Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/1/8/3)-(4/3/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (6/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3/5)-(6/1/8/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/8/3)-(4/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/3)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/7/2/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/6)-(4/7/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/6)-(4/7/2/9)-(7/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (4/7/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9/5)-(4/7/2/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/2/9)-(7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/9)-(7/1/2)-(1/8/3/10/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-5   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(1/8/3/10/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(1/8/3/10/9)-(9/7/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-6   WIN (1/8/3/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/10/9)-(1/8/3/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/10/9)-(1/8/3/10/9)-(1/8/3/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/3/10/9)-(9/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/10/9)-(9/7/6/2)-(8/3/4/7/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-7   WIN (9/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/2)-(9/7/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/2)-(9/7/6/3/2)-(9/7/6/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/6/2)-(8/3/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/2)-(8/3/4/7/6)-(3/11/12/10/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-8   WIN (8/3/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/7/6)-(8/3/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/7/6)-(8/3/4/7/6)-(8/3/4/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/4/7/6)-(3/11/12/10/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CNL-9   WIN (3/11/12/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/12/10/8)-(3/11/12/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/12/10/8)-(3/11/12/10/8)-(3/11/12/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT THIS GAL May24         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of POUND STERLING by ASCOT KNIGHT)
2  DETERMINED ACHOTI         (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STYLE AND GRACE by CURLIN)
3  DESTINATION Apr06 Feb23 Feb03 Dec29   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CAUGHT DREAM'N by BLAME)
4  HARMONY ROAD Jun21         (kelly bl)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 4.50 33% 2.10    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SCRATCH N CLAW by BRIEF RUCKUS)
5  BELLE OFTHE DANCE Jun17         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of CRUISE AND DANZE by DANZA)
6  ALYVIA MAVIS May30 May17 May06 Apr14 Apr02 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of J'RAY'S SUNSHINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
CNL-2   07/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAX CAPACITY         (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  NOW TEDDY         (meyers shane)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00    
3  HIDDEN FAVOR         (durr cody)SANCHEZ J 119 10.00 5% 18.70    
4  MORE THAN CUTE Jun14 May15       (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
5  BOSS LILY         (flores irv)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 ★    
6  OUR DAY WILL COME         (capuano philli)BOYCE FOREST 119 2.50 32% 2.20    
7  SMOLS Jun13         (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 12.00    
8  HUTCHINSON         (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 6% 16.20    
9  JIGGER         (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00    
 
CNL-3   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD ROCK Jul03 May30 May19 May01 Apr17 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 118 30.00    
SCR  ENDURING GOLD Jun14 Apr26 Mar13 Feb14   (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 4.00    
3  EASTBOSTONBENNY May22 Mar15 Feb15 Jan19 Dec19 (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  VILLAGE PERSON Mar13         (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00 38% 1.70    
5  GABRIEL'S WING Jun05 May01 Apr04 Mar01 Feb14 (figgins oll)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00 20% 3.90    
6  SCHRADER Jun20 May26 Apr05 Mar13 Feb16 (mcmahon i)CENTENO E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS May10 Apr19 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 (cruz jesus)CONNER TYLER 122 15.00    
8  STOP THE SPREAD Jun08 Apr28 Apr04 Jan26 Jan11 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
9  CRAB DADDY Mar22 Mar13 Feb22 Jan25 Dec30 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 6.00    
 
CNL-4   07/11/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NANCIE'S BOY Jun26 May24 Apr06 Mar14 Dec14 (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 119 30.00    
2  CAPTAIN EDDIE Feb08 Dec06       (lightner mary)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 10% 8.60    
3  WHENEVERUREMEMBER May23 Aug31 Aug13 Jun23   (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 10.00    
4  TRANSACTIONAL GUY Jun08         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 4.00 41% 1.50    
5  DATS TAP Jun28 Jun08 May23 Apr26 Dec22 (singh somraj)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 ★    
6  BOURBONATOR Oct27 Sep27 Aug05     (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
7  WAR WARRIOR Mar12 Feb15 Nov15 Sep15 Aug18 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
8  AMERICAN LITIGATOR Jun07 Apr27 Apr12 Mar07   (capuano phillip)RUIZ JORGE 119 10.00    
9  BUILT BY KHOZAN Jun08 May01 Apr19 Mar15 Feb23 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00 10% 9.30    
10  SAMDINI         (west w)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
 
