Handicappers' Race Results

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Zia Park
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ZIA-1   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
ZIA-2   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
ZIA-3   Win (6/1/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
ZIA-4   Win (6/9/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
ZIA-5   Win (10/2/4/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $14.20  
ZIA-6   Win (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $3.80  
ZIA-7   Win (7/5/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
ZIA-8   Win (4/10/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
ZIA-9   Win (1/8/10/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
ZIA-10   Win (2/11/4/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 2.20

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:222 :452       1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERTANI 2 4 31 4   1½ 1 (fincher todd )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80 63% 0.60 1.90 W
APURO 1 3 5 3½   4 2 (crawford clinto)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 12% 7.10 6.90 P
GONZAGA 4 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 35 (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 19.70 S
ONEFORTHEDITCH 3 7 6 8   63 46 (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 6.40  
COMPELLING UNCLE 6 6 8 74   74 57 (gonzalez andres)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50 13.90  
PEVS DISTANT DRUM 8 8 72 63   5 6 (barrios bernadette)VALDEZ S 121 15.00 53.20  
ALWAYS FIRING 5 1 2nk 2nk   31 7 (bolen bradl)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 20.00 15.30  
BIJOU BEAR 7 5 4 5   8 8 (esqued)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.50 1.20  
 
ZIA-2   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:114     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S SAUL RIGHT 4 1 1nk 2½ 2nk 1½ 1 (armstrong sherry)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 35% 1.80 1.50 W
NANG SINGHA 5 4 31 41 4¼ 31 2 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.20 43% 1.30 1.70 P
WINNING AT EASE 6 3 2nk 1½ 1nk 2½ 3 (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00 2.40  
MISS LUCKY LADY 1 5 6 6 5 5 4 (singh johnny)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00 12.90  
BASIC 2 6 4 5 3.2 4 5 (quiroz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC 3 2 52 3½ 6 6 616 (gonzalez r)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 23.70  
SCR  BOSTON PRINCESS               (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80    
 
ZIA-3   12/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAM SANDWICH 6 2 21 2nk   32 1¼ (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 119 2.50 38% 1.60 1.00 W
AZTEC SUN 1 6 4 3½   1½ 2¼ (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 35% 1.90 4.70 P
STELLA BOY 5 1 11 1nk   2½ 3 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 6.00 8.20  
BAJA BOOGIE 8 8 74 7   55 4 (cappellucci di)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
LOVESUNFAIR 4 3 53 5   44 57 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00 43.70  
TIME TRAVELIN 9 5 32 41   6 6 (armstrong s)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50 2.60  
COMFORT J BYRD 7 7 8 63   76 710½ (zamora chris)VALDEZ S 119 6.00 14.00  
10  MARK THE DATE 10 4 64 86   89 811¾ (chavez arturo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 93.00  
COPPER STATE 2 10 10 109   9 912¼ (archul)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 15.00 ######  
SMOKE STACK 3 9 96 9   1012 1019¼ (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 50.00 ######  
 
ZIA-4   12/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIBURON 5 8 910½ 85 9 5 1¼ (cappellucci di)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00 7% 12.60 1.80 W
BATTLE STRIKE 9 7 5 3 2½ 2nk 2¼ (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 26% 2.80 1.80 P
PROJECTION 1 5 78 74 5 3½ 3 (valdez)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 5.00 12.40  
HERE COMES BRAYLON 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 4 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 119 4.50 27% 2.70 7.10  
NEXT REVOLT 3 6 45 42 41 4¾ 5 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50 18% 4.70 3.80  
KARA 8 9 810 9 8 6 6 (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116 15.00 20.30  
ZIA ZAPPER 2 4 67 6 7 7 7 (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 23.50  
MAXIMUM BULL 4 3 3 52 3½ 8 810¼ (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
PINEY BLUFF 7 2 21 2½ 6 914¾ 925¼ (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 30.00 ######  
 
ZIA-5   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:232 :454       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESSPRANCEALOT 3 4 1½ 2nk   1 14 (buechler j)ROSENDO J 121 4.00 6.10  
10  MYFAVORITEHOLIDAY 9 2 2½ 3½   2 24 (barton j)VALDEZ S 121 2.00 35% 1.90 1.30 P
FIRE IN WINTER 7 6 4 1nk   32 3 (rust terri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 6% 16.90 14.20 S
CHANNEL LAUNCH 2 5 6 5   54 46 (fincher w)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 19% 4.30 8.70  
GIRVINITALLSHESGOT 4 1 3½ 41   44 56 (bolen bradl)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 12.00 9% 10.20 8.70  
DONT BE SHY SAY HI 5 8 8 7   65 6 (marr joel)FUENTES T 121 15.00 6% 16.90 7.40  
THREAT ANALYSIS 6 7 5 62   76 714¼ (garrett j)HEBERT J 121 8.00 3.40  
MOON ON MALIBU 1 9 9 99   812 822¼ (van robert)CARRENO J 121 30.00 58.70  
GENTLE CONFLICT 8 3 74 85   914½ 930¾ (wheele)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 32.60  
SCR  OCEAN OF LIES               (constant ro)MEDINA ANGEL 123 8.00    
 
