mar01 Feb13 Dec09 Nov11 (farro patricia)PENNINGTON F 124 6.00    
LITTLE HARBOUR Feb27 Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
SCR  JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Mar08 Jan09 Dec19 Nov21 Oct31 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00 6% 15.10    
SATCHEL DE RITCHES Mar08 Feb14 Jan16 Dec21 Dec05 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 4.50 5% 17.30    
SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Mar08 Feb13 Jan25 Jan11 Nov28 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
GENGHIS Mar08 Feb27 Jan31 Jan11 Dec21 (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
PRX-10   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIP'S FRIEND Jan24         (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
DOUBLE O OTTO Aug20 Jul21 Jun25     (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
MR. AGALLAS Feb08 Dec05 Feb21 Jan19   (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 126 20.00    
RAISEDAROOFCHARLIE Feb27 Feb08 Dec30 Dec04 Nov04 (krebs steven)TORRES A 119 8.00    
GOLDEN WILDCAT Mar14 Feb08 Jan16 Nov29 Oct31 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 3.00 33% 2.10    
STOUTHEARTED Mar13 Feb08       (brown howa)SANCHEZ J 126 12.00    
ALMOND CIDER Feb27 Feb15 Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 5.00 6% 14.50    
ET'S TOY SOLDIER Mar08 Apr13 Mar15 Mar01   (wyner harold)OCASIO M 124 12.00    
GOLDEN TREASURE Feb28 Jan24 Dec02 Nov09   (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
10  UPTOWN SHOES         (curry dee)OCASIO JONATHAN 129 8.00 7% 13.20    
11  THREETHIRTYTHREE Feb25 Jan29 Jan23 Dec05   (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 126 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.