Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/5)-(3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/5)-(3/6/9)-(1/10/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/9)-(3/2/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9)-(3/2/7/6/9)-(3/2/7/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/9)-(1/10/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9)-(1/10/8/7)-(7/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/10/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/8/7)-(1/10/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/8/7)-(1/10/8/4/7)-(1/10/8/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/8/7)-(7/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/8/7)-(7/3/9)-(10/6/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/9)-(7/8/3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/9)-(7/8/3/6/9)-(7/8/3/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/9)-(10/6/2/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/9)-(10/6/2/1/3)-(7/4/9/12/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-6   WIN (10/6/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/2/1/3)-(10/6/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/2/1/3)-(10/6/2/1/3)-(10/6/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/2/1/3)-(7/4/9/12/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/6/2/1/3)-(7/4/9/12/3)-(9/11/8/2/7) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (7/4/9/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/12/3)-(7/4/9/12/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/12/3)-(7/4/9/12/3)-(7/4/9/12/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/9/12/3)-(9/11/8/2/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/11/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/8/2/7)-(9/11/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/8/2/7)-(9/11/8/2/7)-(9/11/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Jan06 Apr27 Apr06 Feb24 Jan19 (lund valorie)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
2  PLANE TALK Dec16 Nov19 Sep26 Aug11 Aug01 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00    
3  ARMA D'ORO Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 Aug31 (brown jim)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
4  LAWS OF MAN Dec30 Dec05 Nov18 Sep26 Aug11 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  THIEF IN THE NIGHT Sep06 Sep02 Aug17 Jul20 Apr30 (scott jr)GARCIA F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRAYER OF JABEZ Jan06 Dec16 Apr23 Mar14 Feb20 (kereluk ed)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.50    
7  PRISONER Dec11 Nov19 Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
TUP-3   01/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASTURE BEDTIME Dec08         (tamayo isi)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00    
2  AINTAFRAIDTODREAM Jan06 Dec18 Oct19     (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 5.00 ★    
3  LULA BELLA Dec18 Nov25 May26     (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 78% 0.30    
4  SPICY ROSSO Dec13 Nov08 Oct20 Sep14 Aug09 (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.00    
5  HARBOR STRIKE Dec15         (tamayo is)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
6  GORMLEY'S KITTEN         (freeman scott )REYES R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  KREWE D'ETAT Jul27         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 ★    
8  STANFORD HOLIDAY Dec18 Nov17 Oct13 Aug25   (simpson)BRAVO MISAEL 121 12.00    
9  STAY N LOV Dec04 Nov13       (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ON TIME TAM Jan06 Dec15 Oct13 Sep15 Aug08 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKEN WING May02 Apr02 Mar12     (story chad)MAWING A 124 6.00 50% 1.00    
2  RACER REX Nov29 Oct02 Oct22 Sep16 Apr01 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.00    
3  C'MON LETS SWITCH Sep22 Aug16 Jul20 Dec17 Dec10 (lucas )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 20.00    
4  ARIUS Dec20 Nov04 Oct03 Oct21 Sep06 (rosales jorge)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 ★    
5  BRAINIAC Jun13 May18       (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
6  SUNSET STORM Dec14 Nov30 Oct04 Sep21 Mar17 (brinker)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
7  MO MAMBO Dec31 Dec12 Jun29 May19 May04 (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  TEMPTING PROSPECT Oct19 Sep22 Aug02 Jun16   (peery deb)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PANDEMIO Jan07 May18       (ortega monic)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
10  VINNIEBOB Dec31 Dec12 May04 Apr18 Mar27 (story chad)CRUZ M 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
11  MARVELOUS MARK Jan02 Dec16 Apr18 Apr04 Mar28 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
 
TUP-5   01/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM BOMBADIL Jan29 Dec31 Dec08 Nov18 Oct09 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
