Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(4/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(4/7/8/2)-(2/5/8/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/8/2)-(2/5/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/2)-(2/5/8/1/7)-(5/1/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/5/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/1/7)-(2/5/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/1/7)-(2/5/8/1/7)-(2/5/8/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/8/1/7)-(5/1/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/1/7)-(5/1/7/2)-(2/10/9/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/8/7/2)-(5/1/8/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/7/2)-(2/10/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/2)-(2/10/9/3/5)-(1/2/6/3/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/10/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/3/5)-(2/10/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/3/5)-(2/10/9/3/5)-(2/10/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/9/3/5)-(1/2/6/3/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/10/9/3/5)-(1/2/6/3/9)-(2/9/3/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/2/6/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/3/9)-(1/2/6/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/3/9)-(1/2/6/3/9)-(1/2/6/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/6/3/9)-(2/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/3/9)-(2/9/3/4)-(6/4/10/9/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/3/4)-(6/4/10/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/4/10/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/10/9/5)-(6/4/10/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/10/9/5)-(6/4/10/9/5)-(6/4/10/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISTINCTIVE DEB Jan24 Jan13 Jan01 Dec09 Nov27 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 5.00    
2  BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Jan24 Dec27 Dec09 Nov27 Nov12 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PALACE STAR May01 Apr16 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 (perkins f)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00    
4  OLIVIAN Jan01 Nov21 Sep22 Jun09 May18 (christian)JENSEN P 122 3.00    
5  RESERVOIR Jan01 Nov27 Nov11 Oct04 Aug24 (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
6  BABE'S GOT APPEAL Jan09 Apr23 Apr08 Apr01 Mar12 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00    
7  DON'T TELL HYDEE Jan07 Dec18 Nov21 Nov12 Sep15 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-3   02/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIT SCENE Jan15 Dec26 Apr19 Mar15 Mar02 (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 3.50    
2  WHO IS PAVEL Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 Nov14 Oct04 (bean a)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIANNO Sep19 Aug29 Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
4  COPPER COASTLINE Jan09 Oct16 Sep13 Jan07 Dec10 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 34% 1.90    
5  TRIPLE PASS Jan27 Dec06 Nov03 Sep08 Aug15 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00    
6  MOBLEY Jan07 Dec28 Dec16 Nov29 Sep14 (carlson dou)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
7  IT'S TURBO Jan15 Dec26 Dec05 Sep07 Aug17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
8  DAGGER RANCH Jan14 Dec11 Nov20 Oct13 Jul20 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
 
TUP-4   02/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO ORDINARY TIGER Dec06 Oct27 Sep15     (baze robert)CRUZ M 121 3.50 7% 13.30    
2  TERRY'S SERVICE Jan28 Sep01 Aug22     (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  CREE Jan02 Dec04       (williams )VALENZUELA A 121 12.00    
4  TAPITSWAY Jan09 Sep07       (van horne)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
5  CHINO MIRAGE         (lewis kevin)REYES R 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  THE NOTHING MAKER Jan09         (belvoi)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 12.00    
7  ROCKNTHECLUBHOUSE Jan02 Apr11       (mccartney jack)MAWING A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MY VINO Jan19 Dec04 Nov19 Oct12   (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 121 4.00 12% 7.50    
9  JUST GOTTA SHINE Jan16 Jan01 Sep07     (van debbie)KRIGGER K 121 15.00    
 
TUP-5   02/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING GOODBYE Sep08 Jul28 Jun30 Jun07 Sep03 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 10.00 18% 4.40    
2  I AM FREAKY FAST Jan22 May04 Apr29 Mar21 Feb22 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIALED IN TO WIN Jan22 Dec30 Dec02 May04 Apr17 (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 122 6.00    
4  CAUTION CARDINAL Jan15 May02 Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 (story chad)MAWING A 122 8.00    
5  BEARINGS Jan09 Dec17 Nov20 Sep27 Aug07 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
6  CODE FIVE Jan14 Dec16 Apr14 Mar14 Feb23 (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 4.50    
7  BIG JACK Jan22 Dec30 Dec02 Oct18 Sep27 (martinez a)VERGARA P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  JOHN DUNBAR Jan22 Dec26 Dec05 Oct26 Oct04 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 ★    
9  POWERIZED Jan22 Dec30 Jul28 Jun16 Jun01 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
 
