Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/4/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/4/3/2)-(1/5/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/7/4/6/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/7/4/6/1)-(6/5/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/7/4/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/6/1)-(3/7/4/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/6/1)-(3/7/4/6/1)-(3/7/4/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/4/6/1)-(6/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/6/1)-(6/5/3)-(4/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/1/4)-(6/5/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(4/7)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/1/6/2)-(4/7/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7)-(2/1/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(1/2/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(1/2/3/8/6)-(1/2/3/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/8)-(3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(3/6)-(1/5/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2/1/4)-(3/6/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(1/5/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(1/5/4/6)-(9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6/3)-(1/5/4/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/4/6)-(9/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-9   WIN (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/4)-(9/4/6/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/4)-(9/4/6/2/1)-(9/4/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRITE OUTLOOK Jan20 Dec20 Nov16 Oct28 Oct06 (chatters benard)STOKES A 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BETTY BRITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  CURIOUS IRISH Jan18 Nov25       (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 ★    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of WEATHERFIELD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  COWBOY VALUES Dec10         (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.80 ★    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BODELLA by BODEMEISTER)
4  EUROBELIEVER Jan18 Dec17 Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 (garza e)BIRZER E 123 6.00 ★    
  (by EUROEARS out of BELIEVE ME by IT'S TRUE)
5  GOLDUSTER         (landry ray)STOKES J 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HEAVENLY SKY by SKY MESA)
6  CATCHIN DRAMA May13 Apr22 Mar27 Mar17 Mar05 (morrell cynthia)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of CATCH THE BUSS by MALABAR GOLD)
 
DED-2   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVERS NEVER SAY Jan21 Nov26 Oct28     (mojica a)BIRZER E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SCRAPBOOK Dec09 Nov04 Jul03 Jun20 May14 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 8.00    
3  SERAPE Dec03 Nov25 Nov04 Aug25 Jun04 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  COURTLY DOC Jan25 Dec29 Dec09 Nov04 Oct13 (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 10% 8.70    
5  LIL ADEAU Jan21 Dec01 Nov02 Jul08 Jun03 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00    
6  NONEYA Jan12 Dec18 Dec09 Nov04 Oct07 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 5.00 7% 13.70    
7  FOLLOW THE SAINT Jan04 Dec08 Nov10 Sep25 Sep13 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
DED-3   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THROWIN' SHADE Jan20 Aug27       (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 1.80 ★    
2  DRINKIN DOUBLE Dec20         (walker phillip)STOKES J 120 8.00    
3  EASY EDDIE A Jan25 Jan11 Dec20 Dec01 Nov16 (fuselier j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.00 8% 10.90    
4  ST PIERRE Jan26 Dec20 Nov10 Oct20 Oct08 (stemmans donal)BACA L 120 5.00 ★    
5  KNIGHT'S MUSKET         (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 6.00 30% 2.40    
6  SNAKEBIT Jan26 Dec01 Oct20 Sep17 Sep03 (morris rowd)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
DED-4   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATS PICK Nov23 Oct29 Aug24 Jul15 May26 (mason shane)FUSILIER C 120 5.00 ★    
2  ARCH OF SWORDS Jan18 Nov05 Oct20 Sep24 May10 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00 ★    
3  WINNING DANCE Jan20 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19   (desormeaux )DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
4  MIDNIGHT OIL Jan19 Dec19 Oct21 Sep10 Jul26 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 1.80 57% 0.80    
5  MACER THE RACER Jan26 Jan12 Dec28 Dec15 Mar11 (dixon tim)VARGAS P 123 10.00    
6  MALIBU MONEY Jan12 Dec28 Dec08 Nov23 Nov04 (mojica a)STOKES A 123 4.50 ★    
7  PETEY Jan20 Dec10 Nov04 Oct12 Jul02 (baker cebur)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
 
DED-5   02/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PASSAGE Jan21 Dec14 Jul25 Jul03 Jun04 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.00 ★    
1A  GIMMEASOUND Jan19 Dec10 Nov10 Oct29 Jul13 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 109 4.00 11% 8.00    
2B  KING OF THE COURT Jan05 Dec10 Nov22 Oct14 Sep07 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  WHENTHEDOVESCRY Jan21 Dec28 Dec15 Oct14 Jul30 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.50    
3  HULEN Jan05 Dec17 Nov30 Nov05 Aug28 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 120 3.00 11% 8.20    
4  LUCKY BREAK Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Nov19 Nov04 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 117 12.00    
5  YES BAB Jan18 Dec15 Nov16 Oct26 Aug24 (beavin judy)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 12.00    
6  IN THE ARCH Jan12 Nov18 Aug18 Jun30 Jun15 (mojica a)BIRZER E 117 6.00 ★    
7  B W P SPECIAL Jan05 Dec15 Oct26 Oct07 Aug11 (mojica edith )VARGAS P 117 8.00    
8  PARLAY PETE Jan05 Dec21 Nov05 Oct13 Sep04 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 9% 10.50    
 
