Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/5)-(6/9/4/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/5)-(6/9/4/7/10)-(4/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-3   WIN (6/9/4/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/7/10)-(6/9/4/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/7/10)-(6/9/4/7/10)-(6/9/4/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/4/7/10)-(4/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/7/10)-(4/5/9)-(7/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/9)-(4/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/9)-(4/5/9)-(4/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/9)-(7/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9)-(7/5/2/8)-(1/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/8)-(1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/8)-(1/7/8)-(9/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(9/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8)-(9/7/5)-(6/1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-7   WIN (9/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/5)-(9/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/5)-(9/7/5)-(9/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/7/5)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/5)-(6/1/5/7)-(1/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/7)-(1/6/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIN TONG Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Jan09 Dec30 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  JOHN DUNBAR Feb05 Jan22 Dec26 Dec05 Oct26 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
3  DAGGER RANCH Feb05 Jan14 Dec11 Nov20 Oct13 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
4  BIG JACK Feb05 Jan22 Dec30 Dec02 Oct18 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
5  SENSICAL Feb12 Jan22 Jan09 Dec18 Dec02 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHISKEY HARBOR Oct14 Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
7  ALL THAT GLORY Dec09 Nov04 Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
8  KNIGHTLINE Feb22 Jan21 Jan09 Aug25 Aug17 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
 
TUP-3   03/22/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCOPELLO Feb10 Jan23 Dec27 Nov30 Apr15 (soto antoni)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
2  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Feb20 Jan09 Aug04 Jun15 May02 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
3  CAPITAL EXPENSE Jan13 Dec02 Jun07 Feb01 Oct08 (baze robert)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
4  BLUEGRASS FAITH Feb12 Sep26 Aug24 Aug03 Jul21 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
5  STORMCATSONG Feb22 Jul27 Jul07 Jun16   (zimmerman p)MONTALVO C 124 15.00    
6  JAIME'S COMMITMENT Feb27 Apr10 Feb29 Feb20 Feb05 (valeri)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  ROLL DEM BONES Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 Sep13 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 12.00 6% 15.50    
8  BODENHEIMER Sep28 Aug01 Feb01 Dec23 Dec02 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
9  ANNIE'S BOY Jan13 Dec30 Nov19 Apr22 Apr03 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
10  D K'S CROWN Feb19 Feb06 Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 (garcia l)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FORT NECESSITY Mar20 Jan28 Jan13 Dec26 Dec09 (thompso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   03/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADS ESTRELLA Feb22 Jan29 Jan16 Sep07 Aug04 (kemper kasey)VERGARA P 122 4.00    
SCR  MISS UNION Jan16 Dec10 Nov13 Sep22 Jul13 (fergus)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 8.00    
SCR  ASENA Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
4  PEPPER MILL Feb13 Jan22 Jan01 Nov25 Nov13 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  BLESSED ANGEL Feb20 Jan29 Nov30 Mar20 Mar11 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  GO GO SADIE Feb22 Jan29 Jan16 Jan01 Dec10 (guerra jacq)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
SCR  DISTINCTIVE DEB Feb27 Jan24 Jan13 Jan01 Dec09 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
8  NEVER SWAY Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Oct09 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
9  LETS DECLARE PEACE Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Oct25 Sep20 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   03/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cotton Fitzsimmons Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT A DUDE Mar04 Feb12 Jan16 Dec30 Dec03 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of OFF THE BOAT by MORE THAN READY)
2  SARWAR (FR) Feb02 Jan04 Nov17 Oct19 Aug17 (powell leon)HERRERA A 120 4.00 8% 11.40    
  (by PEDRO THE GREAT out of SNOW JASMINE by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
SCR  CORNISHMAN Mar10 Feb12 Jan25 Dec31 Dec16 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of PENWITH by BERNARDINI)
4  FEARLESS SOLDIER Feb12 Feb02 Jan04 Nov29 Oct19 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HESSIE'S GIRL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  KENNEBEC Feb12 Jan16 Dec18 Nov19 Aug08 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of THISDANSEISTAKEN by GATORS N BEARS)
6  IRISH PROPHET Mar02 Feb02 Jan04 Nov17 Oct26 (drysdale neil)MOJICA O 118 5.00    
  (by IRISH SURF out of PLAY IT TRUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  SALINE RIVER Feb12 Jan16 Dec18 Oct23 Aug04 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
8  ARMA D'ORO Feb06 Jan23 Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of GOLD DUST LADY by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 
TUP-6   03/22/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Paradise Derby Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T FLY STAND BY Feb19 Dec27 Nov26 Sep28 Aug09 (ei)DA FAUSTO 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by UPSTART out of MISS EMELINA by BIG BROWN)
SCR  THIRSTY VISION Feb19 Jan20 Dec15 Nov23 Sep15 (rosale)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY SCARLETT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
3  SPENARD Feb16 Jan16 Jan01 Nov13   (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of TWEETERDINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  REGARDING HARRY Mar20 Feb25       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of SEASIDE MAGIC by HARD SPUN)
SCR  WEST OF ME Mar03 Oct12 Sep14     (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121 5.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BEST OF ME by SUPER SAVER)
6  MY VINO Feb05 Jan19 Dec04 Nov19 Oct12 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  BODI ZAFA Feb19 Feb04 Dec17 Aug04 Jul07 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LIGHTNING DOVE by UNCLE MO)
8  WOOD CEILING Feb19 Jan17 Nov26 Oct10   (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 9% 10.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
SCR  JUST TRUST ME Feb19 Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov09 (williams dewey)KRIGGER K 121 4.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of TRUST FUND KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
TUP-7   03/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOCIAL PROMISE Feb20 Oct13 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (rennie k)KRIGGER K 121 20.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
SCR  SUNSET BEAUTY Feb07         (powell leon)HERRERA A 121 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DOVIMA by UNION RAGS)
SCR  KANOJO Nov26 Sep28 Aug30     (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of MYWOMANFROMTOKYO by NEKO BAY)
4  TWO BAR Feb20 Dec26 Nov16 Oct18 Aug25 (mcfarla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ROADBUG by QUALITY ROAD)
5  POLYTHENE PAM Feb21 Jan05 Dec14     (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LOVE HURTS by LATIN AMERICAN)
6  NOSTRI VIRES Feb28 Jan01 Dec14 Sep02 Aug04 (dollase cra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50    
  (by PHANTOM BOSS out of WICKED FRESH by WICKED STRONG)
7  A THOUSAND MILES Feb20 Nov18 Sep15 Aug03 Jun22 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SWISS ARMY WIFE by COLONEL JOHN)
8  SAPELLO LA FINA Mar05 Feb20 Jan17 Dec23 Dec05 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 15.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of JULES N ROME by DUNKIRK)
9  SAYUCAN Feb20 Dec26 Dec05 Nov13 Sep22 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of BOLD KITTEN by JACINTO)
SCR  SHESAYSHELLO Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Sep15 Aug09 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 20.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of MORETHANJUSTHELLO by MORE THAN READY)
 
