Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - May 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/8)-(7/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/8)-(7/2/5/3)-(5/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/3)-(5/1/4)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/3/4)-(5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/1)-(6/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(6/2/5)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(1/4/5/7)-(6/10/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/7)-(6/10/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/10/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/7)-(6/10/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/7)-(6/10/4/7)-(6/10/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZERO GRAVITY Apr20 Dec19 Nov13 Oct20 Oct07 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 3.00    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 Dec23 Nov11 (hurley l)DIAZ I 119 4.00 7% 13.60    
HAD RIGHT Mar27 Mar01 Feb06 Jan16 Dec26 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 119 10.00    
LOMACHENKO Apr07 Mar22 Feb09 Jan01 Nov23 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
HOLY SAINT Mar26 Feb12 Feb03 Jan16 Dec30 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 8.00 59% 0.70    
LAST COOKIE Mar11 Mar01 Feb05 Jan09 Dec23 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
BOURBON WISDOM Apr10 Mar26 Mar13 Mar01 Dec19 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 9% 10.80    
HURRY ON OUT Mar29 Feb13 Jan16 Jul08 Jun09 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALO EFFECT Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 Sep30 Jun19 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 15.00    
IAMAMASON Apr09 Mar18 Feb05 Oct08 Sep12 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 10% 8.60    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Apr24 Apr09 Mar06 Feb27 Jan25 (schuster robin)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
WINGS OF HEAVEN Sep05 Aug26 Jul01 Jun12 May27 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
RAZZBERRY RIPPLE Mar18 Feb28 Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.50 6% 16.00    
GEMSHINE Nov20 Nov05 Oct19 Sep30 Sep04 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
WINDY VALLEY Apr12 Apr03 Mar18 Feb06 Jan23 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 1.80 59% 0.70    
 
TDN-3   05/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIONAL STORY Apr05 Dec12 Nov26 Nov11 Oct09 (jensen p)STOKES J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
REDDEN Jul11 Jun11 Apr30 Apr11 Mar25 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80    
COLOR BEARER Apr23 Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 Dec09 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
ONE STEP ASIDE Apr08 Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Jan13 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
ILIKETHAT Mar04 Feb08 Dec27 Dec10   (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 1.20 71% 0.40    
 
TDN-4   05/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESS CRUISER Apr06 Mar21 Feb28 Jan31 Nov27 (puhl kim)STOKES J 119 2.00 54% 0.90    
SECRET TROUBLE Jan23 Jan06 Nov22 Oct23 Sep30 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 115 5.00    
GAMBOLING GHOST Apr08 Mar22 Mar05 Feb12 Jan16 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
CACIQUE ABARRIO Jan15 Dec26 Nov15 Sep29 Sep15 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
COASTERTOTHEMOON Apr23 Mar19 Feb19 Jan17 Oct28 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
SWEET AS SIN Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Jan04 Nov07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80    
 
TDN-5   05/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL HYSTERIA Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 Feb08 Jan07 (juarez-mend)NUNEZ Y 119 4.50 7% 12.40    
PAYMASTER GENERAL Apr22 Oct02 Sep14 Jul19 Jun27 (schuster robin)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  DR. JOBO'S DAY Mar26 Mar13 Feb27 Feb13 Jan09 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 121 1.80    
GRAY TORMENTOR Apr03 Mar03 Feb08 Nov13 Oct29 (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 119 1.60    
BUCKEYE TAKEOVER Apr04 Mar13 Jan24     (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 117 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
TDN-6   05/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPO LUCA Apr19 Mar02 Feb07 Jan26 Dec29 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50    
RAMSEY Mar30 Mar11 Jan17 Dec13 Nov22 (castil)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 21% 3.70    
VERBIER (IRE) Apr08 Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 Jan23 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
CHARLESTON Apr04 Mar14 Jan24 Jan04 Dec06 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
PHOTO HOP Apr11 Apr05 Mar27 Feb28 Jan23 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
GUT INSTINCT Mar01 Jan23 Jan06 Dec03 Nov07 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 4.50 49% 1.10    
 
TDN-7   05/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T CROSS JACK Apr08 Oct16 Sep29 Aug11 Jul24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
AUGER Apr11 Mar23 Mar12 Feb14 Feb01 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.00    
DON'T STOP Apr10 Apr01 Feb26 Feb06 Jan02 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
OTIS OTIS OTIS Dec16 Nov26 Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
FAT DADDY Apr21 Nov06 Oct20 Oct01 Sep19 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
HITSVILLE Apr08 Mar11 Mar01 Feb05 Jan23 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50    
BLESS THE KITTEN Mar19 Mar01 Jan29 Jan09 Nov06 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   05/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL SCORE Mar31 Mar11 Mar01 Feb05 Dec26 (gonzalez ricardo)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
SCR  C MORE PRIDE Apr23 Apr07 Mar20 Mar03 Jan28 (faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119 30.00    
MANDOLIN BREEZE Nov13 Nov04 Oct21 Sep18 Sep02 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
MOBIL ENSIGN Apr28 Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 Jan25 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THELMA LUCILLE Apr07 Mar20 Feb06 Dec26 Nov20 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
TIERNEY Jan07 Dec04 Nov19 Oct21 Oct05 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 58% 0.70    
BRIEF ENCOUNTER Sep20 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 Jun07 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOT PRINCESS (GB) Apr10 Mar31 Mar01 Feb06 Jan07 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
VAL'S TWINSTAR Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
10  ANGEL I'M NOT Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb10 Jan15 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  IT'S E Z Mar25 Feb27 Jan06 Dec18 Nov20 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.