Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(8/10/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (7/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(8/10/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/6)-(8/10/9/4)-(3/6/4/1/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/10/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/9/4)-(8/10/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/9/4)-(8/10/9/4)-(8/10/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/9/4)-(3/6/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/9/4)-(3/6/4/1/2)-(8/2/6/7/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/6/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1/2)-(3/6/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1/2)-(3/6/4/1/2)-(3/6/4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1/2)-(8/2/6/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1/2)-(8/2/6/7/5)-(1/4/2/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/2/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/7/5)-(8/2/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/7/5)-(8/2/6/7/5)-(8/2/6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/6/7/5)-(1/4/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/7/5)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/3/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/8)-(1/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/8)-(1/3/2/6)-(10/3/9/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/6)-(10/3/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (10/3/9/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/2/7)-(10/3/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/2/7)-(10/3/9/2/7)-(10/3/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASILE Feb06 Jan02 Dec14     (breaux samu)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.00    
2  BAYTOWN BOUJEE Mar08 Feb08 Jan16 Nov14 Jul13 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  LORD HARMONY Feb21 Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 Nov30 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 122 5.00 39% 1.50    
4  ABOUT TO SET SAIL Feb01 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Feb10 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50    
5  CALL ME SUSAN Feb17 Jan18 Dec14 Nov22 Oct11 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 6.00    
6  GETOUTOFDAWAY Feb08 Jan10 May22 May01 Apr10 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   03/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS HARMONIC Feb27 Jan27 Jan02 Dec12 May24 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  LEGAL DECEIVER Feb06 Dec28 Nov12 Jun07 May24 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
3  SISTER SEEK Dec29 Aug14 May22 May04 Jan04 (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 122 12.00 13% 6.60    
4  AZTEC EMPRESS Mar08 Feb02 Jan09 Dec08 Sep16 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
5  CHATTANOOGA CREW Feb08 Jan19 Sep14 Aug04 Jul06 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 114 3.50    
6  SPECTACULAR FORCE Feb27 Feb02 Jan02 Dec21 Dec08 (carter ange)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRINCESS POM POM Feb27 Feb02 Jan16 Jan04 Nov13 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
8  I'M BLEU TOO Feb16 Oct11 Sep07 Aug02 Oct26 (casse w)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
 
FG-3   03/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHER CHARGE Mar03         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
SCR  ONE GRAND SLAM         (daigle walter)FLORIAN JOSE 115 20.00    
3  SCOOTIN' BOOTS Feb27 Feb08 Jan24 Dec28 Dec06 (castille )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
4  BLONDATE Feb27 Jan02 Dec13 Nov23 Aug28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WATCHINGTIME Mar07 Feb16 Jan27     (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
6  RANDY DAYTONA Feb20 Jan30 Dec28 Dec08 Nov23 (melancon don)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
7  QUIKONTHETRIGGER Feb19         (melancon donald)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
8  FINAL HALF Mar03 Jan27 Jan02 Dec08 Nov23 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
9  BANDIDO DEAL Feb08         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 7% 13.20    
10  Z STAR         (david b)VARGAS P 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
FG-4   03/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORDITO HERMOSO Feb27 Feb06 Jan02 Nov24 Mar10 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LOUISIANA NATIVE Mar09 Jan30 Jan09 Dec19 Sep16 (dandridge courtn)RIQUELME J 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  PASKETEE Feb27 Jun01 May08     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 57% 0.80    
4  AMPITUP Jan30 Jan09 Dec13 Nov02 Aug31 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 114 4.50 5% 17.30    
5  TWOFEXUSNEXUS Feb27 Jan29 Feb02 Dec30 Dec02 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
6  SPRINGTOWN Jan18 Jun10 Mar24 Mar10 Feb18 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
7  DEAL OF FAITH Feb20 Jan27 Jan01 Dec12 Nov24 (munoz yovani)MUNOZ SERGIO 125 6.00    
8  GRAY DANE Oct26 Jul06 Jun14 May30 May08 (journet alber)VARGAS P 122 10.00    
9  BILLY BOWLEGS Nov15 Oct25 Aug23 Aug01 Feb22 (journet alb)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 20.00    
 
