Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - December 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/10/1)-(3/6/8/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/8/1)-(5/6/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8/1)-(5/6/1/9/8)-(10/9/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/6/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/9/8)-(5/6/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/9/8)-(5/6/1/9/8)-(5/6/1/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/1/9/8)-(10/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/9/8)-(10/9/7/2)-(9/3/2/7/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/9/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/7/2)-(10/9/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/7/2)-(10/9/7/2)-(10/9/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/7/2)-(9/3/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/7/2)-(9/3/2/7/4)-(7/9/4/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-4   WIN (9/3/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/7/4)-(9/3/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/7/4)-(9/3/2/7/4)-(9/3/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/2/7/4)-(7/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2/7/4)-(7/9/4/3)-(3/1/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/9/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/3)-(7/9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/3)-(7/9/4/3)-(7/9/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/4/3)-(3/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/4/3)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/10/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/5)-(3/10/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/5)-(3/10/5/8)-(3/4/6/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/10/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/5/8)-(3/10/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/5/8)-(3/10/5/8)-(3/10/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/5/8)-(3/4/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-8   WIN (3/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/9)-(3/4/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/9)-(3/4/6/9)-(3/4/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOMETOWN HERO Nov27 Nov06 Oct03 Aug30 Aug22 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRACK OF MY TEARS Nov19 Nov02 Oct15 Sep19 Aug27 (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 12.00    
3  STRIDER'S SLIDER Nov27 Nov06 Oct08 Sep18 Aug16 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
4  WARRIOR TED Dec06 Jul01 Apr09 Mar05   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 7.00    
5  DOUBLE NICKEL Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 Sep21 (albright r)CORA D 120 8.00    
6  DESTINANO Jul17 Jun26 May24 Jan18 Dec20 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
7  BEST DEFENSE Nov21 Feb09 Jan18 Dec15 Nov02 (houghton th)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
8  MAT MATTERS Nov15 Oct24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug18 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
9  KISS THEM DEADLY Nov27 Nov06 Oct27 Sep20 Aug30 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
10  STORMQUIST Nov27 Nov15 Sep02 Jul12 May27 (kreiser c)FLORES E 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWSER Nov29 Nov14 Nov01 Aug21 Aug07 (rideout ronald)AGUILAR M 121 20.00 11% 7.80    
2  MARTINI'S BANK Nov25 Nov13 Sep18 Aug22 Jul24 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00    
3  ESTA CHUCK Nov01 Aug07 Jul05 May03 Mar07 (jacklin theodora )BAKER J 121 50.00    
4  CATALINA CRUZIN Dec04 Oct23 Oct07 Aug30 Aug10 (pecoraro anthon)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
5  MO TRAFFIC Dec04 Nov07 Sep20 Sep05 Jul24 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  TIME OF OUR LIVES Dec06 Oct31 Aug21 Aug07 Jul05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
7  ZIFFY BUG Dec04 Nov07 Oct23 Sep19 Sep11 (kravets m)CORA D 120 12.00    
8  PASSING BAYOU Dec04 Nov01 Oct16 Sep27 Sep12 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  HUSHEMUP Nov07 Oct13 Sep13 Jun18 May16 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 12.00 7% 13.50    
 
PEN-3   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAVE NO REGRETS Dec04 Nov15 Oct21 Sep25 Sep03 (martin f)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
2  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Dec04 Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 Nov09 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 118 50.00    
4  DUKE OF DOOLY Oct31 Oct17 Oct09 Sep19 Aug31 (sepulveda car)LUGO JR 123 12.00    
5  SOCIAL JOE Dec03 Oct31 Sep18 Sep07 Aug22 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 20.00    
6  WEMBY Nov07 Oct17 Sep25 Sep12 Aug29 (nunley randy)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
7  MUSIC BOX DANCER Dec06 Nov13 Oct25 Aug26 Aug16 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  TOWN KISSER Nov27 Nov07 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (fields kevin)FLORES E 122 4.50    
9  WARRIOR ON TAP Nov27 Nov08 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
10  SAINT TEMPLAR Dec11 Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 Jul19 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  ERIC FROM MIAMI Nov11 Sep01 Aug06 Jul24 Jul14 (sells rache)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
SCR  TOUCHED UP Nov22 Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
 
