Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(2/5/6/4)-(4/6/3/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(4/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(4/6/3/1)-(3/6/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/5)-(4/7/10/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(4/7/10/3/1)-(9/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/7/10/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/10/3/1)-(4/7/10/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/10/3/1)-(9/8/5/7)-(2/7/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-7   WIN (9/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/7)-(9/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/5/7)-(2/7/1/6)-(1/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (1/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/6)-(9/6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   02/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY MISCHIEF Dec29 Nov26 Oct29 Oct09 Sep30 (salzman john)LEWIS M 119 12.00    
SCR  DR RAGS Jan13 Dec30 Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 (walters henry)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 8% 10.90    
3  SUPERSTITIEUX Jan20 Dec29 Nov26 Nov14 Oct02 (cox kenneth )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  REMEMBERING WILBUR Aug13 Aug05 Jun26 May27 Apr22 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  BORN FOR VICTORY Nov20 Nov07 Oct20 Oct08 Sep05 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  PRESSING CONCERN Jan20 Jan13 Jan01 Dec18 Dec10 (mohan david)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 116 15.00    
7  SAAFEN Jan27 Jan21 Dec01 Oct22 Sep23 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  JEBSTER Jan20 Jan13 Nov21 Oct20 Oct08 (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 6.00    
 
LRL-2   02/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERAVIGLIOSO Jan20 Dec29 Dec03 Nov07 Oct21 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 119 6.00    
2  STAY OUT Jan20 Dec16 Nov24 Nov12 Oct09 (capuano phillip)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  BRAMBLE BUSH Jan13 Dec14 Nov04 Aug29 Aug03 (maymo jorge )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
4  SALTY SAUL Jan11 Nov09 Oct15 Aug31 Aug13 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY JEAN Feb03 Jan20 Nov11 Oct27 Oct13 (maldonado j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  AWESOME VIEW Jan16 Dec29 Dec16 Nov11 Nov03 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 126 4.00 16% 5.10    
7  MISS CASEY Jan27 Jan15 Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 126 2.50 ★    
 
LRL-3   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 45 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE ROLLS Jan27 Nov21 Nov05 Oct15 Sep17 (dove j)LEWIS M 115 15.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  DIVIDED UNION Jan20         (dilodovico )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 13% 6.60    
3  NICO LUCKY         (magana j)ALVELO C 122 15.00 10% 8.70    
4  MOSES WATER Jan20 Dec09 Nov21 Oct30   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.80 29% 2.40    
5  GEM DANCER Aug12 Jul10 Jun18     (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 126 12.00    
6  LOOTAH Jan20         (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 126 4.50 20% 3.90    
7  OPEN THE BOOKS Jan28 Jan08 Dec30 Feb25   (buckley rick)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00    
 
LRL-4   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERTURTLE Jan13 Dec03 Nov24 Nov10   (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 6% 15.80    
2  SHEMADEMELUCKY Jan12 Dec27 Nov05 Oct07 Jan23 (sillaman richa)CONNER TYLER 126 4.50 14% 6.20    
3  LOVE IS STRONG Dec14 Nov22 Oct23 Oct12 Sep15 (vera miguel)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  SHEKNOWSTHEDRILL Jan06 Dec02 Nov25 Nov13 Oct06 (parra)LABARRE GRACE 123 15.00 ★    
5  CHALK HILL Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 Oct05 Sep07 (ramirez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 123 4.00    
6  ESPERANNNA Jan06 Dec31 Dec02 Oct28 Oct21 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  PERKEO Jan11 Dec16 Nov15 Oct15 Sep24 (rathman elisha)ACOSTA D 126 10.00    
 
