Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Sunday - January 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/6/1/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/6/1/5)-(2/4/6/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/5/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4/1)-(2/5/6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(6/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(6/7/1/3)-(4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SUN-3   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/3)-(4)-(8/9/6/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SUN-4   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/1/6/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/1/6/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4)-(8/9/6/1)-(4/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SUN-5   WIN (8/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/1)-(8/9/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/1)-(8/9/6/1/5)-(8/9/6/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/3/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/3/5/1)-(4/2/3/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-7   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/1/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/1/5/3)-(6/4/1/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(5/9/4/8/7)-(2/4/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SUN-8   WIN (5/9/4/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/8/7)-(5/9/4/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/8/7)-(5/9/4/8/7)-(5/9/4/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/9/4/8/7)-(2/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SUN-9   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TARDY CAT Dec06 Nov01 Oct17 Sep10 Jul29 (riddle e)TOHILL S 121 4.50 ★    
2  LAUGH OF THE PARTY Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 Nov08   (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  THE FINAL FOOTNOTE Jan01 Nov15 Sep10     (lambert t)CARRENO J 121 5.00    
4  W F IRON MAIDEN Dec20 Nov21       (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  KING BRYCE Jan01 Dec12       (hone bart)JUAREZ J 121 6.00 ★    
6  RYDERS UP Jan17 Dec20 Dec01 Oct17 Oct04 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00 ★    
7  FLAG THE FOOTNOTE Aug14 Jul29 Jun10     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
 
SUN-2   01/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.8K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST ZAP Jan15 Dec19       (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 ★    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of REDSHIRT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  CAIRO MOON Jan15 Dec05       (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MIZZEN MOON by MIZZEN MAST)
3  BOY CHASER         (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 116 15.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of KIKI DOO by CACTUS RIDGE)
4  UNDO THE RIGHT Dec19 Dec05 Nov07 Oct24 Oct11 (lambert case)FUENTES A 121 12.00 5% 17.60    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of QUICK SPLIT by BROKEN VOW)
5  ZANARAZZI Dec19 Nov21 Aug31     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of GLITTERAZZI by HARD SPUN)
6  UPDIP Dec08         (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50 8% 11.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ARABIC STYLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  CHICAGO CAT Dec05         (gonzalez sal)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 12.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of QUEEN OF CHICAGO by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  TARGET CONQUEST         (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of CAROLINE CONQUEST by HALF OURS)
 
SUN-3   01/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDY WHAT IF Jan08 Dec01 Oct16 Sep03 Aug14 (cross gary)TOHILL S 118 2.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  DOM WAYNE Jan22 Jan08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug28 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 8.00 ★    
3  NEXT AFFAIR Jan10 Dec01 Nov08 Jun26 Jun12 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 118 5.00 10% 9.40    
4  HALF COURT SAM Jan03 Dec19 Oct30 Oct01 Sep18 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 6.00    
5  ARCH CITY Jan08 Oct31 Oct16 Apr29 Mar27 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
6  MCTHANKS Jan17 Dec19 Dec05 Oct30 Oct16 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
7  STRYDER Jan08 Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
SUN-4   01/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT THAT SERIOUS Dec01 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 Aug20 (morales danny)CHAVEZ R 123 2.50 ★    
2  CHUCKIES CHANCE Nov30 Sep24 Sep14     (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00    
3  STOCK DEAL Nov15 Oct25 Oct01 Sep15 Jul30 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 3.00 ★    
4  PLEASE THE COURT Jan24 Feb01 Jan21 Jan04   (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 4.00 65% 0.50    
5  FINGLAS LAD Jan17 Jan08 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 (rojero c)VALDEZ S 123 4.50 ★    
6  JEDI WARRIOR Nov08 Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 (garcia )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 ★    
7  STELLARSBLUERIBBON Jan03 Dec06 Nov15 Oct09 Jul01 (riddle e)TOHILL S 123 8.00    
 
SUN-5   01/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($51.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE BRANDI Dec19 Dec06 Oct31 Oct11   (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 4.50 14% 6.30    
2  PLATINUM GREEK Jan08 Sep28 Sep16 Aug17 Jun17 (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 118 15.00    
3  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Jan17 Jan01 Dec19 Dec01 Oct30 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00    
4  SHUGS CHARLIE Jan01 Dec12 Oct30 Oct04 Sep16 (quiroz fili)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
5  SHORT POCKETS Dec05 Nov15 Oct30 Oct16 Sep21 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00 ★    
6  DELIA Dec01 Oct24 Mar26 Feb20 Jan16 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 8.00 15% 5.60    
7  FLAXY LADY Jan17 Dec12 Oct30 Aug27 Aug07 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
8  OUR TIME TO SHINE Dec12 Oct30 Apr23 Mar06 Feb08 (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
9  DESERT SPIRIT (IRE) Dec01 Oct30 Sep17 Aug17 Aug05 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
SUN-6   01/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TANK Jan15 Nov04 Oct08 Sep10 Aug05 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 116 3.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PERICHOLE by FAHIM)
2  CHRISTIAN D'ORO Dec05 Nov21       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 116 4.50 25% 2.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MARY SUE WELOVEYOU by THE FACTOR)
3  FEE Jan04 Dec09 Nov02 Sep18 Aug05 (asmu)GOMEZ PORTILLO 116 2.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IN IT FOR THE GOLD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  FLYING CONNECTION Nov22 Nov07 Aug14 Jul23   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of FREE FLYING SOUL by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  FOOLISH DELIGHT Dec19 Aug19 Jul17 Jul04   (green greg)PEREZ A 116 6.00 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of MORE THAN FOLLY by MORE THAN READY)
 