ZIA-6   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:104     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I THINK I'M HERE 8 4 32 3½ 2nk 11 1 (silva n)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 0.90  
CORRINA CORRINA 3 8 6 54 4 21 2 (cross gary)HEBERT J 120 0.80 47% 1.10 1.00 P
JET SET WARRIOR 7 1 21 2nk 1nk 32 39 (gonzalez r)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 30.00 13.00  
BODIE GOT GOLD 6 3 4 4 53 5 411 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00 26% 2.80 8.90  
HENRY ON THE RUN 1 5 54 6 7 76 511½ (gonzalez andr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 61.70  
ANCIENT LAND 2 2 11 1nk 3½ 43 612 (bue)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 60.10  
VALENTINO WHO 4 7 77 77 65 6 713¼ (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 30.00 ######  
SPINNING BLACK 5 6 88 8 810¼ 826 843¾ (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 123 10.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
 
ZIA-7   12/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:12     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLS 7 3 5 2   1 1¼ (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00 41% 1.40 1.50 W
TRUCKIN 5 6 4 4   2 2¼ (armstrong sherry)ROSENDO J 123 4.00 27% 2.60 3.90 P
JOHN JOHN 4 9 9 8   5 32 (lambert t)PURCELL KELSI 121 6.00 9.40  
HARDY BOY 3 5 6 6   44 4 (marr joel)FUENTES T 123 8.00 20.50  
L SQUARED 6 8 8 7   6 5 (cappellucci dic)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 3.30  
10  MIDEVIL MAYHEM 8 2 3 5   76 69 (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
ULTIMATE DECISION 2 1 11 1   3 7 (martinez e)CARRENO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 79.00  
NINE LIVES ELMER 1 4 21 3   8 815¾ (buechl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 30.00 89.80  
11  JETFIRE 9 7 7 9   915½ 932½ (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 3.80  
SCR  MOE ANALYZED               (bolen bradl)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00    
SCR  RIG IT RIGHT               (gonzalez carlo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:104     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAY FOR ME RAY 3 2 34 34 21 1½ 1¾ (trujil)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 50% 1.00 4.90 W
10  GODDARD 9 7 8 6 43 3 2¾ (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121 4.50 20% 4.10 5.10 P
GLENDORA MINECAT 5 3 14 13 11 2½ 3 (armstrong sherry)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.70 S
GO SPEED RACER GO 4 4 24 23 3 4 4 (cappellucci di)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 5.50  
TRUST MANDO 6 6 45 4 5 5 5 (armstrong she)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
MULBERRY STREET 1 5 56 56 6 6 613¾ (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.50 1.00  
GORDY'S RULES 2 1 7 88 88 7 717½ (barrios ber)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 30.00 69.00  
BLUEGRASS RYDER 7 8 6 77 77 810½ 819 (valdez-cabral mart)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00 10.80  
BUFFETT 8 9 912¾ 912 9 913 924 (dominguez her)CARRENO J 121 20.00 24.60  
SCR  NORTHERN QUEST (FR)               (armstrong sherr)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:221 :444       1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA HAILSTORM 1 1 12 15   18 111¾ (chavez larry)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 59% 0.70 1.20 W
ZAPPIN 8 6 86 8   410 211¾ (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 121 6.00 33.50  
MARKED BY MISCHIEF 6 2 3 25   28 312¼ (gomez steve)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 119 30.00 64.30  
NO BULL DARWIN 7 5 43 4   3 413½ (valdez-cabr)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00 10% 8.60 4.20  
11  JUST KEEP LAUGHIN 10 9 98 910¼   811½ 513¾ (bar)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
CHAMA STORM 5 8 75 5   510 614¼ (gutierrez j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 31.70  
POW WOW 4 3 54 6   610½ 715½ (olguin ever)CASTRO M 121 20.00 59.10  
PANDORA WHO 2 7 65 7   711 817 (fincher todd )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 28.30  
10  JASMINE BABY 9 10 10 1010¾   912½ 917¼ (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 8.00 5% 18.80 15.00  
SWAYING LASSIE 3 4 22 35   1013½ 1020¾ (valdez-cabral mart)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00 5.80  
SCR  CANDY TRACK               (eliott roge)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($71.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:241 :453 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKING CANYON 2 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (fincher leroy)VALDEZ S 121 2.50 30% 2.40 5.10 W
11  HIGHER ED 9 1 41 2nk   2½ 2¾ (fincher todd )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 19% 4.20 2.70 P
STILL IN THE TRAP 6 9 7 6   42 3 (fincher w)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 10% 8.80 7.50 S
ANTONIOS MARK 3 4 2½ 3½   3 4 (barton j)JUAREZ J 123 12.00 7% 13.90 4.50  
DELBERT TOO 5 5 8 86   53 55 (quiroz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 5.70  
THUNDER DOME 4 7 6 7   6 6 (barton dallas )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 12% 7.10 8.90  
RISKY REVENGE 1 6 53 54   76 712½ (gonzales j)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 43.50  
SIDEWINDER SLICK 7 2 31 4   8 813½ (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 119 6.00 3.50  
10  THRUTHESTORM 8 8 9 98   9 915¼ (gonzalez ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 30.00 73.20  
SCR  MCTHANKS               (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
SCR  ONE MARK               (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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