Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(5/2/1)-(6/2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(2/5/7/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(2/5/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(2/5/7/1/6)-(3/5/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/5/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1/6)-(2/5/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1/6)-(2/5/7/1/6)-(2/5/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/7/1/6)-(3/5/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/1/6)-(3/5/9/7)-(4/3/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/5/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/7)-(3/5/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/7)-(3/5/9/4/7)-(3/5/9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/9/7)-(4/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9/7)-(4/3/8/6)-(13/5/3/11/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/8/6)-(13/5/3/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/6)-(13/5/3/11/6)-(5/6/7/2/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (13/5/3/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/5/3/11/6)-(13/5/3/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/5/3/11/6)-(13/5/3/11/6)-(13/5/3/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/5/3/11/6)-(5/6/7/2/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (13/5/3/11/6)-(5/6/7/2/3)-(11/2/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (5/6/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2/3)-(11/2/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (11/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/9/8)-(11/2/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/2/9/8)-(11/2/9/1/8)-(11/2/9/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Oct19 Oct05 Sep20 Sep07 Aug29 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GET THE LEAD OUT Oct31 Sep26 Sep14 Sep01 Aug24 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
3  QUEEN OF CHILL Sep25 Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 Jun15 (ashmore colee)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00    
4  SASSY CHARLEE Sep28 Aug18 Jul28 Jun28 Apr24 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 120 3.50    
5  ZIP CODE ENVY Oct26 Oct01 Sep09 Aug05 Jun16 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  LACONIA Oct04 Sep14 Aug30 Jul13 Jun20 (delgado jos)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-2   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY RIDE Oct26 Apr12 Mar23 Aug31 Aug04 (cazares laura)FERRER C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SINGSATIONAL Nov20 Oct23 Jun01 May01 Apr14 (orantes r)HESS SARA 111 6.00 16% 5.40    
3  RITABOOK Aug18 Jul26 Jun28 Jun02 May04 (rigattieri jo)TORRES YOLBER 110 6.00    
4  DELTA CHARM Oct16 Sep28 Sep05 Jun27 Jun07 (smith g)CENTENO E 120 5.00    
5  SPANISH DELIGHT Oct19 Sep09 Jun02 May18 Apr26 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.00 52% 0.90    
6  PRETTY'N AWESOME Oct06 Sep20 Aug25 Jul20 Jul05 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.50    
 
TAM-3   12/04/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATH TO VICTORY Oct09 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPUNFORFUN Oct10 Aug31 Jul26 May27 Apr05 (avila ca)TORRES YOLBER 108 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  POLA OF TROUBLE Nov20 Sep29 Aug30 Jul26 Jul07 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 20.00    
4  MOON ROSE Aug30 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 Apr26 (dobber arn)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 12.00    
5  MYLASTREDCENT Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 Jul24 Jun30 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
6  AFILADA May18 Apr07 Mar14 Feb19 Jan07 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  TWIZZLE Nov24 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jul07 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
8  NINETYNINECARATS Oct23 Sep27 Sep01 Jul04 Jun13 (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
9  NUMERIC Oct27 Oct06 Aug30 Aug18 May10 (crichton r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 114 2.50    
 
TAM-4   12/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JADES JAY Nov23 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug16 (laurato michae)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00 11% 8.10    
2  MIDNIGHT ONYX Nov20 Sep27 Aug03 Jul07 Jun01 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  SINCERITO Nov03 Jul07 Jun02 May10 Mar30 (lopez r)TORRES YOLBER 108 12.00    
4  CATALINA EXPRESS Nov10 Sep12 Sep05 May03 Mar29 (rodriguez a)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.00    
5  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Jun22 Jun08 Apr25 Apr04 Mar06 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  NO PROBLEM JOE May31 Apr26 Apr03 Mar27 Mar08 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TUSCAN RULER Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Jan14 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 15% 5.50    
8  PERFORMANTE Sep27 Sep06 Aug25 Aug16 Jul12 (garcia pedr)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 8.00    
9  BROADCASTER (IRE) Sep29 Aug30 Apr13 Mar10 Dec23 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 120 6.00    
 
TAM-5   12/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LYNX Oct24 Oct02       (downing william)SPIETH S 121 6.00    
2  CHERBOURG Oct13 Sep02 Jan26 Dec13 Sep14 (lerman s)MARIN SAMUEL 124 5.00    
3  ERA Sep14 Aug28 Aug15 Jul04   (ward dennis)FERRER C 121 6.00 54% 0.80    
4  FAR ABOVE Oct13 Sep27 Aug11 Jul14 Jun07 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 124 8.00 ★    
5  GULF COAST GIRL Oct01 Sep08 Aug16 Jul26 Jun29 (dini mike)ROCCO S 121 4.50 12% 7.10    
6  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Apr06 Mar17       (ubide max)ALLEN D 121 30.00    
7  ALTHENA Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Mar27 Mar09 (paragallo j)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ELECTRIC RUNNER Jul21 Jun27 Apr28 Apr19 Mar13 (manchan c)HESS SARA 117 30.00    
9  TOURIST STYLE Apr14 Mar23 Mar08 Feb21 Feb07 (cascallares ne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME Sep27 Aug25 Jul06 Aug27 Jul23 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 124 2.50    
11  KHOZY TURTLE Oct25 Sep07 Aug18     (sims n)FERRER C 121 20.00    
SCR  TOO HOT TO STOP Sep26 Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 121 20.00    
SCR  TINS Nov10 Oct19 Sep04 Aug24 Aug15 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00    
 
