Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - November 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   11/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) Sep22 Aug19 Jul28 Jun04 Apr10 (sharp joe)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
LINN PIER Oct21 Sep22 Sep05 Jul17 Jun10 (velazquez al)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 10.00    
CALL ME VIVIAN Oct16 Sep10 Aug20 Jul17 Jun17 (merryman edwi)ALVELO C 123 6.00    
COMMANDER BUZZKILL (GB)         (morley thomas)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
AT THE GATE Oct14 Sep16 Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 (maldonad)RODRIGUEZ A 112 20.00    
SELF ASSURED (IRE) Oct16 Aug14       (jenkins rod)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 5.00 10% 9.40    
COFFEE BEAN Oct21 Sep17 Aug09 Jul04 May25 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
I CAN DO IT Oct06 Mar04 Feb10     (gamber e)DELGADO A 126 20.00 7% 12.40    
LUMINIST Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 Jul28 Jul04 (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
 
LRL-2   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT STOP MAN Oct21 Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00    
SPRING THE BEAST Oct14 Sep09 Jul02 May20 Apr22 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 117 20.00    
SCR  KNOWHOWIKNOW Oct13 Sep05 Jul23 Jul09 Jul02 (farrior an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
HIGHLAND DREAM Sep25 Sep03 Aug28 Aug20 Aug06 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 121 8.00    
WHAT SAY YOU Oct19 Sep05 Aug06 Jul06 May29 (shuman mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 6.00    
LADNEEDSAHANDLER Oct14 Sep25 Jun10 May07 Apr21 (salzman tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.50    
WORLD OF FOOLS Oct18 Oct11 Sep22 Sep15 Sep09 (smith la)RODRIGUEZ A 110 20.00    
FREE SQUARE Oct14 Sep25 Sep05 Aug03 Jul03 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
GOLDEN AVIEATOR Oct13 Sep22 Sep05 Aug03 Jul14 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
LRL-3   11/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B DETERMINED Oct23 Sep07 Aug19 Aug05 Jul08 (stettinius su)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 6.00 15% 5.70    
BY THE SEY SHORE Aug29 Aug15 Jul15 Jul03 May29 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
PRINCE PERE Oct09 Sep18 Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50    
SUE LOVES BARBADOS Oct02 Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50 11% 7.90    
MONSTER MASON Oct21 Sep24 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 (mcfarlane bran)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
ETCHED IN STONE Oct15 Aug24 Jul11 Jun17 Feb04 (feliciano b)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 6.00 17% 4.80    
PICKIN SEA GLASS Oct22 Sep24 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 (peacock roy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00    
TENAX Apr23 Apr16 Jan16     (burdick barbara )CRUZ ANGEL 123 30.00    
 
LRL-4   11/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER WATER Oct15 Sep29 Aug30 Aug19 Aug06 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
ORO DE MORO MORO Oct19 Sep22 Aug12 Jul31   (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00    
UNDER THE RADAR Oct20 Oct01 Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 (nambo cesar)CEDENO CAROL 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
FEDERAL OFFENSE Oct14 Sep25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun05 (mcmullen maril)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.00    
STORIED FELLA Oct08 Sep15 Aug26 Jul06 Jun18 (boniface kevi)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 10.00    
ICY MINISTER Oct15 Sep07 Jul22 Jul04 Jun11 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
SCR  ASHAAB Oct24 Sep03 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 (parra hernan)BISONO J 122 15.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  LYING JEFF Oct08 Sep22 Aug17 Aug03 Jul21 (allard edwa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
 
LRL-5   11/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID BOURBON Oct15 Sep25 Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 (klesaris rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
ON THE ENGINE Oct15 Sep25 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 122 5.00    
AUCHINCRUIVE Sep19 Aug25 Aug05 Jul13 Jun23 (leatherbury)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 20.00    
STAR SHOPPING Oct20 Sep23 Sep07 Aug15 Jul29 (mcgoey monica)CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
SOROLLA Sep25 Aug30 Aug05 Jul16   (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 122 15.00    
STIMULUS MAKER Oct15 Sep25 Aug24 Jul28 Jul02 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00    
MENTALIST Oct12 Sep25 Aug24 Aug12 Jul22 (bentley fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 15.00    
LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Oct13 Sep18 Aug21 Jun25 Jun03 (eubanks )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
FREDISATEN Oct15 Sep07 Aug23 Jul13   (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  CASH ROCKET Oct14 Sep09 Mar18 Feb20 Jan03 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.50 69% 0.40    
11  JACKSON MAN Sep29 Sep09 Aug11 May18 Apr16 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
12  A LOT LIKE XMAS Sep25 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 Jun25 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 120 20.00    
SCR  BOFFO KID Oct06 Aug19 Aug06 Jul16   (doran carl)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 20.00    
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Oct12 Sep11 Aug30 Jun25 May28 (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
SCR  SKATING DATE Oct22 Sep08 Aug18 Jul23 Jun29 (shuman mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 20.00    
SCR  SAM IN STYLE Oct12 Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jul01 (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
 