PEN-4   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDICI Nov27 Nov05 Sep04 Aug22 Jul09 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
2  CHARM ALARM Nov27 Mar07 Feb08 Jan26 Dec22 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 12% 7.20    
3  SIRANI Nov21 Nov13 Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  NORMANDY LIFE Nov01 Sep23 Aug28 Aug01 Jul11 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NICOLE'S JOURNEY Nov01 Jul05       (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
6  PARTY Sep13 Aug24 Feb10 Dec29 Nov04 (perkins jr)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50    
7  NEWSDLEY Nov01 Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 May16 (sinnefia pa)RAMOS O 121 6.00 9% 9.90    
8  JACK'S LILLY Nov20 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 6.00    
9  DISSOLUTE Nov27 Oct25 May12 Nov12 Oct13 (lynch cathal)ROSADO JOHAN 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-5   12/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORABLE AVENUE Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun11 May27 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 123 8.00    
2  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Nov13 Oct23 Jul25 Jul12 Jun26 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00    
3  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Nov21 Nov05 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWIFT TAP Dec04 Nov20 Nov11 Oct09 Sep14 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HENRYTHETHIRD Nov08 Oct23 Sep30 Sep17 Aug28 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 6.00    
6  BONDED (IRE) Dec04 Oct24 Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 (martin r)MENA E 123 12.00    
7  DON'T POKE THE CAT Nov20 Nov05 Oct23 Sep24 Sep17 (loaiza ilmar)BEATO INOEL 123 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  PRACTICAL SENSE Nov28 Oct26 Oct10 Sep14 Aug22 (jones e)ACOSTA D 123 4.00    
9  SPINNING MUSICIAN Sep28 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 (agnew naoise)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-6   12/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Aug28 Aug16 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 25% 3.10    
2  WALKER'S GAP Oct04 Sep25 Aug14 Aug01 Jun20 (deiter ke)HERNANDEZ A 125 5.00    
3  AWESOME HARRY Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Oct16 Sep27 (fields kevin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  PAYNTED THUNDER Nov29 Nov08 Oct31 Jul17 Jun29 (deiter ly)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 3.00    
5  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN Nov15 Aug29 Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 (galligan ge)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEET SPITE Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 Sep27 Sep08 (fields kevin)CORA D 124 10.00 8% 12.20    
7  WATERMELON CRUSH Nov27 Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (wadams dewight )RODRIGUEZ E 125 6.00    
 
PEN-7   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRETT'S WORLD Nov21 Oct24 Sep20 Aug24 Jul24 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00    
2  BIG BROWN SHOES Nov21 Nov02 Oct14 Sep30 Aug28 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 123 8.00    
3  KAZ SWEET HEIST Nov27 Jul06 Jun09 May19 Mar15 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Nov21 Oct24 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50    
5  CHAIN REACTION Nov13 Oct24 Sep30 Sep11 Aug23 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 10% 8.70    
6  DROSEL DIEM Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 (albright am)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE JOCK Nov22 Oct31 Sep26 Sep11 Aug27 (boyer jr)FLORES E 123 20.00    
8  WAHEEL Nov14 Oct30 Sep24 Sep16 Aug26 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 123 12.00 6% 16.30    
9  KBCYA LATER Nov22 Oct23 Sep29 Sep01 Aug24 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 12.00    
10  ANGELUS WARRIOR Aug29 Aug01 May28 May18 May04 (loaiza ilmar)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 10.00 22% 3.60    
 
PEN-8   12/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASTASPELLA Aug15         (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 124 2.00    
2  BOUNTY KILLAH Dec07 Sep04 Aug28 Aug14 Jul20 (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 10.00    
3  CITY OF LONDON Nov21 Aug07 Jul19 Jun12 May17 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  MY HUNNY BUNNY Nov15 Oct23 Sep21 Sep14 Aug15 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 125 8.00 14% 6.30    
5  GOLDEN BOSS LADY Oct12 Sep19 Sep12 Sep04 Aug14 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 124 30.00    
6  PELOSI Nov15 Oct23 Sep11 Aug29 Dec27 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 6.00 13% 7.00    
7  SOMETHINGTOSAY Nov20 Oct29       (velazquez dani)MOYA F 124 20.00    
8  AZTECA STARDUST Nov29 Nov14 Oct24 Sep01 Aug18 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 124 12.00    
9  RED BETTY Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 Oct08 Aug15 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCK TUNE Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 Oct03 Sep24 (rogers michael)CORA D 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.