Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIPSHAPE Sep29 Sep20 Aug25 Aug02 Jul14 (hinds lonnie)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
2  HERE COMES TREY Oct04 Sep13 Aug03 Jun20 Jun02 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 119 6.00 ★    
3  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Aug31 Jul21 Jun16 May23 May03 (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 122 4.00 10% 8.90    
4  COMPLEX JUSTICE Sep08 Aug22 Jul18 Jun23 Jun09 (haran john)HOLMES GAGE 112 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  DOUBLE ADVANTAGE Sep01 Jul19 Jul06 Jun27 Apr19 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Sep26 Sep08 Jul07 Jun20 May30 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 ★    
 
IND-2   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTENS ADAIR Aug24 Aug04 Jul06 Jun21 May31 (egbert jame)STERRITT KENDAL 122 20.00    
2  SHAPE OF YOU Sep01 Aug21 Aug06 Jun30 May31 (pittman)DE CRUZ 119 5.00 ★    
3  MUSIC TO MY EARS Oct04 Sep01 Aug16 Jun29 Jun11 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  JOYFUL HEART Sep13 Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 Jun11 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 122 1.40 27% 2.70    
5  KIDYOUNOT Aug31 Aug02 Jul07 May30 May14 (barnett c)PRESCOTT R 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  TALE OF FAME Aug02 Jun11 Apr27 Mar31 Feb19 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
IND-3   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST A NOTION Oct04 Sep12 May10     (duran antonio)MOJICA O 117 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  PURSUANT Sep19 Sep09 Aug24 Aug03 May31 (elliott michelle)PARKER L 117 15.00    
3  HICKORY BILL Sep09         (matthew)DE CRUZ 117 8.00 8% 12.00    
4  SMOOTH TALKING MAN Sep28 Aug24 Jul07 May04 Mar25 (guida antho)STERRITT KENDAL 124 12.00    
5  PABLO'S SUN Sep19 Aug04 Jul07 Jun21   (greenhill)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00    
6  READY FOR MORE Sep19 Aug03 Jul12 Jun28   (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
7  COPPER HARBOR Sep09 Aug03 Jun28 May31 May10 (gorham m)PEREZ E 117 4.50 ★    
8  WHERE'S MOE Sep19 Aug24 Aug15 Jul07 Jun21 (nance w)PRESCOTT R 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
IND-4   10/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUDDEN SHIFT Sep26 Jul19 Jun27 Jun09 May19 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 3.50 6% 16.00    
2  AMICABLE (IRE) Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 Aug03 (livers charlie)PARKER L 118 4.00 ★    
3  AEROBALLISTIC Sep20 Sep08 Aug18 Jul20 Jun29 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 118 3.00 60% 0.70    
4  KINGOFTHERAINBOW Sep26 Apr19       (richardville tia)PRESCOTT R 122 15.00 6% 16.50    
5  CIELO BLU Aug30 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun11 (richardville ti)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00    
6  NO PROOF Sep20 Aug30 Jul09 Jun29 Jun08 (schultz john)RAMOS D 120 5.00 ★    
7  BELLA'S PRAYER Sep13 Aug15 Jul20 Jul09 Jun22 (haran joh)BERMUDEZ E 118 4.50    
 
IND-5   10/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLASH MOUNTAIN         (walsh p)MOJICA O 119 4.00 38% 1.60    
2  DESSERT FIRST Sep26 Sep14       (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
3  FLAT OUT FREDA Sep26 Sep14       (love alan)REYES ANGEL 119 30.00    
4  IN A PEACH Sep14 Sep02       (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
5  THATSHOWSHEROLLS Sep27 Sep14 Sep07 Aug18 Jul04 (dyer john)BERMUDEZ E 119 6.00    
SCR  CEE MINUS Sep26 Sep07       (west w)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
7  BONITA D'ORO Aug26         (devaux cherie)PARKER L 119 15.00    
8  LIGHTER KNOT Aug26 Aug07 Jul09     (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 ★    
SCR  OH POLLYANNA Sep14 Jul31       (shirer ma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  MORIARTY Sep27 Aug23 Aug14 Jul31 Jun26 (bogle fergus)LEBRON VICTOR 119 20.00    
11  FREE TIME Sep26         (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
12  ALWAYS LAUGHING Sep17 Aug14       (walsh brenda)RAMOS D 119 6.00    
13  PROUVER Sep04         (devaux cherie)HOLMES GAGE 112 10.00    
14  ROMAN FLAME         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 5.00 6% 16.80    
 