LRL-5   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN FUN         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 124 6.00 ★    
2  COLLECT REDEMPTION Jan06 Dec10       (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 120 2.50 ★    
3  DIALER         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  INSPIRED IRISH Jan07 Nov21 Nov04 Oct14   (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
5  SIR SMOAK Jan22 Jan13 Dec13 Dec02 Nov09 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 124 12.00 11% 7.90    
6  SHERIFF RONNIE Jan27         (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 30% 2.40    
7  THATAWAY         (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00    
8  WILDERZAR Dec10 Nov27 Nov13 Oct13 Oct02 (cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 8.00    
9  CATCHING STARS         (zerpa g)BRICENO GREGOR 124 12.00    
 
LRL-6   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAPTIZE THE BOY Jan06 Oct08 Sep03 Jul29 Jul04 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 20.00 5% 18.50    
2  LET US MAKE GOLD Jan26 Nov23 Nov02 Sep29 Sep14 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 123 8.00    
3  EKATI'S VERVE Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 Nov11 Oct28 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 126 6.00 7% 14.20    
4  HOT N SPICY LOVE Jan22 Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 Nov02 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  MUCHACHO MACHO Jan22 Jan08 Nov30 Nov18 Oct20 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
6  AXXERATOR Jan22 Dec10 Nov27 Nov21 Nov02 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00    
7  CAMP PENDLETON Jan22 Jan06 Dec04 Nov11 Oct16 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 3.00 12% 7.40    
8  VIRGINIA FULLA Jan28 Dec31 Dec18 Dec10 Nov07 (mckenzie daniel )ACOSTA D 123 12.00    
9  MR. MOSLEY Jan21 Jan08 Dec18 Nov14 Sep18 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 10.00    
10  MIRACLE SILVER Jan18 Jan06 Dec09 Nov05 Oct28 (nazario ped)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 10.00 10% 9.50    
 
LRL-7   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SPY Jan28 Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 Nov12 (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 126 6.00    
2  ANTIPOISON Jan18 Jan06 Dec14 Nov25 Nov14 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT CHASE Feb04 Nov30 Apr21 Apr05 Mar15 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARISTOCRATIC Jan20 Dec17 Nov27 Oct27 Sep06 (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 2.50    
5  TOP BOSS Jan28 Jan20 Jan07 Jan01 Dec17 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 126 4.00 7% 12.60    
6  FORTH Jan28 Jan13 Dec29 Nov27 Oct30 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 122 12.00    
7  ALPHA CHI RHO Jan26 Dec13 Nov23 Feb21 Jan08 (magee kier)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 10.00 6% 14.40    
8  GLORY SONG Jan24 Nov29 Oct07 Aug20 Jul16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
9  THE SICARII Dec31 Dec17 Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00 36% 1.80    
 
LRL-8   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN LANE Jan29 Dec18 Nov20 Oct15 Sep16 (lynch natali)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50 10% 9.50    
2  SKIPPER SUE Jan01 Nov18 Oct14     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  LA SAMANA LAURA Jan01 Dec03 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 12.00    
4  WATCH YOUR TONE Jan22 Nov13 Oct23 Sep23 Aug12 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00    
5  GOLDEN EFFECT Jan22 Jan01 Dec02 Nov19 Oct07 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 ★    
6  MISTY MAUVE May01 Feb26 Jan18     (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 9% 10.00    
7  MAVILUS Nov13 Oct22 Oct06 Sep04 Aug11 (mancilla carlo)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
LRL-9   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST WORST IDEA Jan07 Jun15       (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  DONNA'S COURAGE Jan16 Dec16 Nov12 Oct13   (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 ★    
2  ICESTORMING Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 Nov25 Nov02 (smith d)ALVELO C 124 6.00 ★    
3  LADY LANCER Jan07 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Nov04 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 124 6.00 ★    
4  GOLDIENESS Jan13 Aug25       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50    
5  GOLD DIGGING BROAD Dec30 Nov24 Nov06     (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50    
6  VOODOO MAMA JUJU         (sanchez-salomo)PEREZ XAVIER 124 12.00 19% 4.20    
7  BRING THE MAGIC Jan16 Nov27 Oct23 Sep30   (woolley ti)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 15.00    
8  LUNITA Jan21 Dec31       (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 124 20.00    
9  MYSTIC SEAPORT         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.