LRL-6   11/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKINTHEBOX Oct14 Sep24 Aug21     (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00 10% 8.60    
BONDED (IRE) Oct13 Oct01 Sep05     (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 12.00    
SUPER ACCELERATE Oct14         (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 122 5.00 41% 1.40    
INSPIRED IRISH Oct14         (meyers madiso)ALVELO C 122 30.00    
DA BEERS ON ICE Aug21         (cox m)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
SILVER PATRON Oct14 Sep24 Sep05     (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
B WEST Oct07         (mcmahon hug)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00 25% 3.10    
IT'S VIPER Oct14         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
LOVE TALK Oct14         (eppler m)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
10  GREAT CALL Sep24         (meyers mad)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 30.00    
11  ENERGY EFFICIENT Oct13 Sep24 Aug29     (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
12  GENERAL J R Oct13 Oct02 Sep01 Aug09 Jul31 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00    
 
LRL-7   11/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATON Sep24 Aug19       (pino michael )KARAMANOS A 121 12.00    
BOURBON CURRENCY Oct11 Sep25 Aug20 Jul29 Jul20 (wolfe jr)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
TOM HAGEN Oct16 Sep25 Aug17 Jul19 Jun18 (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
CELTIC SEA Oct16 Oct09 Aug17 Jul30 Jul13 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
MR. SHADES OF GRAY Oct11 Sep29 Sep02 Jul27   (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
SEARCH FOR TRUTH Oct16 Sep23       (dickinson mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.50    
WISH ME HOME Oct16 Sep25 Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 4.50 5% 19.00    
STRIKE THE TOP Oct11 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 (rogers micha)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAGIC MULE Oct16 Sep24 Aug14 Jul22 Jul01 (hohlbei)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 2.00    
10  CRISPER Oct16 Sep24 Aug04 Jul13 Jun07 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
11  BELTWAY BOB Oct22 Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 Aug13 (wilson greg)GLASER LAURALEA 123 10.00    
SCR  BOLD LICORICE Sep08 Aug26 Aug09 Jul30 Jul09 (deiter lynn)NO RIDER 123 20.00    
SCR  LIAM'S BLUE MOON Oct15 Mar12       (taylor joseph)NO RIDER 121 15.00    
SCR  CALL CURT Sep24 Aug25 Jul27 Apr10 Mar27 (barboza j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 7% 13.00    
SCR  DUQUESNE Sep14 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 Jun29 (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 123 15.00    
 
LRL-8   11/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENANDJOE Sep24 Jun26 Jun04 May21 Apr22 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 10.00    
SCR  EXCELLORATOR Oct01 Aug19 Jul29 May20 May01 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 10.00    
TREASURE TROVE Oct07 Sep24 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 114 8.00    
SCR  THE POSER Oct22 Sep05 Jul27 Jul04 Jun12 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
PLOT THE DOTS Oct13 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00 6% 16.20    
AMERICAN D'ORO Oct13 Sep23 Sep11 Aug19 Jul27 (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 126 5.00 6% 16.20    
CORDMAKER Feb19 Jan29       (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 123 1.40 62% 0.60    
FAMISHED Oct01 Aug06 Jun25 May13 Apr14 (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50    
LOCAL MOTIVE Oct08 Sep04 May21 Mar19 Feb19 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 15.00    
 
LRL-9   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY'S WINKSTER Oct01         (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 118 6.00    
ICE CUBE BABY Oct13 Sep25 Sep18 Jul30   (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 2.00 11% 7.80    
WESRIGHT         (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
MO EH HENNESSY Oct07 Sep17 Sep04     (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
HOPE HE'S FAST Oct15 Sep04       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
RASCALLY REBEL Oct15 Sep30 Aug29 Jul28 Jul01 (serey jr)ARAUJO DENIS 118 10.00    
BUBBA CHROME Aug29         (cox kennet)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 8.00    
DOUBLE BID Oct01         (bracciale vin)ALVELO C 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.