IND-6   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURLEY May09 Apr27       (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Oct03 May11 Apr26     (mcbride barb)MORALES JOSHUA 121 8.00 ★    
3  LIZZSAIDNO Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jun07 (nance m)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
4  DARNELL Aug16 Jul14 Jun28 Jun07 May09 (haran john)HOLMES GAGE 113 10.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  PANTALONES ENFUEGO         (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 124 10.00    
6  CHOCOLATE TRUTH Sep21 Aug22 Aug09 Jul13 Jun27 (egbert jame)STERRITT KENDAL 117 30.00    
7  ANNIE'S LEGACY Sep21 Aug31       (haran john)PEREZ E 120 12.00    
8  RUN AWAY FEVER Sep28 Sep14 Aug18 Jul11 May16 (steele brandi)PRESCOTT R 120 2.00 6% 14.60    
 
IND-7   10/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OMIXOCHITL Sep06 Jul23 Jun11 May07 Apr21 (gutierrez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  TIMELESS ROSE Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul09 Jun16 (granitz anthony )PARKER L 119 10.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS Sep22 Aug30 Aug09 Jul10   (west w)PRESCOTT R 124 4.00 ★    
4  POLKA POLENTA Aug29 Aug16 Jul14 Apr26 Apr02 (davis d)MOJICA O 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
5  KNEESNHIPS Sep13 Jun04 May06 Apr09 Mar12 (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50    
6  CHEROKEE SONG Sep13 Aug18 Aug06 Jun08   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 20.00    
SCR  CAROLINE'S STORY Sep14 Jul17 Jun17 Feb26   (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00 ★    
8  LINDALEVESOLTA (ARG) Aug21 Jul02       (lobo h)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
9  FONSSAGRIVES Aug16 Jun29 May18 Mar24 Feb10 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
10  DISCREET KITTY Sep13 Aug16 Jun21 Jun07 May11 (jurado luis)ELLIOTT JANE 122 6.00    
 
IND-8   10/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Sep09 Aug06 Jul16 May18 Apr29 (drury jr)HOLMES GAGE 111 8.00 8% 11.80    
2  LAURA'S CHARM Aug27 Jul17       (pierce lacy)COURT K 118 20.00    
3  PEACEFUL SURPRISE Sep29 Jun16 Apr09 Feb12 Jan14 (drury thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
4  HABUIAH Sep20 Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jun07 (langemeier john )PARKER L 117 6.00 ★    
5  KING'S LEGACY Aug08 Jun10 Apr23 Mar23   (van berg )BERMUDEZ E 118 8.00    
SCR  MINGLEWOOD (GB) Sep09 Jul27 Jun29 May18 Mar05 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 12.00    
7  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS Jun22 Apr28 Jan29     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.00 15% 5.50    
8  KENDAL GRACE Jul04 Jun22 Apr16 Mar10 Feb16 (acevedo isra)RAMOS D 118 6.00 6% 14.60    
9  LAMASCO Sep05 Aug18 Jul03 Jun11 May26 (gutierrez faust)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.00 47% 1.10    
10  ACCUSE Aug24 Jun22 Apr02 Mar10   (walsh b)DE CRUZ 118 4.50    
11  COLONEL ABY B Aug29 Aug06 Jun30 Jun02 May04 (williamso)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
SCR  GIMME CANDY May09 Apr02 Jan21     (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
SCR  LOVELY LISA Sep19 Aug18 Jul19 Jul07 Apr22 (hernandez )MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00    
 
IND-9   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROG TOWN         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  G T FIVE HUNDRED Sep21 Aug06       (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 15.00    
3  MOGUL CRACK Sep23         (gutierrez faust)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00    
4  BORN FLAWLESS Sep23         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00    
5  NATURAL HARBOR         (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 ★    
6  SOLAR POWER Sep24         (matthews )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 3.50 6% 16.30    
SCR  ARISTOCRACY         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  GO MAMBO Oct03 Sep21       (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
9  SMALL SAILOR Sep26 Sep06 Aug26     (garcia genaro)PARKER L 120 30.00    
10  SATURN BOY Sep21 Aug17       (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.