SUN-7   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINE THAT STAR Nov22 Oct31 Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 120 3.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MINING MY OWN by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  AXEL STEEL Jan28 Jan10 Dec14 Nov07 Oct10 (dennison dan)SARMIENTO RIGO 118 10.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of AIR GUITAR by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  CLAVICHORD Nov26 Oct11 Sep23 Sep04 Feb21 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 10.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SOLO PIANO by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  COMPETITIVE IDEA Jan01 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 Sep04 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
5  CHATTALOT Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 Oct19 Mar09 (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 118 2.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MAMBOALOT by KINGMAMBO)
6  MINISTER OF SOUL Jan01 Nov28 Nov04 Sep17 Aug27 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of SENSITIVE SOUL by BERNSTEIN)
 
SUN-8   01/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO PASA NADA Jan15 Jan01 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 (acosta jr)PEREZ A 123 5.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CHARLOTTE'S DRONE by B. G.'S DRONE)
2  CERVEZA Jan03 Nov22 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 117 20.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of COCKTAIL GIRL by HENNESSY)
SCR  I THINK I'M HERE Dec19 Nov22 Oct30 Sep30 Sep04 (silva lillian)JUAREZ J 117 20.00    
  (by MARKING out of LIMEADE by CANNONADE)
4  JET N G Dec05 Nov22 Oct30 Oct01 Sep14 (cross gary)CARRENO J 118 12.00 8% 11.40    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of BOOK THE CAT by TABASCO CAT)
5  THUNDER DOME Jan03 Oct30 Aug06 Jul17   (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
  (by DOME out of LAUREN LYNN by HADIF)
6  STORM BAYOU Jan03 Dec12 Nov22 Oct30 Oct01 (buechler sim)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 20.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of SAMBA QUEEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  DELBERT TOO Jan24 Jan03 Dec05 Oct30 Oct01 (quiroz fili)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of ON STRIDE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
8  ONE MARK Jan03 Dec12 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of CHERRY ONE by SIR CHEROKEE)
9  CHEESE TRAY Dec05 Oct30 Aug06 Jul17 May07 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 4.00 9% 10.30    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of ROAD TO REASON by REDATTORE (BRZ))
10  STRAWBERRY WHISKY Oct30 Oct01 Aug28 Aug06 Jan04 (trujillo celi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of STRAWBERRY PET by PETIONVILLE)
11  IZERIGHT Jan03 Nov22 Oct30 Oct10 May07 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 15.00    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of VOWSMAKEMEBLUSH by DESERT GOD)
12  BODIE GOT GOLD Jan03 Oct30 Oct04 Sep04 Aug26 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 12.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of BODIE'S GOLD by BODEMEISTER)
 
SUN-9   01/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLEET OF FLAGS Dec21 Nov22 Sep18 Aug20   (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 8.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  WILD ON ICE Dec19 Nov08       (marr h)TOHILL S 120 5.00 47% 1.10    
  (by TAPIZAR out of SLAMITAGAIN by GRAND SLAM)
3  ZIA ZAPPER Nov22 Oct28 Sep18 Sep03   (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FASHIONABLE FROLIC by OLD FASHIONED)
4  ONE IN VERMILLION Dec21 May07 Apr13     (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by ARMY MULE out of GIVEN STAR by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  REMEMBER SIXTYTWO Dec12 Nov15 Oct10 Sep23 Aug24 (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of FIRST TO BLUSH by JACK WILSON)
6  HOW DID HE DO THAT Jan01 Dec09 Nov22 Oct28 Sep30 (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 6% 16.30    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STORMIN MAGGY by STORM CAT)
7  LOUDMOUTHSOUP Dec21 Dec01 Nov08 Aug28 Jun26 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 118 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TALKAHOLIC by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  MALMO Nov22 Oct25 Oct11     (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 118 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TORTOISESHELL by AFLEET ALEX)
9  GIROOVIN Dec17 Nov23 Nov03 Oct09 Sep23 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 118 8.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of PURECRAZILUCK by SIMON PURE)
10  AMERICAN OUTLAW Dec17 Nov21 Oct15     (fincher todd)FUENTES A 118 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TWIXY by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  RESPECT THE UNION Jan05 Sep18 Sep01     (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 118 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of UNION QUEEN by UNION RAGS)
SCR  HA HA FOR YOU Dec19 Nov22 Sep19     (roberson don)TOHILL S 118 15.00 ★    
  (by SOLDAT out of ALBA DABAS SECRET by MADRAAR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.