TUP-8   03/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Queen Of The Green Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVENTAPP Feb24 Feb13 Jan24 Dec28 Dec09 (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVENTINA by DYNAFORMER)
2  MUCHO MACHO GIRL Feb01 Dec22 Nov14 Oct20 Sep13 (powell leon)HERRERA A 119 4.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
SCR  BIG HUG Mar15 Mar01 Feb01 Jan19 Dec12 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  VALENTINA DAY Feb13 Jan28 Dec14 Oct17 Sep11 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 117 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of ONE IN A ROMP by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
5  JAMIES INHERITANCE Feb13 Jan28 Dec12 Sep14 Aug11 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  FLAME MCGOON Feb13 Jan15 Dec27 Sep05 Oct22 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by STANFORD out of LULA TALULLAH by MORE THAN READY)
7  CRYSTAL COAST Feb26 Feb06 Jan16 Nov15 Oct19 (mckinney d)KRIGGER K 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CRYSTIAN D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  EMPRESS ELLIE Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Jun22 May18 (miller pete)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LET JOY REIGN by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Feb13 Jan28 Dec12 Sep08 Jul27 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 120 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
 
TUP-9   03/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phoenix Gold Cup Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDLINE Jan17 Dec05 Nov14 Sep20 Aug24 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GUADALUPE HIGH by CUVEE)
SCR  LOVE MY JIMMY Jan30 Dec23 Nov19 Jun21 May27 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CLEMENCY by LIL E. TEE)
3  RUGGS Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 Aug04 (valeri)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BRAZEN PERSUASION by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  PLANE TALK Feb11 Jan23 Dec16 Nov19 Sep26 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of KITTY'S PEARL by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  COASTAL JAZZ Jan06 Dec11 Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 (evans justin)CORBETT W 123 3.50    
  (by COAST GUARD out of JASMINE'S MELODY by ARTAX)
6  TAPATIO LEO Apr07 Feb23 Feb10 Dec10 Sep30 (dollase cra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWEET LIPS POOH by RIO VERDE)
7  PERFECT DUDE Feb11 Jun23 May04 Apr13 Mar15 (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
8  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Feb11 Jan23 Jan06 Apr27 Apr06 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of NEARLYCOCKTAILTIME by THISNEARLYWASMINE)
9  PRAYER OF JABEZ Feb11 Jan23 Jan06 Dec16 Apr23 (kereluk edward)LULL E 121 5.00    
  (by STANFORD out of ALWAZABRIDESMAID by KAFWAIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.