Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ARP-2   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUBBAS DIXIE Sep11 Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 May07 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 5.00    
2  RISKY BOY Sep20 Sep11 Aug23 Aug02   (shephard john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
3  GOLD NOTE Sep25 Sep06 Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  BRAZILIAN SUMMER Sep20 Aug22 Aug01 Jul03 May28 (hancock david )BEVERLY JR 124 12.00 6% 16.90    
5  TIGER THE MAN Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 Jul05 Jun10 (roberts m)WALES T 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  BIG BIZ Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 Jul19 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOT MOJO Jun20 May17 May02 Apr18 Apr04 (williams steve)BETHKE A 124 6.00    
8  RUN FOR MATTY Sep26 Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
SCR  JIMBO'S BIZ Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 Jul17 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
ARP-3   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FIRST PEARL Jul24 Jun10 Apr26 Feb04   (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 2.00    
SCR  HIGHTAILING Sep20 Aug22 Jul31 Jul19 Jun26 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 ★    
3  TRACK SMART Sep04 Jul31 Jul11 May07 May01 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  MISS IMPORTANT Jul31 Jul11 May21 Apr26 Apr12 (christian billy)RAMOS B 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
5  BLUE MOUNTAIN BELL Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul03 (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 121 2.50 ★    
6  ALWAYS A TIZ Sep25 Sep04 Jul11 Jun11 May29 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CELEE'S LAST TE Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 Jul03 (vicchrilli rus)VALENZUELA R 121 15.00    
8  BIND ME UP Sep27 Sep20 Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 30.00    
 
ARP-4   10/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPPED TO THE MAX Jul09 Jun25 Mar11 Jan25   (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
2  AUTOPILOT Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 Aug01 Jul05 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00    
3  GREY ROGUE Sep25 Sep06 Aug15 Jul24 Jul11 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
SCR  DON JUAN KITTEN Aug21         (ecoffey gilb)GONZALEZ P 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY Sep19 Aug30 Jul18 Jul04 May20 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 4.50 ★    
6  CHERUBIM Oct01 Aug29 Aug23 Aug09 Aug01 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  WYOMING CONQUEST Sep10 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 May23 (chavez veronica)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00    
8  SKY T Sep06 Apr20       (oliver kim)WALES T 121 3.50 7% 12.60    
9  BRAZEN NOW Sep19 Aug20 Apr21 Mar28 Mar09 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
ARP-6   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($77.7K) 2 F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHASTAWIN Sep11 Aug21       (long vaughn)RAMOS B 120 15.00 13% 7.00    
2  AMY D Aug07         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  WILLOWMYGIRL Jul04         (query r)VALENZUELA R 120 4.50    
4  GRAND EXPECTATIONS Sep11 Jul24       (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
5  GRACIE'S A TIGER Sep13         (martinez a)WALES T 120 6.00    
6  ARIZONA KALEI Aug26 Jul08 Jun19 May07 Apr13 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  BRING THE POSSE Sep11 Aug21 Aug07     (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 ★    
 
ARP-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($77.8K) 2 C/G PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE CRUSADER Sep05 Jul18       (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00 ★    
2  WHEELER DEALER Sep11 Aug28 Jul24     (parsons ril)TRIANA JR 120 10.00    
3  ARIZONA STEPHEN Aug30         (martinez a)WALES T 120 8.00 14% 5.90    
4  ARIZONA ANDREW Sep05 Aug20 Aug08     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
5  MO SUMMER Sep13 Aug30       (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
6  BRAYBRAY Aug15         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50    
7  ECHO CANYON Aug27 Aug14       (schnell don)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 ★    
 
ARP-9   10/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($52.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLUSIONIST Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04   (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 8% 10.90    
2  CONVENTION (IRE) Sep05 Aug15 Apr30 Apr22 Apr02 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
SCR  LIMONITE Sep19 Sep05 Aug01 Jul23 May29 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  COWBOY DON Sep20 Sep06 Aug30 Jul11 Jun10 (mcdonald william)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  FAMILY BIZ Sep19 Sep05 Jul28 Jul01 Jun05 (evans justin)BETHKE A 124 4.50 7% 13.70    
6  KEARNEY Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 Aug08 Jul03 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 30.00    
7  TUFF WILLY TE Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 Jul19 Jul04 (parsons ril)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
SCR  HOLD TIGHT Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 Jun11 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
9  MAIUS Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 Jul04 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 6% 16.60    
10  JU JU GUY Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.