Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   12/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONALDS GATSBY Nov26 Nov02 Sep26 Sep05 Aug06 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 1.20 58% 0.70    
DEMON HUNTER Nov26 Jul23 Jul03 Jun12   (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 12% 7.00    
THEOS FLEW Nov26 Sep26       (hodges e)CULP BRIANNE 119 6.00    
FRIEND'S DO CARE Nov27 Oct22 Aug27     (pennino frank)COHEN DAVID 121 3.00    
STONE ALLIANCE Nov26 Mar20 Mar03     (cuccia j)MURRAY M 121 8.00    
WILD FIST Nov27 Aug18 Jun24 Jun04   (peterson j)ALBERT S 116 12.00    
 
FG-2   12/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARGYBARGY BUCK Nov24 Aug27 Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 (alonzo howard)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.00 20% 4.00    
GEM OF CARLOS         (peterson jessie )MURRAY M 121 6.00    
THE THREE KS Nov24 Jul16 Jun01 May05 Apr20 (williams k)ALBERT S 116 3.00    
STEAL IT BACK Mar11 Feb02 Jan12     (west patric)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 3.50 15% 5.60    
SNEAKY ALLIE KAT Jun30 Jun10 Feb28 Feb06 Jan06 (peterson jessie )RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
BITSY'S CUSTOM C Jul29 Jun08 May21 Mar24 Mar13 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
FG-3   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Sep27 Aug27       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
MAIN DUDE         (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  WISHERT Sep27 Sep13       (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50    
HOOSIER Dec01         (camejo jos)URDANETA J 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
TUCKER THE GRUMP Nov19 Aug27 Aug19 Jul02 Jun18 (williams k)ALBERT S 115 5.00    
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Nov19 Oct14 Aug27     (thompson kevin)PARKER L 120 6.00    
 
FG-4   12/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTENOFTHE COURT Nov19 Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 Jul17 (hargrave kennet)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
AVERI EVER AFTER Nov19 Aug21 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
UNIFIED LOVE Nov26 Nov05 Oct12     (ali anci)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
MO BLING Nov19 Oct26 Oct05 Aug27 Aug14 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
ANITA'S VISION Sep06 Aug01 Jun21 Feb03 Jan16 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
CADILLAC RIDGE Nov04 Sep19 Aug20 Jan16   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00    
 
FG-5   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PI YO PRINCESS Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00    
MEDWAY QUEEN Nov10 Oct23 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
SASSY EMMA Oct28 May27 Apr15 Feb25 Jan20 (alonzo howa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
MADAM HENNY Jul18 Jun26 May31 May07   (duhon joseph)THERIOT J 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
ABBEY LANE Sep19 Aug25 Jul18 Jun27 Jun04 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SIKUM Jun14 May12 Mar24 Feb24 Feb03 (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
WHY BEHAVE Nov16 Oct14 Sep15 Aug26 May01 (scherer t)PARKER L 119 4.50    
 
FG-6   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARABIAN PRINCE Nov16 Oct05 Sep05 Jun18 May28 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
HOLY CITY Oct22 Mar25 Mar05 Feb05 Jan17 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
FLINT RIDGE Oct28 Sep22 Jul30     (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
EL DURANGO Aug13 Feb12       (griffin terr)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
MASTER GAME Oct26 Sep13 Jun05 May07   (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 119 2.50    
FLAT OUT AMERICAN Oct19 Jul02 Jun02 Apr27 Mar18 (williams k)ALBERT S 116 4.50    
MASQUERADE BALL Nov25 Aug23 Aug08 Aug02 Jul24 (do)BOULANGER CHANCE 119 12.00    
 
FG-7   12/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNE Oct01 Sep01 Aug12     (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
BASELINE BEATER Nov13 Oct21       (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
FIGHT'N READY Oct30         (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
PHILEAS FOGG         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
SINGLE RULER Sep22 Aug28       (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 4.00    
STEP ON IT Oct06         (pike l)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BERNUCCI Nov24 Sep17 Sep03     (hatcher nath)THERIOT J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SIR Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 Sep08   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
FG-8   12/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF THE MOON Nov18 Oct06 Sep25 Aug30 Aug14 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
SCR  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN         (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 6% 15.90    
MRS. NECAISE Nov26 Jul06 Jun18 Mar04 Feb03 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00    
CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA Nov26 Mar04 Feb18 Jan22 Jan01 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
DREWSILLA Sep27 Sep12 Aug27 Aug14 Jul24 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 54% 0.90    
LEAD ME Nov26 Sep10 Jun02 May04 Mar25 (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 13% 7.00    
LAWLESS TIMES Nov05 Sep27 Aug26     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.