2  INCH Jan01 Nov10 Oct04 Jan05 Nov26 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 6.00    
3  LOBDELL LAKE Dec30 May02 Apr02     (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  STOP AND A TRES Jan08 Dec10 Nov25 Oct19 Sep08 (anderson gonzal)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
5  JOE DON LOONEY Jan01 Dec08 Nov08 Oct12 Sep21 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 2.00    
6  LANSDOWNE (GB) Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Oct19 Sep22 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 ★    
7  CHUCKANUT BAY Dec23 Nov14 Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 65% 0.50    
8  PIRATE RED Dec30 Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 ★    
9  SAN ANDRES Jan15 Dec17 Nov27 Oct18 Sep28 (perkinson c)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXON TUFF Jan01 Dec10 Nov27 Nov11 Jul21 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUES RAPPER Dec30 Dec12 Nov27 Nov18 Nov11 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 5% 17.60    
3  HOLLYWOOD HERO Jan01 Dec23 Nov27 Nov17 Nov03 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOLDATNA Jan07 Dec30 Dec10 Nov27 Nov18 (baze robert)MAWING A 122 8.00    
5  MUAY THAI (IRE) Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 Oct06 Sep29 (whitehous)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
6  HARBOR THUNDER Jan07 Dec30 Dec12 Dec03 Nov14 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 7% 13.70    
7  DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ Jan01 Dec10 Nov23 Nov06 Oct17 (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
8  WINSITWELL Jan01 Dec23 Nov29 Oct11 Sep21 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
9  REIGN OVER ME Jan01 Nov27 Nov11 Oct25 Sep29 (torres-)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
10  LEVON Jan15 Dec23 Nov21 Oct18 Sep13 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
11  ROSENQUIST Dec10 Sep25 Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
SCR  QUEBECK (ARG) Jan09 Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 Oct01 (silva juan )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/23/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Nov14 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 (ortega jesus)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
2  JACOB YEN Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Sep14 Sep06 (monteverde)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 5.00    
3  FAST AS FAST CAN B Nov30 Apr30 Apr15 Feb13 Jan31 (her)VALENZUELA RAUL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DRUM AND DRUMMER Nov19 Nov12 Oct16 Sep11 Sep05 (silva juan )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
5  PAKAS SECRET Dec27 Nov26 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 (nunnally jennifer)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
6  ASPHALT ANDY Dec07 Nov23 Oct20 Sep01 Jul20 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
7  POWER TRIP Dec27 Oct26 Sep15 Aug11 Jul07 (ortega joe)MAWING A 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
8  SCOPELLO Dec27 Nov30 Apr15 Mar13 Feb20 (soto antonio)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
9  SET POINT (IRE) Jan08 Dec16 Nov02 Oct19 May02 (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
10  STAYIN' OUT LATE Oct27 Oct11 Sep22 Sep01 Aug17 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
11  THUSLY INSPIRED Dec27 Nov14 Oct18 Oct06 Sep07 (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 20.00    
12  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Nov19 Oct14 Oct07 Sep23 Sep16 (christian)JENSEN P 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRANNIGAN Dec17 Nov30 Nov15 Oct26 Oct18 (lavanway dayson)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
2  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Dec13 Sep21 Aug16 Jul06 Apr29 (lucas )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 15.00 5% 17.90    
3  XTREME MAYHEM Jan01 Dec04 Apr30 Apr17 Mar06 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
SCR  RACE HOME Oct19 Oct06 Apr17 Mar18 Oct21 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  SQUARE DEAL Apr13 Mar14 Mar01 Jan28 Dec29 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00    
6  SOL DEL SUR Dec17 Nov19 Oct14 Sep23 Sep09 (homer jason)MONTALVO C 124 20.00    
7  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Dec30 Oct27 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 (martinez )IRONEYES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LET'S REJOYCE Dec30 Oct25 Sep26 Aug03 Mar05 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 6% 15.60    
9  HOWBEIT Dec26 Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 Sep08 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
10  NATION OF FAITH Dec30 Dec03 Nov13 Sep13 Sep07 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 124 8.00    
11  OVERLY FAST Dec04 Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
12  BUFFETT Dec16 Sep25 Sep01 Jul28 Apr24 (domingu)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.