TUP-6   02/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANGERELLA Jan22 Nov17 Nov01 Oct20 Aug31 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
2  R B'S TIGER Jan25 Dec13 Nov29 Oct20 Sep07 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 51% 0.90    
3  HIGH FLYING GRACIE Jan22 Nov12 Nov06 Oct16 Sep22 (silva juan )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  FRESNO CHILE Jan08 Dec28 Nov24 Oct26 Sep14 (peery deb)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
5  SPORTY NUGGET Jan25 Dec28 Aug16 Jul13 Jun21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  INTRUSIVE Jan25 Jan08 Dec09 Nov26 Oct13 (perez hilario)REYES R 124 12.00    
SCR  CALIFORNIA DIVA Jan28 Dec28 Dec09 Nov29 Nov12 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
8  LOOKOUT PASS Jan21 Dec28 Dec18 Nov01 Oct05 (lavanway dayson)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
9  SENSIBLE LUTE Jan22 Jan08 Dec28 Dec10 Nov29 (hernandez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 5.00 11% 8.30    
10  LEIPZIG Dec09 Nov19 Sep29 Sep17 Sep02 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  IRISH SONG LEADER Jan28 Jan08 Nov30 Nov08 Sep07 (christian b)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
SCR  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Jan28 Jan06 Dec28 Dec10 Nov29 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   02/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MT. ZEROR Jan22 Jan09 Dec27 Dec17 Oct10 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 4.50 53% 0.90    
2  EDDIE'S WAVE Jan16 Jan01 Dec01 Nov09 Oct26 (crowe shell)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
3  ZEN STATE Jan16 Jan01 Dec03 Nov14 Oct06 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LET ME LOVE YOU Jan09 Dec19 Nov09 Oct25 Sep21 (thompson eliana)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
5  BENNY BUCKETS Dec19 Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 Aug31 (tubbs scott)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
6  EARTHLY TIGER Jan16 Dec19 Nov19 Aug31 Aug24 (gibson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
7  WE GOT SWAG Jan16 Dec27 Nov30 Nov14 Oct07 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 124 20.00    
8  ATTAIN Jan15 Dec23 Nov29 Oct13 Sep22 (betts )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
9  CAP GREELEY Jan09 Dec27 Dec03 Nov14 Oct16 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  UNAUDITED Jan01 Dec19 Dec05 Sep15 Aug31 (smith troy)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
SCR  CASSANO Jan02 Nov26 Oct20 Sep21 Aug31 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00    
SCR  JACOB YEN Jan23 Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Sep14 (monteverde)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   02/05/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODEMONSTER Jan09 Oct06 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 10.00    
2  ATHENS MOON Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 Nov17 Oct18 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  WODETON (FR) Jan09 Dec28 Nov12 Sep28 Sep02 (fuentes ruben)MOJICA O 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
4  MEDIMPACT Jan22 Dec23 Apr25 Apr08 Mar20 (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EL JOY Jan09 Dec27 Dec08 Oct13 Aug10 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 122 5.00    
SCR  NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Jan15 Dec30 Nov22 Oct26 Aug17 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
7  CIBERTRUCK Dec30 Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 Nov12 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
8  INCH Jan23 Jan01 Nov10 Oct04 Jan05 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 5.00    
9  FLEETRIDGE Jan15 Dec23 Dec10 Jan12 Dec09 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-9   02/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL HALO Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 Aug25 Aug04 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
2  RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Jan13 Nov30 Nov20 Nov12 Sep15 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
3  DUPLICATION Jan03 Dec15 Sep02 Aug09 Jul28 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
4  LIL MIRACLE MAN Jan13 Dec31 Nov30 Nov12 Sep13 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
5  GO LAKER GO Jan21 Dec26 Nov25 Nov12 Oct09 (barraza rafael )CORBETT W 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHIP IT RED Jan13 Dec27 Dec17 Nov30 Jun30 (lund v)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
7  KO SAMUI (IRE) Jan15 Jan02 Nov11 Oct12 Sep15 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00    
8  BRANNIGAN Jan23 Dec17 Nov30 Nov15 Oct26 (lavanway dayson)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
9  STORMIN HONGKONG Jan25 Dec27 Dec10 Nov20 Nov12 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  ELUSIVE LOVE Jan08 Dec19 Nov20 Apr30 Apr22 (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.