Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Zia Park
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-1 $12.70 $3.70 41%
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-1-4 $65.30 $56.30 626%
    SFT (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 18 $0.10 $1.80  2-1-4-3 $36.93 $35.13 1952%
ZIA-8   WIN (4/10/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (4/10/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-10 $28.30 $12.30 77%
    TRI (4/10/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-10-6 $89.10 $65.10 271%
    SFT (4/10/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6) 96 $0.10 $9.60  4-10-6-5 $90.27 $80.67 840%
ZIA-10   WIN (2/11/4/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $12.20 $2.20 22%
    EXA (2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-11 $29.80 $9.80 49%
    TRI (2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-11-7 $142.05 $112.05 374%
    SFT (2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-11-7-3 $108.13 $96.13 801%
    PK4 (7/5/10/2)-(4/10/7/6)-(1/8/10/11/5)-(2/11/4/7/3) 400 $0.50 $200  ALL-4-1/7-2 $270.80 $70.80 35%
Simulator Race results
 
ZIA-1   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:222 :452       1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BERTANI 2 4 31 41½   1½ 14½ (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80 63% 0.60 1.90 W
  (by VINO ROSSO out of WILD N READY by MORE THAN READY)
1  APURO 1 3 51¼ 3½   41½ 24½ (crawford clin)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 12% 7.10 6.90 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LUCKY FOLIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  GONZAGA 4 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 35 (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 19.70 S
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of ONEKNIGHTLEDO by SLEWDLEDO)
3  ONEFORTHEDITCH 3 7 61½ 84½   63 46 (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 ★ 6.40  
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of INTERNAL BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
6  COMPELLING UNCLE 6 6 83½ 74   74 57 (gonzalez andr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50 13.90  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMS TO REALITY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
8  PEVS DISTANT DRUM 8 8 72 63   52½ 67¼ (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 121 15.00 53.20  
  (by MAIMONIDES out of FLYING DRUM by FORESTRY)
5  ALWAYS FIRING 5 1 2nk 2nk   31 78¾ (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 20.00 15.30  
  (by FIRING LINE out of ALWAYS TWINING by TWINING)
7  BIJOU BEAR 7 5 41¼ 52½   84½ 89½ (esqu)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.50 1.20  
  (by BLACK BEAR out of DISTRACTION by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
ZIA-2   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:114     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IT'S SAUL RIGHT 4 1 1nk 2½ 2nk 1½ 11¾ (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 35% 1.80 1.50 W
5  NANG SINGHA 5 4 31 41 4¼ 31 21¾ (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.20 43% 1.30 1.70 P
6  WINNING AT EASE 6 3 2nk 1½ 1nk 2½ 32¼ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00 2.40  
1  MISS LUCKY LADY 1 5 63½ 63¾ 51¼ 52½ 45¾ (singh johnny)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00 12.90  
2  BASIC 2 6 41½ 51¼ 3.2 41½ 56¼ (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
3  ALLERGIC TO LOGIC 3 2 52 3½ 61¾ 65½ 616 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 23.70  
SCR  BOSTON PRINCESS               (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80    
 
ZIA-3   12/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HAM SANDWICH 6 2 21 2nk   32 1¼ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119 2.50 38% 1.60 1.00 W
1  AZTEC SUN 1 6 42½ 3½   1½ 2¼ (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 35% 1.90 4.70 P
5  STELLA BOY 5 1 11 1nk   2½ 31¼ (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 6.00 8.20  
8  BAJA BOOGIE 8 8 74 73½   55 46½ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
4  LOVESUNFAIR 4 3 53 51½   44 57 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00 43.70  
9  TIME TRAVELIN 9 5 32 41   65½ 68¼ (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50 2.60  
7  COMFORT J BYRD 7 7 84½ 63   76 710½ (zamora chris)VALDEZ S 119 6.00 ★ 14.00  
10  MARK THE DATE 10 4 64 86   89 811¾ (chavez arturo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 93.00  
2  COPPER STATE 2 10 107½ 109   99½ 912¼ (arch)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 15.00 ######  
3  SMOKE STACK 3 9 96 96½   1012 1019¼ (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 50.00 ######  
 
