Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1/4/2)-(6/5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(1/3)-(5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/3/8)-(3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/8/1/2)-(5/3/8/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/8)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8)-(3/1)-(10/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/4/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/4/2/8)-(3/1/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1)-(10/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(10/7/6)-(3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-5   WIN (10/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/6)-(10/7/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/6)-(10/7/6/8/1)-(10/7/6/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/7/6)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/7/6)-(3/4)-(3/6/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/5/8)-(3/4/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(3/6/8)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/2/5)-(3/6/8/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(2/1)-(6/1/9/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/6/1/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/6/1/3/4)-(2/6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/1/9/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/5)-(6/1/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/5)-(6/1/9/5/8)-(6/1/9/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/04/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDZILLA Feb17 Feb04 Jan15 Jan04 Dec22 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.00 ★    
2  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Feb17 Feb01 Dec23 May04 Apr01 (scocca lin)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 12.00 ★    
3  TIPHARAH Dec16 Nov26 Jun30 Apr24 Apr10 (lusk r)IORIO MELISSA 112 20.00    
4  BLACK KARMA Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 Jan15 Jan01 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 6.00 ★    
5  FIRST FAITH Feb01 Jan01 Dec16 Dec09 Jun30 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  RIPLEY EFFECT Feb17 Feb01 Jan15 Dec21 Nov25 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 1.50 38% 1.60    
7  PATH TO VICTORY Feb01 Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 Aug21 (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00    
 
TAM-2   03/04/2023 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATIENCE WORTH Feb04 Jan07 Dec03 Oct07   (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 0.80 40% 1.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HYSTERICALADY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  REKINDLED Feb11         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of CAPTIVATING LASS by A.P. INDY)
3  ROYAL DAME Feb08 Jan14 Dec03 Oct22 Sep28 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
4  MACHIAVELLIQUE Jan07         (albertra)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  JET CITY WOMAN Feb04         (dutrow w)FERRER C 120 6.00 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SAUCY JADE by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  MOON CAVE Dec23         (charlton r)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 12.00 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS EUPHORIA by ARAGORN (IRE))
 
TAM-3   03/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANTIC FANTASY Jan25         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 ★    
2  IMAZETA         (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 ★    
3  TIZ A TEMPEST Jan06         (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  UNCAPTURED DREAMS Feb12 Jan29 Jan01 Dec22   (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 113 30.00    
5  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Feb08 Jan07 Dec22 Dec03 Sep11 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 36% 1.80    
6  SARA KALI Feb26 Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 Sep30 (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 113 30.00    
7  RISKY TIZZY         (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
8  PARTY DREAM Jan29 Jan01       (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 120 10.00 6% 14.50    
 
TAM-4   03/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT A DANCE Feb18 Jan28 Jan11 Dec24 Dec02 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.00 9% 10.10    
2  ANDY WALKS WITH ME Feb18 Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Oct22 (vinson g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 ★    
3  SWILL MERCHANT Jul27 Jun01 May20 Apr16   (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 1.50 64% 0.60    
4  HEAVY WEIGHT Feb18 Feb08 Jan18 Jan06 Dec23 (negrete javi)BATISTA A 122 6.00 ★    
5  RED JET Feb12 Jan29 Jan19 Dec11 Dec01 (carmichael mi)SOSA LAUREANO 115 20.00    
6  SUNSPOT Feb12 Oct22 Sep18 Jun30 May14 (deaton william)MBATHA LUCKY 110 10.00    
7  RECTANGLE Feb22 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 May19 (lanum crystal)MARTIN MATTIE 115 15.00    
8  DOC CARSON Feb11 Jan21 Jan01     (cordero antonio)FERRER C 122 12.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   03/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE BARON Feb18 Feb04 Jan21 Jan07 Dec24 (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 3.50 ★    
2  MO TOWN BLUES Feb19         (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00    
3  TURESKIS Dec09         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
4  THE BEARRISH ONE Feb03 Dec02 Oct18 Sep18 Aug22 (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 20.00    
5  ALL ABOUT LUCKY Jan12 Sep17 Aug17 Jul10 Jun10 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
6  BALLINDINE Jan11 Dec22 Dec03 Oct07   (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 6.00 6% 15.40    
7  COPAZO Feb03 Jan11 Dec03 Aug01   (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 29% 2.50    
8  CRAFTY KING Feb11 Sep10 Aug12 Jul15   (bennett s)FERRER C 120 4.00 ★    
9  THIRD DEGREE         (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
10  WHISKEYMAC Feb03 Dec22 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  HELLO SUCKER Feb05 Nov27 Nov05 Oct15 Sep11 (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 15.00    
 
