Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(6/7/8/4)-(4/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (6/7/8/4)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/4)-(4/2/6)-(3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/7)-(10/4/2/3/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/2/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(10/4/2/3/7)-(9/2/5/1/3) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LRL-5   WIN (10/4/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/3/7)-(10/4/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/2/3/7)-(9/2/5/1/3)-(2/6/4/5/1) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LRL-6   WIN (9/2/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/1/3)-(9/2/5/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5/1/3)-(2/6/4/5/1)-(8/3/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-7   WIN (2/6/4/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5/1)-(2/6/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/5/1)-(8/3/5/4)-(7/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-8   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/4)-(7/3/2)-(5/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-10   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD N' SASSY Jan22 Dec29       (cooper steve)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
SCR  BOUNTY KILLAH Jan13 Jan07 Dec14     (richards ma)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 114 15.00    
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Dec21 Nov30 Jul05     (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00    
VOODOO MAMA JUJU Feb10         (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
DONNA'S COURAGE Jan16 Dec16 Nov12 Oct13   (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
TITIAN TYRANT Dec30 Nov24       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 10% 9.10    
BIG AMBITION Feb08 Jan10 Nov24 Nov03   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
ARROGATES DREAM Jan16 Nov18 Nov03 Oct21 Sep16 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 15.00    
 
LRL-2   02/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Jan15 Dec21 Nov25 Nov13 Nov05 (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 30.00    
SCR  HACHURE Jan14 Dec16 Nov26 Oct14 Sep25 (cole c)DELGADO A 123 20.00    
HELLMAN Feb04 Jan16 Dec29 Dec04 Nov13 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
MAILMAN'S A FLYER Feb04 Jan18 Jan08 Jan01 Dec18 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 8.00 6% 14.60    
LUIGI'S SPIRIT Feb05 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09   (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 4.00    
NOSTALGIC RUN Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov26 Oct14 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.60 38% 1.70    
JARDANI Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 Oct14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
HARD STING Jan30 Jan02 Nov29 Oct25 Oct11 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
LRL-3   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORMLEY'S GABRIELA Jan28 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Sep30 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CINDY S. by LEMON DROP KID)
L STREET LADY Jan21 Dec04 Oct28     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY GAYLE by SCAT DADDY)
SALLY'S SASSY Jan16 Nov25 Oct29 Sep10 Aug25 (wong jonatha)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SHARP SALLY by POSSE)
CHICKIENESS Jan21 Dec17 Dec03 Nov14 Oct22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by BLOFELD out of CHICKALETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
WE'LL SEE Jan21 Dec14 Oct21     (kravets bruce)KARAMANOS A 118 15.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SWEET CONTENT by CONGRATS)
STONEWALL STAR Jan22 Dec30 Nov20 Oct17 Sep22 (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 16% 5.10    
  (by FLATTER out of JONATA by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
LRL-4   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING WOOZY Jan29 Dec31 Dec03 Nov20 Oct28 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of STORMY LOVE AFFAIR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
RICCIO Dec30 Nov12 Oct15 Sep29 Sep01 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of RICHETTA by POLISH NUMBERS)
PRINCE OF JERICHO Jan21 Dec30 Nov19 Oct28 Oct07 (russell britta)CEDENO CAROL 118 1.40 55% 0.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GOLDEN REVIEW by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SEVEN'S ELEVEN Jan27 Dec30 Nov26 Nov13   (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 118 15.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
COFFEEWITHCHRIS Jan21 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ANDIEMAC by OUTFLANKER)
WE DONT NEED ROADS Jan21 Nov04 Oct01 Sep08 Aug11 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DULCIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
B WEST Jan21 Dec17 Nov21 Nov04 Oct07 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 8.00 9% 10.30    
  (by MINESHAFT out of I DARE U EM by LUNARPAL)
 
LRL-5   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTIPOISON Feb10 Jan18 Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
MASAI MAN Feb07 Jan27 Jan19 Jan09 Dec09 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 8.00 14% 6.10    
FREE SQUARE Feb05 Jan06 Dec17 Nov04 Oct14 (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 126 4.50 9% 9.50    
TOP BOSS Feb10 Jan28 Jan20 Jan07 Jan01 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 19% 4.40    
SHOOT THEMESSENGER Jan28 Jan15 Jan06 Dec31 Dec16 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00    
BAHAMA CHANNEL Feb03 Jul29 Jun19 May26 May05 (eubanks anne)BATISTA A 123 15.00    
NASHVEGAS Jan28 Jan18 Nov17 Sep18 Aug06 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 20.00 7% 13.60    
OUR HOISTED MAST Jan22 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Oct16 (juarez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 10.00    
DIALING DIXIE Jan27 Jan13 Nov05 Oct14 Sep25 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00    
10  JUMP SHOT Jan25 Jan03 Dec12 Nov14 Nov01 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
11  UNEQUIVOCAL Jan29 Jul14 May06 Mar05 Feb18 (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 123 20.00    
 
