Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - March 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/4/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FON-4   WIN (1/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/4)-(5/1)-(7/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/4/2/6)-(5/1/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
FON-6   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/4/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/4/1/3)-(7/5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/03/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTEREY PENINSULA Feb12 Dec08 Sep09 Aug25   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.00 64% 0.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOSTAQELEH by RAHY)
2  STAN THE CAMERAMAN Feb12 Jan11 Nov11 Aug06   (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 ★    
  (by STANFORD (IRE) out of MS WAKAYA by FLOWER ALLEY)
3  R VOO'S TABOO Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 Jul03 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 ★    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of R VOOVOO AFFAIR by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
4  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN Jan26 Jan04 Dec15 Dec01 Oct07 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★    
  (by YANKEE GENTLEMAN out of SIN TOWN by OUT OF PLACE)
5  RING TAILED TOOTER         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 8% 12.30    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of VICTORY TOUCH by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
FON-2   03/03/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN MOJO Feb25 Feb11 Sep19 Aug29 Aug09 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 ★    
2  OUTRUN THE POSSE Feb17 Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 Sep07 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 11% 8.10    
3  O'L RED Feb11 Oct26 Sep04 Aug08 Jul15 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 0.80 54% 0.90    
4  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER Feb11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 ★    
5  HUNK OF A HIT Sep25 Sep18 Jun13 May30 May15 (thomsen paula)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-3   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL THE SHOTS Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul30 Jun24 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 ★    
2  D'WILD MUFFIN Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec28 Dec01 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 ★    
3  QUEENS GIFT Feb17 Jun11 May27 Apr30 Apr02 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 28% 2.60    
4  NEW YEARS LOVE Feb17 Sep19 Sep02 Aug14 Jul25 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 ★    
5  G KATE Feb11 Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jul18 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
FON-4   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Feb12 Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 Oct21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 0.80 25% 3.00    
2  WARRIORS HAVEN Dec30 Dec07 Nov16 Oct21 Jul04 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 25% 3.10    
3  MAGIC CARPET Sep17 Sep04 Aug06 Jun26 Jun15 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 5.00 ★    
4  GIMME SPACE Feb12 Oct01 Sep19 Aug08   (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NAME REJECTED Dec14 Nov11 Oct27 Oct08 Jul09 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
FON-5   03/03/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL CRAFTY PIE Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun26   (dolphus junior)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 10% 9.10    
2  HANDY BOY Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Apr08 Mar26 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 ★    
3  SHAQ'S MY DADDY Aug10 Jul13 Jun23 May19   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00    
4  JACKIE MOON Feb24 Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 Oct15 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00 ★    
5  SOUTHERN SMOKE Feb12 Sep27 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 66% 0.50    
6  TIZ STRONG Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 Jun13 May16 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 4.50 ★    
 
FON-6   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ADDISYN K Feb17 Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr23 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 ★    
2  JOY FOREVER Feb12 Jun11 May21 May07 Apr23 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00    
3  MISS MEAD Jun19 Jun03 May07 Apr02 Mar19 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 ★    
4  INEWAGALLIKETHAT Feb12 Jun11 Jun03 May21 May14 (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 ★    
5  P R GIRLFRIEND Feb18 Jun10 May29 Apr01 Mar18 (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  LOVESAFLYIN Feb12 Sep19 Sep05 May20 Apr23 (fackler howard)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00    
7  TELLITTOTHEJUDGE Feb17 Jun18 May29 May13 Apr24 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.