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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(6/1/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (6/1/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/10)-(6/1/7/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/10)-(6/1/7/8/10)-(6/1/7/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/10)-(6/9/3/5/4)-(10/2/4/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-4   WIN (6/9/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/5/4)-(6/9/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/5/4)-(6/9/3/5/4)-(6/9/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/5/4)-(10/2/4/5/7)-(3/6/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-5   WIN (10/2/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/4/5/7)-(10/2/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/4/5/7)-(10/2/4/5/7)-(10/2/4/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (10/2/4/5/7)-(3/6/5/1)-(7/5/10/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (7/5/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/2)-(7/5/3/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/2)-(7/5/3/10/2)-(7/5/3/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (4/10/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6)-(4/10/5/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/10/7/6)-(1/8/10/11/5)-(2/11/4/7/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-9   WIN (1/8/10/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/10/11/5)-(1/8/10/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/10/11/5)-(1/8/10/11/5)-(1/8/10/11/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/10/11/5)-(2/11/4/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (2/11/4/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3)-(2/11/4/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APURO Nov26 Nov04 Oct16 May25 Apr21 (crawford clin)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 12% 7.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LUCKY FOLIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  BERTANI Nov26         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80 63% 0.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of WILD N READY by MORE THAN READY)
3  ONEFORTHEDITCH Nov26         (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 ★    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of INTERNAL BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
4  GONZAGA Dec03 Oct07       (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of ONEKNIGHTLEDO by SLEWDLEDO)
5  ALWAYS FIRING Nov26 May04 Apr14     (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 20.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of ALWAYS TWINING by TWINING)
6  COMPELLING UNCLE Dec03 Nov04 Oct02 Jul28 Apr21 (gonzalez andr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMS TO REALITY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
7  BIJOU BEAR Dec04 Nov18 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 (esqu)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.50    
  (by BLACK BEAR out of DISTRACTION by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
8  PEVS DISTANT DRUM Dec03 Nov26 Nov04 Sep18 Sep06 (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 121 15.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of FLYING DRUM by FORESTRY)
 
ZIA-2   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LUCKY LADY Oct06 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Jun15 (singh johnny)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
2  BASIC Dec03 Nov11 Oct27 Sep13 Sep05 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Dec10 Oct20 Oct06 Sep13 Aug04 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
4  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Dec10 Dec02 Oct06 Sep13 Aug04 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 6.00 35% 1.80    
5  NANG SINGHA Nov11 Sep05 Aug15 Jun22 Jun02 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.20 43% 1.30    
6  WINNING AT EASE Oct18 Oct06 Sep11 Aug23 Aug04 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
SCR  BOSTON PRINCESS Nov05 Oct04 Sep08 Aug04 Jul06 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80    
 
ZIA-3   12/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZTEC SUN Jul28 Jun01 Mar08 Feb09 Jan12 (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
2  COPPER STATE Oct23 Sep25 Sep05 Jun22 May12 (arch)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 15.00    
3  SMOKE STACK Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 Aug10 Jun14 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 121 50.00    
4  LOVESUNFAIR Oct02 Sep13 Sep02 Apr21 Apr07 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00    
5  STELLA BOY Dec02 Nov05 Oct16 Mar08 Feb23 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 6.00    
6  HAM SANDWICH Dec02 Nov12 Oct14 Sep30 Aug31 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  COMFORT J BYRD Nov25 Nov19 Nov05 Mar28 Feb15 (zamora chris)VALDEZ S 119 6.00 ★    
8  BAJA BOOGIE Dec10 Nov19 Jun15 Apr27 Apr13 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TIME TRAVELIN Nov04 Oct02 Sep18 Dec08   (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
10  MARK THE DATE Dec04 Nov25 Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 (chavez arturo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROJECTION Dec04 Nov22 Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 5.00    
2  ZIA ZAPPER Nov04 Jun16 Feb22 Jan25 Jan11 (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
3  NEXT REVOLT Nov22 Sep19 Aug16 Jun30 May04 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
4  MAXIMUM BULL Dec03 Nov19 Oct20 Oct09 Sep12 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIBURON Nov30 Sep28 Apr07 Feb23 Jan28 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00 7% 12.60    
6  HERE COMES BRAYLON Nov04 Sep29 Sep08 Aug15 May04 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
7  PINEY BLUFF Dec04 Nov26 Nov12 Sep15 Sep07 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 121 30.00    
8  KARA Nov26 Aug30 Jun28 Jun07 May17 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116 15.00    
9  BATTLE STRIKE Oct24 Sep13 Aug17 Jul03 May27 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
ZIA-5   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON ON MALIBU Nov26         (van rober)CARRENO J 121 30.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HIGH ON THE HILL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  CHANNEL LAUNCH         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SELENITE by COSMONAUT)
3  PRINCESSPRANCEALOT Jan14         (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 4.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SUNDAY EVE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  GIRVINITALLSHESGOT Nov26 Feb23       (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 12.00 9% 10.20    
  (by GIRVIN out of MS HALLIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  DONT BE SHY SAY HI         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 15.00 6% 16.90    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of KITTENS TRIP by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  THREAT ANALYSIS Nov26 Sep28 Aug25     (garrett j)HEBERT J 121 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of CULT CLASSIC by QUALITY ROAD)
7  FIRE IN WINTER         (rust terri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 6% 16.90    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WAR MOCCASIN by WAR CHANT)
SCR  OCEAN OF LIES Sep24 Aug13 Jul23 Apr24 Apr01 (constant )MEDINA ANGEL 123 8.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of FALSE STATEMENT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
9  GENTLE CONFLICT         (whee)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of GABBY DANCER by BERTRANDO)
10  MYFAVORITEHOLIDAY         (barton j)VALDEZ S 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HOLIDAY DISGUISE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
ZIA-6   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY ON THE RUN Nov25 Oct27 Sep14 Jul20 May19 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANCIENT LAND Nov25 Oct27 Aug23 Jul20 Apr07 (b)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
3  CORRINA CORRINA Nov25 Sep22 Sep08 Jun08 May19 (cross gary)HEBERT J 120 0.80 47% 1.10    
4  VALENTINO WHO Dec04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep28 Oct07 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 30.00    
5  SPINNING BLACK Nov25 Oct27 Oct11 Sep14 Aug23 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BODIE GOT GOLD Nov25 Nov04 Oct27 Sep14 Aug23 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
7  JET SET WARRIOR Nov05 Aug23 Jun07 Mar01 Jan26 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 30.00    
8  I THINK I'M HERE Nov25 Oct27 Sep14 Aug23 Oct01 (silva lillian)JUAREZ J 123 2.50    
 