CNL-5   07/11/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI DINERO May23 Apr16 May17 Apr04 Feb28 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  EL TINMARIN Jun19 May16 Apr26 Mar26 Mar02 (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 10.00 9% 10.00    
3  HONOR MAGS Feb08 Nov08 Oct04 Sep05   (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
4  ATHLETIC STAR Sep21 Jul27       (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
5  HOLD UP May30 Dec07 Oct31 Sep14 Jul06 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 122 15.00    
6  TAKETHEFIFTH Jun08 May24 Mar01 Jul21 Jun13 (rubley k)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 3.50 ★    
7  CONTEMPLATION Apr26 Jan18 Dec22 Nov14 Sep25 (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
CNL-6   07/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTY CAKES Jun21 Jun07 May15 Apr19 Mar17 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  RECOGNIZE ME Jun21 Jun07 Sep05 Aug24 Aug02 (hernandez c)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
3  ANOINT Jun21 Jun06 Jul29 May31 Nov10 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.50 9% 10.50    
4  DON'T TELL DEREN Jun21 Jun07 May15 Jan26 Dec29 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00    
5  MAXIMO MADNESS Jun21 May26 May10 Apr19 Apr05 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
6  SOLVING PROGRESS Jun22 Nov10 Oct13 Sep20 Aug22 (trombett)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00    
7  ALLONS Jun26 Jun05 May02 Mar28 Mar07 (gallegos)GALLARDO A 123 20.00    
8  LOVE MAMI LOVE May15 Jan11 Dec15 Oct25 Aug29 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 123 5.00 10% 9.10    
9  CAIRO STREET Jun21 Apr18 Feb28 Feb13 Dec01 (gaudet lacey)BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOGO CHANEL Jun07 May11 Feb23 Jan23 Dec07 (dilodovico)SANCHEZ J 123 12.00 6% 15.80    
11  NEXT EPISODE Jun07 Mar28 Feb22 Jan18 Dec24 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 30.00    
 
CNL-7   07/11/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Mar08 Jan25 Dec26 Nov10 Oct04 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00    
2  SUN BEE Mar01 Jan25 Dec29 Nov17 Sep05 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DANCING N DIXIE May31 Apr26 Nov29 Oct25 Sep11 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 ★    
4  CHICK'S SHADOW May31 May10 Mar30 Feb14 Dec29 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 122 30.00    
5  CUT FROM CLASS Jun21 Apr19 Nov23 Sep14 Aug18 (keil caitlin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 20.00    
6  SAND AND SEA Apr25 Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Dec29 (mott riley)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 11% 8.40    
7  BELLE OF RIGHTS May24 Dec14 Oct26 Sep07 Jul08 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
8  AYRA STARK (ARG) May18         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 30.00    
9  ELYSIAN FIELD Nov09 Sep14 Aug10 Jul13 May17 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
 
CNL-8   07/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDERSTUDY KITTY Jun07 May16 Mar01 Feb06 Jun13 (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00    
2  LIAR'S POKER May25 Feb12 Jan26 Nov29 Oct05 (londono gen)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00    
3  MISSION NORTH May25 Oct18 Jul06 Jun02 May17 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
4  HIGHESTDISTINCTION Jun14 May24 Mar22 Feb28 Nov23 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
5  MASSIF Jun04 Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul26 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 6.00    
6  TAPIT KISSIT WINIT May24 Nov03 Oct10 Sep08   (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MALIBU SPRINGS Nov01 May18 Apr10 Mar20 Feb15 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOPPY O May17 Mar30 Mar02 Jan18 Dec28 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 46% 1.20    
9  AIR RECRUIT Nov03 Sep30 Sep09 Aug05   (delacour arn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
SCR  IZZY D'ORO Jun14 Apr26 Sep07 Aug11 Jun23 (kelly bl)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 30.00    
11  BLAME THE TUX May16 Apr18 Nov08 Oct12 Sep07 (flores irvin )KARAMANOS A 122 30.00    
SCR  DEUTERONOMY Feb15 Jan18 Nov29 Nov01 Jul20 (mcgaughey claude)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50    
 
CNL-9   07/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER PUNCH Jun12 May25 Apr23 Mar21 Oct05 (ramos ben)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 15.00    
2  ETHICS Feb27 Feb15 Sep01 Aug01   (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 118 5.00    
3  FOUNTAIN RUN Jun04 May26 Apr11 Mar15 Feb16 (meah m)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00 61% 0.60    
4  BLACKTHORNE BRUSCA Jun28 Jun07 Sep22 Aug24   (cooney susa)HAMILTON WESTON 118 30.00    
5  WHITE BLUE Jun28 May31 Mar01 Feb14 Feb01 (salazar mar)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 50.00    
SCR  RUIZ JUNIOR May18 Apr27 Mar23 Mar07 Feb23 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 118 20.00    
7  UNION THUNDER Aug17         (machado antonio)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
8  BLAME THE RIVER Jun11 May24 May27     (flores )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  PYROMANIA May26 May17 May08 Apr17 Jul18 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
10  WAR CODE Jun27         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  KY THIRTY WON Jun10 Apr23 Apr12 Nov19 Oct12 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 10% 9.30    
12  GLADSTONE Jun07 May26 Feb27     (cibelli jane)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  DISCOMBOBULAATOR Jul03 Sep05 Aug21 Jun17 Jun08 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
14  DEVELOP PRODUCT May25 Apr18 Mar22     (braddy j)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00    
SCR  GRAND LIAM Apr26 Apr12 Mar23 Dec22 Nov27 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00    
SCR  THATSMYBOXER Aug29 Aug03 Jul10 Nov10 Sep21 (morris r)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.