FG-5   03/19/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TO THE CHIEF         (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of WORTH A CHANCE MO by UNCLE MO)
2  ADVANCED SPIRIT         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GOODNESS UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  WORLD CHAOS Feb02 Jan05 Nov22     (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARVESTFORTHEWORLD by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
4  VALLEY OF FIRE Feb07 Jan12       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 117 5.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MARCHING FIRE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  E LION         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of KING'S GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  RESTORE (FR) Feb13 Dec19 Oct19 Aug31 Jul27 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 117 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLLY CORBIN by WAR FRONT)
7  GREAT MOMENT Feb15 Jan20 Nov27 Nov01   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
8  BOSUN May10 Apr04       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KIPLING'S JOY by KIPLING)
9  MIGHT BE ME Aug24         (ladner bill)ASTUDILLO FELIX 109 30.00    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of LAKELEIGH LONGLEGS by HALF OURS)
SCR  TAKETHEFIFTH Mar01 Jul21 Jun13 Apr27 Mar13 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 125 15.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERDONA by BLAME)
SCR  MAX COLLECTOR Mar01         (leonard ge)ALBERT S 125 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of WHISPERING SOFTLY by ARCH)
SCR  MONDOGETSBUCKETS Jun30 May12       (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MY MISS CHIFF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  LA PERFECT BEE Jul14 Jun29 Jun22 Jun02   (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 125 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of PERFECT LA COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
FG-6   03/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIERRA NOVEMBER Feb15 Jan20       (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SWAMPOODLE by BROKEN VOW)
2  MAMA BOURBON         (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SUGAR QUEEN by GEMOLOGIST)
3  SPYING Feb15         (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BABY GO FAR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  PROTOCOL         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of CASH QUEEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  EPISIST         (asmussen ste)TORRES A 120 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  BUNDLE Feb15         (asmussen st)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of LOVE AND PRIDE by A.P. INDY)
7  LA REYNITA Feb15 Jan17       (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of MY MACH FOUR by MACHIAVELLIAN)
8  SPUNDERDOG Feb27         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of THE SENSE ANGEL by MINESHAFT)
 
FG-7   03/19/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF A BIRCH Dec21 Nov09 Oct05 Jul04 May26 (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  GILDED RULER Feb15 Dec13 Nov15 Oct17 Feb25 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
3  KAVOD Feb15 Jan18 Dec20 Nov17 Oct12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
4  UNCLE BERLEY Mar09 Feb28 Jan31 Jan19 Jan10 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 120 20.00    
5  HONKY TONK HIGHWAY Nov30 Mar24 Feb13 Jan18 Dec16 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
6  FELIX Feb07 Dec02 Sep02 Aug05 Nov06 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
7  AMBIVALENT Feb07 Dec21 Sep01 Jul27 Jun14 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
SCR  ARRO SMASH Feb13 Jan17 Dec20 Nov09 Sep12 (bauer philip)TORRES A 120 4.00    
SCR  FRANKIE'S EMPIRE Jun02 Mar30 Mar02 Feb03 Dec26 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00    
 
FG-8   03/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUS MAKES CENTS Feb22 Feb06 Jan12     (cohn alice )ASTUDILLO FELIX 120 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIMME YO NUMBER by YONAGUSKA)
2  THATS UNBELIEVABLE Feb22 Jan31 Jan08 Nov22 Oct30 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 117 5.00 5% 18.30    
  (by GORMLEY out of CHARMING COLLEEN by CHARISMATIC)
3  MO DIVA Feb22 Jan16 Nov29 Mar21 Feb09 (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 125 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MO TOM out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
4  REMEMBERIN RONALD Feb19 Jan10 Dec01 Aug05 Jul20 (robinsjr aaron)FLORIAN JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
5  LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN Mar03 Jan28 Jan10 Oct16 Sep14 (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 120 12.00    
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
6  DELIGHTFUL HALO Feb06 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Sep14 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
7  DREAMCHASER JEWELS Feb22 Jan25 Jan08 Dec14 Nov16 (castille rickey )FUSILIER C 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of ROMAN JEWELS by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
8  FRISEE Feb22 Jan25       (dunn ray)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of VENDEUSE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
9  KALIL Feb22 Feb06 Jan18     (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 117 4.50 10% 8.70    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HATPIN by SMART STRIKE)
10  AWREE Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 Mar20 Feb03 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of OH BETTE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.