ZIA-7   12/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINE LIVES ELMER Nov18 Nov05 Oct02     (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 30.00    
2  ULTIMATE DECISION Nov18 Nov04 Oct18 Apr15 Mar12 (martinez e)CARRENO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  HARDY BOY Dec03 Nov12 Mar28 Mar08 Feb15 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 8.00 ★    
4  JOHN JOHN Nov18 Nov05 Oct18 Oct02 Jun14 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 6.00    
5  TRUCKIN Dec03 Oct02 Sep18 Sep02 Aug16 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 4.00 27% 2.60    
6  L SQUARED Nov10 Sep21 Aug16 Jun30 Apr07 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 5.00    
7  VOLS Nov05 Oct02 Sep05 Jul28 Jun07 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  MOE ANALYZED Apr14 Mar01       (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00    
SCR  RIG IT RIGHT Dec03 Oct16 Sep22 Sep05 Aug23 (gonzalez car)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
10  MIDEVIL MAYHEM Oct25 Aug03 Jul13     (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  JETFIRE Oct19 Jan13 Nov17     (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULBERRY STREET Sep25 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul14 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.50    
SCR  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Sep05 Jul26 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
3  GORDY'S RULES Oct25 Oct05 Sep25 Sep07 Aug04 (barrios b)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 30.00    
4  PRAY FOR ME RAY Dec10 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Jun16 (truj)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  GO SPEED RACER GO Oct30 Oct04 Sep11 Aug17 Jun30 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 ★    
6  GLENDORA MINECAT Oct25 Oct25 Oct07 Sep15 Sep01 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRUST MANDO Oct25 Oct06 May18 Mar28 Feb01 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BLUEGRASS RYDER Dec02 Sep29 Sep15 Aug24 May19 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
9  BUFFETT Sep25 Sep01 Jul28 Apr24 Apr10 (dominguez)MEDINA ANGEL 121 20.00    
10  GODDARD Dec09 Nov19 Oct12 Oct02 Dec20 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
ZIA-9   12/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA HAILSTORM Dec04 Nov11 Oct20 Oct09 Jul28 (chavez larry)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
2  PANDORA WHO Dec02 Nov11 Sep28 Sep01 Aug17 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
3  SWAYING LASSIE Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 Oct11 Sep12 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
4  POW WOW May18 Apr28 Apr13 Mar07 Mar01 (olguin ever)CASTRO M 121 20.00    
5  CHAMA STORM Dec02 Nov11 Oct12 Sep15 Aug23 (gutierrez lee)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARKED BY MISCHIEF Nov11 Oct12 Aug24 Aug16 May12 (gomez ste)MEDINA ANGEL 119 30.00    
SCR  CANDY TRACK Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 (eliott ro)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00    
8  NO BULL DARWIN Dec02 Oct12 Sep15 Aug23 Mar14 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00 10% 8.60    
9  ZAPPIN Dec04 Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 121 6.00    
10  JASMINE BABY Dec02 Nov11 Sep26 Sep06 Aug24 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 8.00 5% 18.80    
11  JUST KEEP LAUGHIN Dec02 Nov11 Aug16 Apr20 Mar29 (b)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($71.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY REVENGE Jun08 Mar22 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (gonzales j)ROSENDO J 121 20.00    
2  MARKING CANYON Nov25 Nov19 Sep19 Jul26 May11 (fincher leroy)VALDEZ S 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  ANTONIOS MARK Nov25 Nov12 Oct27 Oct12 Apr07 (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 123 12.00 7% 13.90    
4  THUNDER DOME Nov25 Oct27 Oct12 Apr07 Mar21 (barton dalla)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  ONE MARK Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 Nov27 Oct29 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
6  DELBERT TOO Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Oct27 Oct11 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
7  STILL IN THE TRAP Jun08 Apr13 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  MCTHANKS Dec09 Nov04 Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
9  SIDEWINDER SLICK Nov25 Oct16 Sep02 Jul27 Jun16 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 119 6.00    
10  THRUTHESTORM Oct27 Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 Apr13 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
11  HIGHER ED May11 Mar15 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.