DED-6   02/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 WET FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIANNA'S JET Jan28 Dec30 Dec14 Nov23 Oct15 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 112 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  KATIE'S KARAT Jan28 Jan07 Nov23 Jul10 Jun26 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
3  GOODNIGHTLOVING Jan13 Dec02 Nov23 Nov02 Oct03 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 117 8.00 ★    
4  CAVE CREEK Jan27 Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 Nov05 (dussette alvin)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD MAGGIE Jan13 Dec30 Dec19 Nov23 Nov09 (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  ATOMIC ROSE Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Dec02 Oct22 (lorefice matt)STOKES J 123 8.00    
7  FASTED Jan28 Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 Oct14 (mojica a)BIRZER E 117 15.00    
8  VARSITY FLYGIRL Dec09 Oct15 Sep04 Aug05 Jun26 (bernard john)POMPELL L 117 5.00 11% 8.30    
9  GIRL THIRSTY Jan28 Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 15.00    
 
DED-7   02/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PSALM PRAYER Jan14 Dec22 Nov26 Oct27 Oct06 (romero john )BARRERA J 118 3.00 ★    
  (by SONGANDAPRAYER out of HOT ARGUMENT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
2  TIME TO CLOSE Dec19         (celestine cha)VARGAS P 123 15.00 ★    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
3  SHE'S WAYNE'S Jan27 Dec20 Sep12 Jun03 Apr16 (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by MO TOM out of HOLY HAZAAM by SUN BULL)
4  SHARE THE DOE         (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 123 8.00 ★    
  (by KOH I NOOR out of SHARE by STRAVINSKY)
5  TARKINGTON GIRL Nov26         (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of OPEN RATE by INTEREST RATE)
6  REMEMBERIN RONALD         (robinsjr aaron)HERNANDEZ V 123 4.50 10% 9.30    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
7  SMILING ANGEL Sep12 Aug27 Aug07 Apr08 Mar05 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of MYSTIC SMILE by HALF OURS)
8  BLUERIDGEBALLERINA Dec22 Nov26       (toups brent)POMPELL L 123 6.00    
  (by DAAHER out of DANCING DEER by DEERHOUND)
 
DED-8   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY DAY Dec17 Nov16 Feb02 Jan07   (bourgeois keith)STOKES J 117 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  BEYOND THE HYPE Dec09 Nov03 Oct12 Sep26 Sep03 (melancon do)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 6.00    
3  INAWIC Jan29 Nov23 Feb02 Jan13   (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 4.50 ★    
4  RUSH HOUR TRAFFIC Oct29 Oct01 Sep01 Jul16 May25 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 6.00 7% 12.50    
5  DONYA KNOW IT Jan14 Dec15 Nov23 Oct20 May26 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.60 25% 3.00    
6  RED HOT MESS Dec17 Oct30 Oct05 Aug24   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 117 10.00 7% 12.70    
 
DED-9   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TED STRIKER Jan14 Dec22 Dec01 Nov17 Oct26 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00 ★    
2  GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Jan14 Dec27 Nov17 Aug13 Apr30 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 117 4.50 ★    
3  PAYNTED LOVER Jan18 Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 Sep24 (beavin judy)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 6.00    
4  HENNING Jan21 Dec14 Sep11 Aug16 Jun16 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00 10% 8.70    
5  MY BOOK Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct22 Oct06 (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 117 8.00    
6  WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Feb02 Dec08 Oct28 Aug11 Jun30 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 112 8.00 ★    
SCR  HEATHER'S REQUEST Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Aug20 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 20.00    
8  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Jan14 Dec17 Nov19 Oct20 Aug25 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00    
9  CHAPEL OF DREAMS Jan27 Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 Nov09 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 61% 0.60    
10  THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER Dec09 Nov19 Oct29 Jul14 Jan21 (sturrock billy)BACA L 117 20.00    
SCR  BAND BOSS Nov24 Oct22 Aug27     (williams kev)BARRERA J 112 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.