Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(4/5/2)-(3/5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/5/7/8)-(5/1/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/8)-(5/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/8)-(5/1/7/3)-(4/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/3)-(4/2/7)-(8/7/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(8/7/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(8/7/10/9)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/10/9)-(8/7/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/10/9)-(8/7/10/9)-(8/7/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/10/9)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/10/9)-(1/4/5)-(8/1/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(8/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/9)-(8/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/9)-(8/1/4/9)-(8/1/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SISTER PAM Jan20 Nov24 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
2  WAGER WORTHY Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Sep02 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
3  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Nov16 Oct27 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 4.50 68% 0.50    
4  I SHALLBE RELEASED Jan20 Nov18 Oct27 Sep24 Aug19 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.00    
5  GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Feb16 Nov24 Nov05 Nov03 Oct01 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY null      
6  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Feb02 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 Oct20 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOOK THE CHAIN Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (boggs joan)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 ★    
 
CT-2   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Nov12 Oct05 Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
2  FEEL THE LOVE Feb01 Dec10 Nov03 Oct22 Oct07 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
3  HOW IS SHE Jan19 Jan06 Dec10 Dec03 Nov10 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
4  JAMESTOWN ROAD Jan07 Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 23% 3.30    
5  SECRET CASTLE Feb01 Jan07 Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  MISS WAVE Feb01 Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 Oct25 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00    
7  ARROWWOOD Feb01 Dec10 Nov18 Sep01 Aug04 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 4.00    
 
CT-3   02/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY HIP Feb15         (jones e)BAEZ M 115 6.00    
2  MIDNIGHT PASS Jan25 Dec16 Dec03 Aug30 Aug01 (tsiamis arthu)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
3  YAZZERA (PER)         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
4  SEAP Feb17 Jan13 Aug20 Jul31 May29 (merrym)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80    
5  RUNNING FREE         (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
6  CATEGORYNINETYNINE Jan29 Nov05 Oct20     (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 124 4.50    
7  STORMI VANNA         (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 19% 4.30    
8  PUERTORICAN DIVA Jan08         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  TAKE CHARGE LISA Feb15 Jan20       (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
 
CT-4   02/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE FIGURES Feb04 Jan13 Dec10 Oct29 Oct05 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
2  DUSTWHIRL WONDER Jan25 Dec02 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (pennella m)BAEZ M 115 20.00    
3  SO RED THE ROSE Jan18 Jun30 May18 Apr27 Apr02 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PARTY MONSTER Jan27 Jan13 Jan06 Nov25 Nov03 (raymond dono)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00    
5  CLASSIC COLORS Feb10 Jan19 Jan07 Nov05 Sep30 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 1.20 51% 1.00    
6  CHIT CHAT GIRL Feb09 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
7  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Jan19 Jan07 Nov26 Oct20 Oct05 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
8  LIFE IN FLASH Feb04 Jan13 Nov18 Oct29 Oct06 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 5.00    
 
CT-5   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCKET'S CASTLE Jan26 Jan06 Nov30 Nov10 Oct05 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
2  PERSONABLE Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  BUDDY BUDDY Dec08 Oct27 Oct14 Sep24 Aug31 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
4  ICING Feb08 Jan11 Dec08 Nov12 Sep23 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
5  JUBA BOUND Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 Oct27 Oct06 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
6  JAXJAXXORJACKS Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 Dec08 (caison l)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
7  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Feb09 Jan11 Nov30 Nov17 Oct19 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
CT-6   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMELIA'S DREAM Jan18 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  LOCKDOWN VANNA Feb08 Jan21 Jan06     (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
3  S S FRONTIER ANGEL Jan21 Jan06       (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HONKY TONK ANGEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  LOVE OF GRACE Feb16 Jan26       (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of OFF THE SCREEN by FLOWER ALLEY)
5  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Feb08 Jan18 Dec15 Sep17 Sep02 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of JACKY JUICE by FRIENDS LAKE)
6  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Feb08 Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 Nov11 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LUCKY CANDY by LUFTIKUS)
7  NO DENYING DENIS Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 6% 16.10    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
8  JUMPIN JACK BRASS Jan06         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 69% 0.50    
  (by JUMP START out of BIT OF BRASS by DIXIE BRASS)
9  SNEAKY LYNK Feb08 Jan26       (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  CARMELIZED Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 Dec02   (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
 
CT-7   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AARON'S TAP Jan19 Dec14 Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  ROLL DEM BONES Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec01 Nov07 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
3  ALLEN CAN DO IT Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 Nov12 Oct08 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50    
4  REMYS SHOWTIME Feb02 Dec16 Nov19 Oct14 Sep08 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 6% 14.50    
5  BOSS E BOOGS Feb02 Jan12       (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPUNMAN Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Sep08 Aug06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
7  SIENTE EL AMOR Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 Nov16 Oct19 (stehr p)ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00    
8  NEVER COMPROMISE Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 Oct27 Aug25 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00    
 
CT-8   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTIGATED Feb01 Jan12 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 (ramirez a)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  ONE MORE FACTOR Feb12 Jan25 Jan07 Oct28 Oct05 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
3  CONFUSION BABY BOY Feb12 Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 Dec02 (frock a)CULLUM W 122 12.00    
4  ELVIRUS Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 Nov13 Oct22 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 6% 14.40    
5  TWEET THIS Jan27 Jan05 Dec10 Nov19 Nov10 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
6  FIVE STAR PHIL Feb02 Jan21 Dec11 Aug28 Jul31 (pennella m)BAEZ M 115 12.00    
SCR  MINE TO HOLD Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec14 Dec04 (synnef)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
8  JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Jan12 Dec08 Oct27 Sep29 Sep07 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
9  JAMMIN STILL Feb11 Jan28 Jan14 Jan06 Dec07 (caison jody )BATISTA A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.