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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Zia Park
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ZIA-1			EXA	(2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4)						9	$1.00	$9.00	2-1		$12.70			$3.70				41%
			TRI	(2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)						18	$0.50	$9.00	2-1-4		$65.30			$56.30				626%
			SFT	(2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)						18	$0.10	$1.80	2-1-4-3		$36.93			$35.13				1952%
ZIA-8			WIN	(4/10/7/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	4		$11.80			$3.80				48%
			EXA	(4/10/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)						16	$1.00	$16.00	4-10		$28.30			$12.30				77%
			TRI	(4/10/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)						48	$0.50	$24.00	4-10-6		$89.10			$65.10				271%
			SFT	(4/10/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)						96	$0.10	$9.60	4-10-6-5		$90.27			$80.67				840%
ZIA-10			WIN	(2/11/4/7/3)						5	$2.00	$10.00	2		$12.20			$2.20				22%
			EXA	(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)						20	$1.00	$20.00	2-11		$29.80			$9.80				49%
			TRI	(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)						60	$0.50	$30.00	2-11-7		$142.05			$112.05				374%
			SFT	(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)						120	$0.10	$12.00	2-11-7-3		$108.13			$96.13				801%
			PK4	(7/5/10/2)-(4/10/7/6)-(1/8/10/11/5)-(2/11/4/7/3)						400	$0.50	$200	ALL-4-1/7-2		$270.80			$70.80				35%

Simulator Race results


ZIA-1			12/16/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($45K)			35		ALL		PT- 2:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	BERTANI									(fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121						1.80		63%		0.60		1.90	W
		(by VINO ROSSO out of WILD N READY by MORE THAN READY)
1	APURO									(crawford clin)JUAREZ J 121						5.00		12%		7.10		6.90	P
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of LUCKY FOLIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4	GONZAGA									(wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 123						10.00		5%		19.00		19.70	S
		(by HARBOR THE GOLD out of ONEKNIGHTLEDO by SLEWDLEDO)
3	ONEFORTHEDITCH									(green greg)ROSENDO J 121						6.00		★				6.40
		(by TALE OF VERVE out of INTERNAL BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
6	COMPELLING UNCLE									(gonzalez andr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123						4.50						13.90
		(by UNCLE MO out of DREAMS TO REALITY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
8	PEVS DISTANT DRUM									(barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 121						15.00						53.20
		(by MAIMONIDES out of FLYING DRUM by FORESTRY)
5	ALWAYS FIRING									(bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123						20.00						15.30
		(by FIRING LINE out of ALWAYS TWINING by TWINING)
7	BIJOU BEAR									(esqu)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121						3.50						1.20
		(by BLACK BEAR out of DISTRACTION by WARRIOR'S REWARD)

ZIA-2			12/16/2024		5490ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($26K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	IT'S SAUL RIGHT									(armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121						6.00		35%		1.80		1.50	W
5	NANG SINGHA									(hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121						1.20		43%		1.30		1.70	P
6	WINNING AT EASE									(valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121						20.00						2.40
1	MISS LUCKY LADY									(singh johnny)MEDELLIN A 121						10.00						12.90
2	BASIC									(quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121						8.00		5%		19.00		11.00
3	ALLERGIC TO LOGIC									(gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 121						15.00						23.70
SCR	BOSTON PRINCESS									(gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121						1.80

ZIA-3			12/16/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($26.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	HAM SANDWICH									(cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119						2.50		38%		1.60		1.00	W
1	AZTEC SUN									(marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121						5.00		35%		1.90		4.70	P
5	STELLA BOY									(baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123						6.00						8.20
8	BAJA BOOGIE									(cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121						10.00		5%		19.00		12.00
4	LOVESUNFAIR									(quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121						8.00						43.70
9	TIME TRAVELIN									(armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121						4.50						2.60
7	COMFORT J BYRD									(zamora chris)VALDEZ S 119						6.00		★				14.00
10	MARK THE DATE									(chavez arturo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118						12.00		5%		19.00		93.00
2	COPPER STATE									(arch)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119						15.00						######
3	SMOKE STACK									(martinez a)CARRENO J 121						50.00						######

ZIA-4			12/16/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($55K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	TIBURON									(cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123						6.00		7%		12.60		1.80	W
9	BATTLE STRIKE									(cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121						3.00		26%		2.80		1.80	P
1	PROJECTION									(vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123						5.00						12.40
6	HERE COMES BRAYLON									(fincher w)ROSENDO J 119						4.50		27%		2.70		7.10
3	NEXT REVOLT									(cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 123						2.50		18%		4.70		3.80
8	KARA									(valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116						15.00						20.30
2	ZIA ZAPPER									(marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121						15.00						23.50
4	MAXIMUM BULL									(cross gary)HEBERT J 121						12.00		5%		19.00		27.50
7	PINEY BLUFF									(martinez a)CARRENO J 121						30.00						######