ZIA-4   12/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIBURON 5 8 910½ 85 93¾ 51¾ 1¼ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00 7% 12.60 1.80 W
9  BATTLE STRIKE 9 7 55½ 31½ 2½ 2nk 2¼ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 26% 2.80 1.80 P
1  PROJECTION 1 5 78 74 51½ 3½ 31¼ (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 5.00 12.40  
6  HERE COMES BRAYLON 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 41¼ (fincher w)ROSENDO J 119 4.50 27% 2.70 7.10  
3  NEXT REVOLT 3 6 45 42 41 4¾ 52¾ (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50 18% 4.70 3.80  
8  KARA 8 9 810 95½ 83¼ 63¾ 67¼ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116 15.00 20.30  
2  ZIA ZAPPER 2 4 67 63½ 72¼ 74¾ 79¼ (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 23.50  
4  MAXIMUM BULL 4 3 34½ 52 3½ 84¾ 810¼ (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
7  PINEY BLUFF 7 2 21 2½ 61¾ 914¾ 925¼ (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 30.00 ######  
 
ZIA-5   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:232 :454       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRINCESSPRANCEALOT 3 4 1½ 2nk   11½ 14 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 4.00 6.10  
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SUNDAY EVE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
10  MYFAVORITEHOLIDAY 9 2 2½ 3½   21½ 24 (barton j)VALDEZ S 121 2.00 35% 1.90 1.30 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of HOLIDAY DISGUISE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  FIRE IN WINTER 7 6 41½ 1nk   32 34½ (rust terri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 6% 16.90 14.20 S
  (by DADS CAPS out of WAR MOCCASIN by WAR CHANT)
2  CHANNEL LAUNCH 2 5 63½ 51½   54 46 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 5.00 19% 4.30 8.70  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SELENITE by COSMONAUT)
4  GIRVINITALLSHESGOT 4 1 3½ 41   44 56 (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 12.00 9% 10.20 8.70  
  (by GIRVIN out of MS HALLIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  DONT BE SHY SAY HI 5 8 85½ 73½   65 67½ (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 15.00 6% 16.90 7.40  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of KITTENS TRIP by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  THREAT ANALYSIS 6 7 52½ 62   76 714¼ (garrett j)HEBERT J 121 8.00 3.40  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of CULT CLASSIC by QUALITY ROAD)
1  MOON ON MALIBU 1 9 99½ 99   812 822¼ (van rober)CARRENO J 121 30.00 58.70  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HIGH ON THE HILL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
9  GENTLE CONFLICT 8 3 74 85   914½ 930¾ (whee)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 32.60  
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of GABBY DANCER by BERTRANDO)
SCR  OCEAN OF LIES               (constant )MEDINA ANGEL 123 8.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of FALSE STATEMENT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
ZIA-6   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:104     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  I THINK I'M HERE 8 4 32 3½ 2nk 11 11¼ (silva lillian)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 0.90  
3  CORRINA CORRINA 3 8 64½ 54 41½ 21 21¼ (cross gary)HEBERT J 120 0.80 47% 1.10 1.00 P
7  JET SET WARRIOR 7 1 21 2nk 1nk 32 39 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 30.00 13.00  
6  BODIE GOT GOLD 6 3 42½ 43½ 53 54½ 411 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00 26% 2.80 8.90  
1  HENRY ON THE RUN 1 5 54 65½ 75¼ 76 511½ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 61.70  
2  ANCIENT LAND 2 2 11 1nk 3½ 43 612 (b)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 60.10  
4  VALENTINO WHO 4 7 77 77 65 65½ 713¼ (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 30.00 ######  
5  SPINNING BLACK 5 6 88 88½ 810¼ 826 843¾ (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 123 10.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
 
