Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(5/4/3)-(6/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/1/4)-(6/7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/7/3/1)-(3/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/1)-(3/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/1)-(3/2/4/1)-(1/4/5/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/1)-(1/4/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/1)-(1/4/5/3/8)-(2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/4/5/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/3/8)-(1/4/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/3/8)-(1/4/5/3/8)-(1/4/5/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/5/3/8)-(2/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/3/8)-(2/6/5)-(6/3/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/3/5)-(1/2/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-8   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-9   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINY'S TOT Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec26 Dec09 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 118 2.50    
2  KELLEY JEAN Feb27 Jan25       (hamm timothy)STOKES J 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
3  JUSTWORTHASHOT Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jan08 Dec17 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00    
SCR  QUETZALY Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jun17 May28 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
5  FUNNYSTASTIC Oct26 Oct09       (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 18% 4.50    
6  MY DEAR VALENTINE Feb28 Feb06 Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   03/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY HELPS Mar04 Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
2  LOTSA MATCHA Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 Nov06 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00    
3  ONE STEP ASIDE Mar04 Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROLLIN MY WAY Mar04 Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 Nov26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  PARTY POOPER Mar04 Feb08 Dec12 Nov26 Nov02 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 124 0.80 49% 1.10    
6  RADIO SILENT Mar04 Feb08 Dec03 Nov07 Oct21 (hamm timothy)STOKES J 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   03/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTASSET Jan25 Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
2  COLLECT GOLD Dec27 Nov06 Feb14 Jan15 Dec14 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 126 3.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MEADOWLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
SCR  JOSEFINA Feb27 Feb04 Dec27     (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.50    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
4  DOLLAR DANCE Feb27 Feb04 Aug07 Jul04   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
5  J. P INDY Jan25 Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Mar03 Oct26 Oct09 Aug30 Aug10 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by ARMY MULE out of HOLIDAY STORM by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
MVR-4   03/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE NITE LIZZIE Mar05 Feb13 Nov10 Oct28 Sep27 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUMOURS FLY Mar10 Jan27 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
3  QUEEN LEXI Mar10 Feb13 Jan27 Jan09 Dec26 (short thomas)SIMPSON JASON 124 6.00 7% 13.70    
4  HAYEK Mar10 Dec10 Nov22 Aug30 Jul25 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
5  MANGORITA Jan27 Jan09 Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 (vlaun manue)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
6  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Mar10 Jan24 Nov14 Oct24 Oct09 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 57% 0.70    
7  ELKO Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov27 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  MARY KATHERINE Jan27 Jan09 Dec18 Nov27 Nov10 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
 
MVR-5   03/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY SIGNS Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 8.00 8% 12.10    
2  NATIONAL DIAMOND Mar05 Feb10 Jan29 Dec16 Nov13 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.00 13% 6.80    
3  DANZA MAGIC Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 Jan24 Dec18 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  POWER BANKER Mar10 Feb10 Jan24 Dec18 Nov18 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
5  STATE OF GRACE Feb28 Feb05 Jan13 Oct13 Sep04 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
6  LADY ABRIL Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
7  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Feb28 Jan29 Jan13 Jun11 May04 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 3.50    
 
MVR-6   03/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF THE LYON Mar10 Feb05 Jan13 Dec18 Nov12 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  ANGEL WINGS Feb05 Jun24 Jun03 May14 Mar13 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
3  LADY FORTUNE Mar10 Jan29 Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWERK Mar10 Jan29 Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 124 4.50 12% 7.20    
5  SPICE ICE Mar05 Feb10 Jan08 Nov06 Sep30 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 6% 15.20    
6  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Feb28 Feb05 Jan15 May04 Feb26 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
7  BAY MAGIC Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Jul04 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
8  JETTIN PEGASUS Mar05 Jan29 Sep03 Aug14 Aug01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SARAH JANE Mar10 Jan24 Dec18 Nov18 Oct29 (bates l)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
10  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Mar10 Feb10 Jan24 Dec28 Dec11 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00    
 
MVR-7   03/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Q BOND Mar04 Feb12 Jan24 Dec02 Nov19 (short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
2  WICCA WISDOM Feb28 Feb12 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 0.80 63% 0.60    
3  GORMLEY GIRL Feb28 Jan30 Jan01 Nov19 Nov12 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 3.00    
4  TAMBARELLA Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 Sep24 (norris st)HERNANDEZ H 124 20.00    
5  WILDCAT DREAM Feb12 Jan24 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Mar04 Jan29 Nov24 Oct15 Oct02 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  I FEEL THE NEED Mar10 Feb12 Jan24 Jan06 Dec10 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   03/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CORDOBES (IRE) Mar07 Feb21 Jan24 Sep11 Aug15 (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 116 3.00    
2  REASON TO BELIEVE Feb28 Jan30 Dec12 Oct30 Oct08 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 116 15.00    
3  CALL IT A NIGHT Mar05 Feb08 Dec28 Dec11 Nov14 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  RED IN FRONT Mar01 Feb03 Jan16 Dec07 Nov17 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
5  MONBA QUAKE Jan04 Nov20 Jun22 Jun01 May02 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 5.00 7% 14.20    
6  POLSTER Mar05 Feb08 Jan04 Nov08 Oct04 (brown h)AVILES YAN 124 0.80 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-9   03/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAVENDISH Mar12 Feb27 Feb04 Jan23 Jan09 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  WASHINGTON'S UNION Mar12 Feb27 Feb11 Jan29 Dec28 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  EDDIE M Mar04 Feb11 Jan16 Dec28 Dec01 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 4.00    
4  TIZ SPEEDY Mar11 Mar01 Dec28 Dec08 Nov16 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00    
5  TIER ONE Feb27 Jan24 Jan09 Dec17 Dec02 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  PATIENT CAPITAL Mar15 Feb27 Jan24 Dec29 Dec08 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
7  K KID Feb27 Feb03 Jan16 Dec17 Dec02 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  CRAFTED Mar11 Feb03 Jan16 Dec02 Aug16 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.