TAM-6   03/04/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIOVANE'S PROMISE Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Oct19 Oct05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 20.00    
2  SANDY DUDE Jan27 Dec28 Nov30 Nov04 Sep17 (harney heather)ALLEN D 119 8.00 ★    
3  KINGSTOWN Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec04 Nov12 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
4  SWIFT KID Feb17 Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 Aug24 (machado anton)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  CEDAR BEACH Feb03 Dec28 Apr20 Mar25 Mar02 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 10.00 ★    
6  MARCEL (CHI) Feb19 Nov05 Oct26 Oct08 Aug27 (carrascojr vi)FLORES ADRIAN 119 20.00    
7  ROWDY JESS Feb03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec23 Sep23 (fennessy john)MBATHA LUCKY 109 4.00    
8  BAM BAM WARRIOR Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec28 Dec14 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   03/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHUMJAR Jan14 Dec10 Oct22 Sep22 Aug12 (cruz jesus)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
2  YAMATO Jan20 Nov20 Oct21 Sep09 Jul10 (sancal m)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 ★    
3  OBIWAN Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 Dec07 Nov19 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  CAPTAIN LAVA         (wismer glenn )VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 20.00    
5  DRIFTWOOD Jan07 Dec01 Oct04 Sep13 Aug23 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 ★    
6  A ROSE FOR RAVEN Feb12 Jan20 Jan01 Nov20 Oct09 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
7  OHANA EMPIRE Feb12 Jan21 Dec14 Oct21 Aug28 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
8  FRANZ JOSEF Feb11 Jan06 Oct12 Sep26 Sep07 (wismer s)ALLEN D 119 12.00 10% 8.80    
 
TAM-8   03/04/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Feb05 Feb01 Dec30 Dec23 Dec14 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 3.50 7% 14.30    
2  OMATI Feb05 Dec30 Nov05 Sep15   (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 1.80 59% 0.70    
3  TAPSOLUTE Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Oct22 Sep28 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 109 8.00 ★    
4  GOLDEN TONE Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 Nov22 (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 ★    
5  CAMPTOWN RACES Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 Dec09 Nov23 (torres r)FERRER C 121 12.00    
6  PHARAOH FANCY PANT Feb18 Jan25 May07 Apr08 Mar16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 6.00 ★    
7  SUNNY SAINT Feb10 Jan28 Jan13 Dec07 Nov05 (downing willia)CASTANON L 121 4.00    
 
TAM-9   03/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEEP'S DAY Feb12 Jan18 Jan01 Dec14 Nov25 (rini anthony)CENTENO E 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  UNCAPTURED PRINCES Jan21 Oct21 Sep16     (rodriguez angel )BRACHO A 119 15.00    
SCR  HAPPY UNION Feb12 Jan13 Dec14     (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
4  SUMMER NITRO Feb12 Jan18 Dec16 Dec03 Sep30 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 20.00    
5  IMPERIOUSLY Jan18 Sep09 Aug03 Jun17 Apr21 (lightner ma)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 5.00 7% 14.20    
6  FREE SHOT Feb17 Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 Nov25 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 119 4.00 35% 1.80    
7  X Y LADY Jan29 Dec30 Oct06 Sep05 Aug16 (lopez)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00    
8  ELSA'S ROCKET Feb12 Jan29 Jan04 Dec17 Oct03 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 6.00 ★    
9  SUPER CARO Feb24 Jan29 Jan18 Nov30 Oct16 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 11% 7.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.