LRL-6   02/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLOT THE DOTS Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 Dec30 Nov24 (cash l)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00 7% 14.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY OF GOLD by FORMAL GOLD)
NIMITZ CLASS Dec30 Nov26 Oct12 Sep10 Jul26 (kravets bruce)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIVE DIAMONDS by FLATTER)
TREASURE TROVE Feb02 Jan15 Dec31 Dec08 Nov24 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 17.60    
  (by TAPIZAR out of CASHMERE by PHONE TRICK)
DOUBLE CROWN Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
OURNATIONONPARADE Jan21 Dec30 Nov26 Oct22 Sep28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 7% 14.20    
  (by CAL NATION out of PARADE OF COLORS by LEADING THE PARADE)
SCR  SHAKE EM LOOSE Jan15 May21 Apr16 Mar19 Feb27 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 124 10.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of CASH NO CREDIT by WEST BY WEST)
ARMANDO R Dec30 Nov26 Oct01 Sep03 Jun12 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of ALPACA FINA by BIG BROWN)
AIN'T DA BEER COLD Jan21 Dec30 Oct22 Sep05 Jul29 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
  (by FREEDOM CHILD out of DISTINCT AFFAIR by WITH DISTINCTION)
VANCE SCHOLARS Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 Oct22 Oct01 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of PASSIONATE DANCER by CAT THIEF)
10  FOREWARNED Jan07 Nov26 Oct29 Sep24 Aug13 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 15.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
LRL-7   02/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMA TIGER Jan18 Jan04 Nov23 Jun08 May08 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 17.60    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of PROPOSED by BENCHMARK)
HYBRID ECLIPSE Dec30 Nov12 Oct09 Aug27 Jul02 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by PAYNTER out of SUPER PLAN by VALID WAGER)
RUNAWAY MONET Dec30 Nov13 Oct20 May27 Apr21 (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 20.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of AWAY WE GO by TALINUM)
BUY THE BEST Jan04 Nov26 Oct19 Sep24 Jul16 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of SISTER DAWN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Jan04 Oct25 Sep20 Aug29 Jul12 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of VISION OF LIZ by POLLARD'S VISION)
AWARD WANTED Jan21 Dec18 Oct13 Sep17 Sep02 (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by MACHO UNO out of TOURING HONG KONG by CHEROKEE'S BOY)
NINETYPERCENTBRYNN Jan09 Oct26 Sep24 Aug22 Jul25 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
 
LRL-8   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRODIGY DOLL Jan07 Dec18 Jun17 Apr23 Feb19 (schoenthal ph)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of HI LILI by SILVER DEPUTY)
LISCOLVIN Nov26 Oct14 Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 (lynch cathal)PENNINGTON F 122 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LAHEEN by GHOSTZAPPER)
PASS THE CHAMPAGNE Jan14 Feb03       (weaver george)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by FLATTER out of CHAMPAGNE TASTE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
QUIET IMAGINATION Jan18 Nov25 Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of PERFECTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
SWAYIN TO AND FRO Jan21 Dec30 Nov26 Oct30 Oct23 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STRAIGHT TALKING out of JUNGLE LADY by JUNGLE BLADE)
UNION LAKE Dec31 Oct22 Sep02 Jul23 Jun05 (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DONNATALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
MOODY WOMAN Feb04 Jan07 Nov26 Nov11 Sep24 (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of A J'S GAL by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
FILLE D'ESPRIT Jan21 Dec30 Nov25 Oct22 Oct03 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SWEET VALOR by NO ARMISTICE)
 
LRL-9   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ALFRED JAMES Feb08 Jan29 Oct07 Sep25 Aug26 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
MOMOS Jan16 Dec21 Nov06 Oct09 Sep08 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BEREN Jan31 Dec30 Nov23 Oct18 Oct03 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SILMARIL by DIAMOND (GB))
YODEL E. A. WHO Jan21 Jan04 Dec18 Nov23 Nov07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LAUGH N YODEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
JOHN THE BEAR Feb04 Jan16 Dec03 Nov05 Mar27 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MALIBU DRIVE by MALIBU MOON)
PIRATE RICK Jan28 Jan22 Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DADDY LOVES GOLD by SCAT DADDY)
EASTERN BAY Oct29 Oct08 Sep28 Aug26 Aug13 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
  (by E DUBAI out of CHRUSCIKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
FACTOR IT IN Jan21 Dec30 Nov26 Oct29 Oct01 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
LRL-10   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANDITS WARRIOR Jan12 Jan01 Nov11 Oct21 Sep25 (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
BEHIND THE COUCH Feb05 Jan16 Dec29 Dec16 Nov21 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
PEYTON ELIZABETH Jan01 Dec04 Nov21 Oct13 Sep10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
ITALIAN DRESSING Feb05 Jan01 Dec02 Oct27 Oct09 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
SPICY MARGARITA Dec16 Nov19 Nov11 Oct02 Sep17 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  MISS CASEY Feb10 Jan27 Jan15 Dec29 Dec03 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00 6% 15.30    
PROPER ATTIRE Jan16 Dec29 Nov11 Oct13 Sep23 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 2.50 8% 11.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.