ZIA-5			12/16/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($45K)			35		M/F		PT- 3:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	PRINCESSPRANCEALOT									(buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121						4.00						6.10
		(by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SUNDAY EVE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
10	MYFAVORITEHOLIDAY									(barton j)VALDEZ S 121						2.00		35%		1.90		1.30	P
		(by UNCLE MO out of HOLIDAY DISGUISE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7	FIRE IN WINTER									(rust terri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121						15.00		6%		16.90		14.20	S
		(by DADS CAPS out of WAR MOCCASIN by WAR CHANT)
2	CHANNEL LAUNCH									(fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123						5.00		19%		4.30		8.70
		(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SELENITE by COSMONAUT)
4	GIRVINITALLSHESGOT									(bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121						12.00		9%		10.20		8.70
		(by GIRVIN out of MS HALLIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5	DONT BE SHY SAY HI									(marr jo)FUENTES T 121						15.00		6%		16.90		7.40
		(by SMILING TIGER out of KITTENS TRIP by KITTEN'S JOY)
6	THREAT ANALYSIS									(garrett j)HEBERT J 121						8.00						3.40
		(by JIMMY CREED out of CULT CLASSIC by QUALITY ROAD)
1	MOON ON MALIBU									(van rober)CARRENO J 121						30.00						58.70
		(by MALIBU MOON out of HIGH ON THE HILL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
9	GENTLE CONFLICT									(whee)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121						8.00						32.60
		(by SEA CANDY RIDE out of GABBY DANCER by BERTRANDO)
SCR	OCEAN OF LIES									(constant )MEDINA ANGEL 123						8.00
		(by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of FALSE STATEMENT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)

ZIA-6			12/16/2024		5490ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($77K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	I THINK I'M HERE									(silva lillian)JUAREZ J 123						2.50						0.90
3	CORRINA CORRINA									(cross gary)HEBERT J 120						0.80		47%		1.10		1.00	P
7	JET SET WARRIOR									(gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123						30.00						13.00
6	BODIE GOT GOLD									(gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123						6.00		26%		2.80		8.90
1	HENRY ON THE RUN									(gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123						15.00		5%		19.00		61.70
2	ANCIENT LAND									(b)DE CRUZ 123						12.00						60.10
4	VALENTINO WHO									(gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123						30.00						######
5	SPINNING BLACK									(chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 123						10.00		5%		19.00		33.00

ZIA-7			12/16/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($7.5K)					Purse ($20K)			35		ALL		PT- 4:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	VOLS									(hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121						3.00		41%		1.40		1.50	W
5	TRUCKIN									(armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123						4.00		27%		2.60		3.90	P
4	JOHN JOHN									(lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121						6.00						9.40
3	HARDY BOY									(marr jo)FUENTES T 123						8.00		★				20.50
6	L SQUARED									(cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123						5.00						3.30
10	MIDEVIL MAYHEM									(rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121						15.00		5%		19.00		20.40
2	ULTIMATE DECISION									(martinez e)CARRENO J 123						12.00		5%		19.00		79.00
1	NINE LIVES ELMER									(buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123						30.00						89.80
11	JETFIRE									(valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121						8.00						3.80
SCR	MOE ANALYZED									(bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123						15.00
SCR	RIG IT RIGHT									(gonzalez car)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123						20.00

ZIA-8			12/16/2024		5490ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($26K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	PRAY FOR ME RAY									(truj)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123						3.00		50%		1.00		4.90	W
10	GODDARD									(quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121						4.50		20%		4.10		5.10	P
6	GLENDORA MINECAT									(armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121						20.00		5%		19.00		13.70	S
5	GO SPEED RACER GO									(cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121						4.00		★				5.50
7	TRUST MANDO									(armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121						12.00		5%		19.00		14.00
1	MULBERRY STREET									(valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123						3.50						1.00
3	GORDY'S RULES									(barrios b)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121						30.00						69.00
8	BLUEGRASS RYDER									(valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123						8.00						10.80
9	BUFFETT									(dominguez h)CARRENO J 121						20.00						24.60
SCR	NORTHERN QUEST (FR)									(armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121						10.00

ZIA-9			12/16/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SHEZA HAILSTORM									(chavez larry)JUAREZ J 121						2.00		59%		0.70		1.20	W
9	ZAPPIN									(chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 121						6.00						33.50
6	MARKED BY MISCHIEF									(gomez ste)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 119						30.00						64.30
8	NO BULL DARWIN									(valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121						5.00		10%		8.60		4.20
11	JUST KEEP LAUGHIN									(b)DE CRUZ 119						6.00		5%		19.00		2.60
5	CHAMA STORM									(gutierrez lee)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121						12.00		5%		19.00		31.70
4	POW WOW									(olguin ever)CASTRO M 121						20.00						59.10
2	PANDORA WHO									(fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123						10.00						28.30
10	JASMINE BABY									(gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121						8.00		5%		18.80		15.00
3	SWAYING LASSIE									(valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121						10.00						5.80
SCR	CANDY TRACK									(eliott ro)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121						20.00

ZIA-10			12/16/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($35K)					Purse ($71.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	MARKING CANYON									(fincher leroy)VALDEZ S 121						2.50		30%		2.40		5.10	W
11	HIGHER ED									(fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119						3.00		19%		4.20		2.70	P
7	STILL IN THE TRAP									(fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121						12.00		10%		8.80		7.50	S
3	ANTONIOS MARK									(barton dallas)JUAREZ J 123						12.00		7%		13.90		4.50
6	DELBERT TOO									(quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121						8.00						5.70
4	THUNDER DOME									(barton dalla)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123						8.00		12%		7.10		8.90
1	RISKY REVENGE									(gonzales j)ROSENDO J 121						20.00						43.50
9	SIDEWINDER SLICK									(buechler j)MEDELLIN A 119						6.00						3.50
10	THRUTHESTORM									(gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121						30.00						73.20
SCR	MCTHANKS									(gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121						20.00
SCR	ONE MARK									(fincher w)HEBERT J 121						10.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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