ZIA-7   12/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:12     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VOLS 7 3 51¾ 21½   12½ 1¼ (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00 41% 1.40 1.50 W
5  TRUCKIN 5 6 41½ 42½   22½ 2¼ (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 4.00 27% 2.60 3.90 P
4  JOHN JOHN 4 9 96¾ 85¼   54½ 32 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 6.00 9.40  
3  HARDY BOY 3 5 62¼ 63¼   44 43½ (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 8.00 ★ 20.50  
6  L SQUARED 6 8 83¼ 73¾   65½ 57¼ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 3.30  
10  MIDEVIL MAYHEM 8 2 31½ 52¾   76 69 (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
2  ULTIMATE DECISION 2 1 11 11½   33½ 79¾ (martinez e)CARRENO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 79.00  
1  NINE LIVES ELMER 1 4 21 31½   87½ 815¾ (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 30.00 89.80  
11  JETFIRE 9 7 72¾ 96¼   915½ 932½ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 3.80  
SCR  MOE ANALYZED               (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00    
SCR  RIG IT RIGHT               (gonzalez car)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:104     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRAY FOR ME RAY 3 2 34 34 21 1½ 1¾ (truj)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 50% 1.00 4.90 W
10  GODDARD 9 7 88¾ 66½ 43 31½ 2¾ (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121 4.50 20% 4.10 5.10 P
6  GLENDORA MINECAT 5 3 14 13 11 2½ 31½ (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.70 S
5  GO SPEED RACER GO 4 4 24 23 31½ 42½ 45¾ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 ★ 5.50  
7  TRUST MANDO 6 6 45 44½ 53½ 54½ 59¾ (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
1  MULBERRY STREET 1 5 56 56 64½ 65½ 613¾ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.50 1.00  
3  GORDY'S RULES 2 1 76¼ 88 88 79½ 717½ (barrios b)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 30.00 69.00  
8  BLUEGRASS RYDER 7 8 66¼ 77 77 810½ 819 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00 10.80  
9  BUFFETT 8 9 912¾ 912 99½ 913 924 (dominguez h)CARRENO J 121 20.00 24.60  
SCR  NORTHERN QUEST (FR)               (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:221 :444       1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA HAILSTORM 1 1 12 15   18 111¾ (chavez larry)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 59% 0.70 1.20 W
9  ZAPPIN 8 6 86 88¾   410 211¾ (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 121 6.00 33.50  
6  MARKED BY MISCHIEF 6 2 32½ 25   28 312¼ (gomez ste)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 119 30.00 64.30  
8  NO BULL DARWIN 7 5 43 45¼   38½ 413½ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00 10% 8.60 4.20  
11  JUST KEEP LAUGHIN 10 9 98 910¼   811½ 513¾ (b)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
5  CHAMA STORM 5 8 75 56¾   510 614¼ (gutierrez lee)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 31.70  
4  POW WOW 4 3 54 67¾   610½ 715½ (olguin ever)CASTRO M 121 20.00 59.10  
2  PANDORA WHO 2 7 65 78¼   711 817 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 28.30  
10  JASMINE BABY 9 10 109½ 1010¾   912½ 917¼ (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 8.00 5% 18.80 15.00  
3  SWAYING LASSIE 3 4 22 35   1013½ 1020¾ (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00 5.80  
SCR  CANDY TRACK               (eliott ro)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($71.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:241 :453 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MARKING CANYON 2 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (fincher leroy)VALDEZ S 121 2.50 30% 2.40 5.10 W
11  HIGHER ED 9 1 41 2nk   2½ 2¾ (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 19% 4.20 2.70 P
7  STILL IN THE TRAP 6 9 74¾ 64½   42 32¼ (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 10% 8.80 7.50 S
3  ANTONIOS MARK 3 4 2½ 3½   31½ 42¾ (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 123 12.00 7% 13.90 4.50  
6  DELBERT TOO 5 5 85¾ 86   53 55 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 5.70  
4  THUNDER DOME 4 7 64½ 75½   63½ 65½ (barton dalla)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 12% 7.10 8.90  
1  RISKY REVENGE 1 6 53 54   76 712½ (gonzales j)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 43.50  
9  SIDEWINDER SLICK 7 2 31 43½   86½ 813½ (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 119 6.00 3.50  
10  THRUTHESTORM 8 8 97¼ 98   98½ 915¼ (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 30.00 73.20  
SCR  MCTHANKS               (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
SCR  ONE MARK               (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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