TAM-6   12/04/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANDO Oct16 Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Jun02 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 121 10.00    
2  GREYZER Oct04 Sep25 Sep07 Aug01 Jul17 (de karla)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50    
3  CONSPIRACY FACT Aug31 Jun22 May25 Apr20 Mar03 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  GOD'S TIMING Nov01 Oct04       (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
5  SWING LOW Aug08 Jul27 Jul10 Jun24 May30 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 121 6.00    
6  FEUILLETON Oct03 Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 Aug17 (dimmett james)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Nov09 Sep21 Aug25 Aug03 Jul04 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00    
8  MR TITO'S Oct16 Oct03 Sep17 Sep02 Aug14 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   12/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Aug30 Aug13 Jul18 Sep28 Aug23 (dimmett james)BUSH V 121 20.00    
2  SAM STORMY Sep28 Sep11 Aug29 Jul27 Jul07 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
3  SPANISH NOBLE Oct05 Aug31 Aug11 Jul05 Jun16 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  ELUSIVE EDGE Aug30 Nov09 Oct27 Oct07 Jul08 (hemingway miche)CENTENO E 121 6.00    
5  PUTTHEBLAMEONME Nov15 Oct14 Nov15 Oct17 Sep25 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  MINTENON Oct27 Sep20 Sep01 Jul26 Jun20 (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WORD FOR WORD Oct04 Sep14 Aug25 Jul27 Jul04 (rodriguez dari)COTTO L 121 12.00    
SCR  K'S PICK Oct16 Sep14 Aug24 Jun22 Apr21 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00    
9  BATI KING Nov03 Aug17 Aug01 Jun29 Jun02 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 8.00    
10  MY GREAT ILLUSION Aug15 Jun08 Apr24 Mar17 Mar01 (crichton r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 3.00    
11  CHASENTHEONE Sep29 Aug17 Jul06 Jun08 Apr26 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAST N STEADY Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 Jun20 Jun08 (marrero nesto)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 30.00    
13  ZATIP Oct10 Aug03 Jul13 Mar20 Feb28 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  HARI Oct23 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Jul17 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 121 10.00    
 
TAM-8   12/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS BABE Oct12 Sep07 Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 (avila juan )GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 3.00    
2  SEA ART Oct16 Aug22 Jul11 Jun19 Apr26 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 5% 17.70    
3  SUMMER'S COMIN Nov23 Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BROOKMESA Sep22 Sep08 Aug28 Aug11 Jul14 (pompay terri)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
5  YELLOW FEATHERS Sep22 Aug28 Jul23 Jun11 Dec02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Oct03 Sep09 Apr20 Mar30 Mar03 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
7  SWEET LAURA Oct08 Sep20 Aug25 Jul26 Jul05 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 9% 9.80    
8  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Sep08 Aug10 Jun23 May31 Apr27 (rivera fra)ALONSO LUIS 120 12.00    
9  CAPTURED DARLING Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Jul05 Jun16 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 120 30.00    
 
TAM-9   12/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAT AT THE TABLE Mar09 Dec29 Dec09 Oct01 Sep03 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  ROZAY SUMMER Oct23 Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  PURE MAGIC GIRL Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 Aug22 Aug03 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 10.00    
4  LITTLE MARTHA Oct15 Oct02       (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
5  COMPASS RISES Nov01 Oct17 Sep07 Aug18 Jul26 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
6  BESS' CANDY Nov07 Sep07 Jul04 May27   (silla)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 30.00    
7  PERMED Nov10 Oct18 Sep13 Jul17 Jun02 (pimental i)CENTENO E 118 15.00    
8  SUMMER FLOWER Nov02 Sep27 Aug25 Jul26 Jul12 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MO'S VINO MESA Nov20 Oct22 Sep14 Aug17 Jul27 (wilson tony)COTTO L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GODDESS MINERVA Nov20 Nov03 Oct13 Aug18 Jul28 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
11  ROSE VIEW Oct27 Oct04 Aug30 Jul27 Jul14 (laurin roger)HESS SARA 111 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  BOLT OF PARADISE Oct12 Sep21 Jul26 Jun30 Jun21 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
SCR  JASSAI Nov03 Oct13 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.