Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/3/1)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/4/7)-(5/3/1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/5)-(3/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6/2/3)-(1/5/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/6/7)-(8/2/7/6/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/1/2)-(3/6/7/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(8/2/7/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(8/2/7/6/1)-(6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/2/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/6/1)-(8/2/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/6/1)-(8/2/7/6/1)-(8/2/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/7/6/1)-(6) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/6/1)-(6)-(3/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-6   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/3/1/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/3/1/7/4)-(6/3/1/7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(3/7/4/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(3/7/4/8)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8/2)-(3/7/4/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/4/8)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/8/9)-(1/2/4/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCANNY Dec16 Nov10 Oct12 Sep01 Aug11 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  SWEETONTHEGENTS Dec16 Nov04 Oct22 Sep21   (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  SALSA RITA Dec14 Nov16 Nov08 Oct20 Oct07 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
4  SCARLET TANAGER Nov23 Nov10 Oct12 Jun23 May07 (lauro c)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Nov25 Sep22 Sep02 Jun23 May25 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  FLAT DISCOUNT Jan05 Dec12 Dec04     (ginter raymo)LEWIS M 117 5.00 ★    
 
CT-2   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A FAREWELL YODEL Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
2  GARITOFF Dec02 Nov26 Nov07 May08 Apr23 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
3  EISELE Dec15 Nov24 Oct27 Sep23 Aug11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  STRINGFELLA Jan07 Nov23 Oct19 Oct05 Aug31 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 4.50 ★    
5  MANHATTAN WEAVE Jan07 Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 Oct21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 Sep21 Aug26 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 124 20.00    
7  DOMINANT FACTOR Dec14 Oct04 Sep21 Aug10 Jul20 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 ★    
 
CT-3   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL MISSION Dec08 May14 Feb21 Jan29   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.80 52% 0.90    
2  SPANGLISH Dec16 Oct14 Sep08 Jun16 May21 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00 ★    
3  CATFISH Dec14 May05 Apr20 Mar18 Mar04 (shuler john)RAMGEET R 122 20.00 ★    
4  STRONG LIL KOKORO Jan07 Nov30 Nov05 Oct05 Sep22 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
5  ONE NIGHT MIKE Dec16 Nov16 Oct08 Sep23 Sep08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  PENGUIN PARADE Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 Sep08 Jul23 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 6.00 ★    
 
CT-4   01/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIFTY GRAY SHADES Nov09 Sep21 Aug06 Jul22 Jun18 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00 ★    
2  TINA'S SONG Dec03 Oct19 Sep28 Jul22 Jul01 (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 15.00 ★    
3  DIXIE YODELER Jan06 Nov30 Nov18 Oct07 Sep29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
4  LADY SPARROW Nov09 Oct19 Sep22 Sep02 Aug06 (conn p)BAEZ M 115 30.00    
5  HANDSOME JOANIE Nov09 Oct19 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
6  SHENANDOAH CAT Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Jul23 Jun30 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  CEDAR'S WISH Jan14 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct13 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 7% 12.50    
 
CT-5   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAYO NEGRO Dec15 Nov17 Nov05 Oct19 Oct06 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BET ON BITZ Dec03 Nov19 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  THE MAN TO SEE Dec03 Oct23 Oct15 Jul15 Jun04 (dowling will)LEWIS M 115 5.00    
4  NEW SOUTH Dec09 Nov24 Sep24 Sep02 Aug06 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 113 30.00    
5  BOOZYMILKSHAKEBAR Dec09 Nov10 Oct20 Sep08 Aug20 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
6  MY MIRACLE MAN Jan04 Dec17 Dec09 Sep02 Jul29 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 6% 15.60    
7  PROUD UNION Jan07 Dec03 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
8  PLAYBOY ROY Jan04 Dec03 Sep30 Sep09 Aug24 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
CT-6   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILMARY CASTLE Nov18 Oct20 Sep28 Sep07   (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 6.00 ★    
2  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jan06 Nov18 Oct06 Sep10 Sep01 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50    
3  MAY MAYS CASTLE Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 ★    
4  ALLI BOBBY Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 Sep10 Jul30 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 ★    
5  MY SISTER PAM Nov24 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 May25 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.00    
6  PEARLY GHOST Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug13 Jul14 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
7  I SHALLBE RELEASED Nov18 Oct27 Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 10.00 ★    
 
CT-7   01/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($37.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUL FIGHT Oct19 Oct04 Sep06 May19 Mar30 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
2  MAXIMUM IMPACT Jan14 Jan05 Dec20 Nov25 Oct27 (cash norman )LEWIS M 117 5.00 ★    
3  DIXIE DRAWL Dec31 Dec03 Oct13 Sep24 Aug19 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  OUTLIER Jan06 Dec11 Dec03 Nov17 Nov12 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
5  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Dec08 Nov12 Oct22 Oct06 Sep10 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
6  SOUND OFF Dec06 Nov23 Nov17 Nov07 Oct04 (sandoval michael)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
7  MIDNIGHT ACT Jun12 Jun02 May18 Apr29 Apr18 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
8  HOBE SOUND (IRE) Dec08 Oct19 Sep10 Aug20 Aug04 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 7% 13.60    
 
CT-8   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORUN Dec17 Nov26 Oct15 Sep26 Sep05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  STEADY EDDIE Dec29 Dec10 Nov20 Sep14 Sep05 (buckle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
3  VELOCITO Dec13 Nov26 Nov06 Oct14 Oct01 (mileni nick)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
4  SLOE GIN BIZ Jan04 Dec07 Nov21 Oct30 Oct08 (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00 16% 5.20    
5  BROTHER MERLE Dec17 Nov27 Nov07 Oct13   (rawlings amanda)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
6  DEVIL'S CANYON Dec31 Dec09       (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 124 10.00    
7  PRINCE'S REWARD Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jun18 May20 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
8  DOMINANT DESTROYER Dec28 Dec02 Nov26 Nov06 Oct23 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 ★    
9  BUCKS LODGE Jan05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun18 Jun10 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 124 4.50 ★    
10  DADDY Z Nov14         (shuler john)RAMGEET R 124 10.00    
SCR  OBOY Dec31 Dec10 Nov27 Nov20 Oct29 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.