Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Sunday - February 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/7/3/4/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/7/3/4/8)-(4/7/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
RIL-5   WIN (5/7/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4/8)-(5/7/3/4/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4/8)-(5/7/3/4/8)-(5/7/3/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/7/3/4/8)-(4/7/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
RIL-6   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/3/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/3/1/6)-(4/7/3/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
RIL-7   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3/1)-(2/5/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (2/5/4/3)-(2/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
RIL-8   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/7/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/7/5/3)-(2/8/7/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-4   02/26/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN         (gilmour j)JENSEN P 121 10.00 6% 15.80    
  (by COASTAL STORM out of QUEEN OF MEMPHIS by BAGSHOT)
2  DUKE CITY KITTY Feb18 Oct11 Aug17 May20 Apr29 (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 116 12.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION (GB) out of MISS HENNESSY WHO by HENNESSY)
SCR  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Jan24 Jan07 Dec17 Nov28 Nov09 (garcia je)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SOUL OF HOLLYWOOD by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
4  L'ARACHIDE         (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 119 8.00 6% 15.80    
  (by STANFORD (IRE) out of LIFE IS A STONE by GLOBALIZE)
5  LILY PAD LAKE Feb20 Feb04 Jan16 Dec09 Nov18 (gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 2.50 11% 7.80    
  (by DADS CAPS out of LEOPARD PRINT by EYE OF THE LEOPARD)
6  IGO Feb11 Jan31 Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 124 3.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of COCHINERO by COMIC STRIP)
7  MISS MY MAMMA Mar26         (hernandez dan)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 6.00 ★    
  (by DADDY NOSE BEST out of STONE JUSTICE by LIT DE JUSTICE)
 
RIL-5   02/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  W. WHITEHOUSE Dec08 Nov29 Sep05 Aug19 Jun25 (dominguez an)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 12.00    
2  TROPHY CHEST Feb19 Nov19 Apr19 Apr03 Mar20 (ybarra rudy)BARRON EZEKIEL 121 10.00    
3  SHELBY R. Feb18 Feb04 Dec21 Nov28 Jun24 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 3.00 10% 8.60    
4  ROLL OUT Feb11 Aug13 Jul09 Apr23 Apr03 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 6% 15.20    
5  OMACHE KID Feb18 May15 May01 Apr11 Mar26 (wheeler t)JENSEN P 126 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Apr24 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Feb09 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00    
7  RED HOT CAT Feb18 Feb04 Jul18 Jul09 Feb27 (hernandez dan)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 2.00 19% 4.10    
8  LOST THE MINISTER Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 Dec13 Apr02 (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 6% 15.60    
 
RIL-6   02/26/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING LEBRON Feb19 Feb02 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 (crotts james)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 ★    
2  TIME TO ZOOM Feb19 Jun11 May21 Apr19 Mar26 (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 5.00    
3  TIZ A SPEED BOMB Feb18 Feb05 Mar26 Mar19 Mar10 (kern david)DEONAUTH P 126 2.00 ★    
4  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Feb19 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 Sep11 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 4.00 42% 1.40    
5  CURRENTLY KRAZY Feb18 Nov25 Nov09 Sep17 Aug29 (crotts e)OSUNA JESUS 126 12.00    
6  EPIC ADVENTURE Sep10 Jul31 Jul24 Jul17 Jun24 (warren ka)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 6% 16.40    
7  SAN GIORGIO Sep10 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 Jun17 (warren kayla)BARRON EZEKIEL 126 10.00 13% 6.50    
 
RIL-7   02/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCTIC FIRE Aug10         (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 4.00 ★    
2  KIND BUT SHE LIES Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 Dec10 Nov18 (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  AWESOME GALAXY Feb18 Jan17 Jan09 Nov21 Nov05 (ybarra rudy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAYNESPUN Feb18 Jan24 Jan09     (warren ka)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50 9% 10.30    
5  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY Feb11 Feb05 Jan17 Dec14 Nov09 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  PRINCESS SUGEITH Feb11 Feb05 Sep28 Aug27 Aug10 (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 121 6.00    
 
RIL-8   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CATHRYN VALENTINA Mar26 Mar12 Mar06 Feb19 Feb04 (bazurto ramo)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 12.00    
2  CANT DO THE DANSE Feb11 Apr03 Mar19 Mar13   (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  FIRST COUNT Feb11 Jan28 Jan01 Nov08 Oct25 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00 ★    
4  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Feb19 Aug13 Jul23 May03 Apr14 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 121 4.00    
5  AUTISM SAVANT Feb19 Feb11 Jan14 Jan03 Dec10 (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 6.00 ★    
6  WISHFUL WON Feb19 Jan30 Dec19 Aug29 Jul31 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 3.50    
7  STONUS MAXIMUS Feb19 Feb05 Jan10 Dec27 Dec10 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 16% 5.20    
8  FOCUS FIRST Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Dec03 Nov19 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 121 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.