Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENTITLEMENT Aug20         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  PRAY FOR US         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
3  DAT GUITAR Nov18         (deroussell)ALBERT S 115 20.00 ★    
4  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Nov18 Jul19       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 1.20 41% 1.40    
5  BAYOU BEAUTY         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 10% 8.90    
6  SHES A LUCKY REBEL Nov18         (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 4.00 ★    
 
FG-2   12/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNITEDAPPEAL         (nelson r)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.00 ★    
2  PURE PAM DEMONIUM         (ward ronnie)GUTIERREZ REYLU 113 3.00    
3  SHE IS MAKING RIP         (nelson r)RIQUELME J 113 6.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  MALLORI'S MAGIC         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 113 6.00 ★    
5  ALABAMA QUEEN         (nelson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 113 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  ZADAR         (hatcher nath)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 8.00 5% 17.70    
 
FG-3   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRED UP TIGER Nov12 Sep24 Aug09 Jun29 Jun13 (devereux j)GRAHAM J 115 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  LIKEN IT Nov02 Jun27 Jun11 May14 Mar05 (ward ronnie)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 12.00 7% 12.70    
3  FOOLISH STEVE May14 Feb14 Jan16     (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 1.20 24% 3.20    
4  KELLYS THE BOSS Nov23 Nov09 Oct27 Sep24 Aug14 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 15.00 ★    
5  BOBBY JR. Nov05 Sep24 Mar02 Jan28   (meza m)BOURQUE J 117 15.00    
6  TWO MIKES N DOC G Nov16 May14 Apr13 Feb26 Feb10 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 5.00 8% 11.40    
7  BAMA DRIFTER         (nelson r)CULP BRIANNE 117 50.00    
 
FG-4   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN FLAWLESS Nov19 Oct13 Sep23     (heitzman eric)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
2  FROG TOWN Nov03 Oct13       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  GHOST BIKE Oct02 Sep17       (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 ★    
4  BRIARTOWN         (calhoun will)THERIOT J 120 3.50 ★    
5  HUMOR ME PLEASE         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 6.00 ★    
6  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Oct28 Sep24 Aug14 Jul30 Jul01 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
FG-5   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYTONSATTHEPLATE Sep10 Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 May11 (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 121 4.00 14% 6.20    
2  GLANCE Aug20 Aug05 Jun18 May27 Apr14 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  CARSON'S PRINCESS Sep25 Jul18 Jun12 May07 Feb11 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Sep24 Jul30 May28 Mar19 Feb13 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
SCR  DANCE RHYTHMS Nov27 Oct06 Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
6  VARSITY FLYGIRL Oct15 Sep04 Aug05 Jun26 May24 (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 ★    
7  QUINN MURPHY Aug07 Jul10 May28 Jan23   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
FG-6   12/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUARANTEED SPECK Aug01 Jul19 Jun12     (russo anthony )CULP BRIANNE 116 20.00    
2  ICE AXE         (do)BOULANGER CHANCE 121 20.00    
3  JEEPER Jul12 May30 May03 Apr09   (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  BARTULIA Nov02         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 ★    
5  BRIGHT SPARK Oct16 Sep23 Aug05 Jul03 Jun24 (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 ★    
6  MAASAI WARRIOR Nov13 Nov03 Oct16 Sep18 Mar19 (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
7  PRINCE OF GLORY Sep15 Aug28 Aug16 Jul24 Jun19 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACIFICISLANDTIME Nov11 Oct13 Aug26 Aug03 Jul02 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 117 5.00    
2  TREYS MIDNITE MOON Nov19 Jun04 May07 Mar27 Mar05 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 12% 7.40    
3  BUDRO TALKING Sep17 Aug14 Jun11 May21 Mar27 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
4  BIND FAITH Nov17 Nov04 Oct07 Aug03 Jun30 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 117 10.00    
5  EVERLOVINGHAND Nov19 Jul14 Jun22 May20 Apr08 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
6  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Aug19 Jun30 May25 Apr30 Apr15 (charles kei)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 4.50    
7  AND FIFTY Nov24 Oct06 Aug26 Jul26 Jun03 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
8  MR. FOUR SEVENS Nov19 Jun21 May10 Mar20 Feb13 (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00 ★    
 
FG-8   12/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST PERFORMER Oct16         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  VARMLANDER         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
3  HAYUNEVANO Nov19         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 38% 1.60    
4  INTERNET GIRL         (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
5  CUSHEE         (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50 ★    
6  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Aug14         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 4.00 ★    
7  CERCHI Sep27         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 9% 9.60    
8  SOULTITLESREADY Oct12         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
 
FG-9   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE RUN HOMER Nov27 Nov04 Jun25 Jun08 Apr20 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00    
1A  OAK HILL SOLUTION Nov23 Nov09 Oct22 Oct08 Aug19 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 6.00    
2  MR. PRIORITY Nov22 Oct05 Sep04 Jul20 Jun25 (husak ga)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.50 ★    
3  IMPACT PLAYER Nov18 Aug18 Jul30 Jun09 May04 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
SCR  HOPE FOR CHANGE Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 Sep11 Aug25 (milburn katina)BOURQUE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNDERDOG Nov18 Oct26 Aug11 Jul24 Jul09 (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 ★    
6  DREWZANO Nov18 Sep23 Aug24 Aug04 Jun08 (bourgeois )ALBERT S 116 6.00    
7  MAINTAINANCE MATT Nov18 Nov03 Jul22 Jun09 May20 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Aug17 Jun02 Apr24 Mar19 Mar05 (romero j)RIQUELME J 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.