Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/7/2)-(7/2/5/9/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(7/2/5/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(7/2/5/9/8)-(8/3/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-4   WIN (7/2/5/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/9/8)-(7/2/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/9/8)-(7/2/5/9/8)-(7/2/5/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/5/9/8)-(8/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/9/8)-(8/3/7/6)-(4/6/11/7/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
FL-5   WIN (8/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/7/6)-(4/6/11/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/6/11/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/11/7/8)-(4/6/11/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/11/7/8)-(4/6/11/7/8)-(4/6/11/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/11/7/8)-(1/5/3/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/5/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/8/9)-(1/5/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/8/9)-(1/5/3/8/9)-(1/5/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/3/8/9)-(4/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/8/9)-(4/2/7)-(3/9/6/1/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(3/9/6/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-9   WIN (3/9/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/1/4)-(3/9/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/1/4)-(3/9/6/1/4)-(3/9/6/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEST BANKER Oct14 Sep18 Sep02 Jul30 Jul13 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
2  MARTINI'S BANK Sep18 Aug22 Jul24 Jun27 Jun06 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 119 12.00    
3  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Oct07 Sep18 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  KAZ MUSIC Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul17 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 3.50    
5  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Oct21 Oct14 Sep17 Sep09 Aug14 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
6  INOUAINTALKINTOME Oct21 Sep24 Sep09 Aug14 Jul02 (lopez rob)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   11/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCINWITHJAKE Oct28 Sep25 Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 (progno s)CRUZ JOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  WITT DASHING SPEED Oct29 Oct16 Oct01 Sep23 Sep04 (progno s)CRUZ JOEL 120 15.00    
2  OLLIE CAN DANCE Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 2.50    
3  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Oct02 Sep16 Sep04 Jul24   (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 8% 10.80    
4  WATCH HILL Jul25 Jun22 May19 Apr19 Mar09 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  KING KHALI Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00    
6  HERONEANDONLY Oct16 Sep16 Jul24 May20 Oct19 (goodwin gabr)HARKIE K 124 2.00 13% 6.50    
 
FL-3   11/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ROSEBUD RYDE Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 (ashley julius)BROWN DALTON 124 4.00    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Oct22 Oct08 Nov01 Oct18 Sep19 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 124 4.00    
2  MAJOR MAYHEM Oct23 Oct08 Sep25 Aug27 Aug14 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 121 6.00 7% 12.90    
3  MIAMI TWOFER Nov04 Oct07 Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 121 8.00    
4  DREAMERY Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Aug26 Aug14 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
SCR  NORTHUMBERLAND Oct23 Oct09 Sep24 Aug20 May29 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
6  JAYLA Oct23 Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
7  JOURNEY OF FIVE Oct23 Oct07 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
FL-4   11/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBIN'S GIANT Oct16 Oct02 Jun10 Mar06 Feb17 (smith troy)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
2  STRATEGYFORYOU Oct16 Sep24 Aug26 Jul02 Jun10 (clarke mat)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
3  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY Oct16 Sep22 Aug18 Jul25 Apr13 (bartlett wi)CAMILO D 121 6.00    
4  ROAD TO POWER Oct29 Oct16 Sep18 Sep02 Aug19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50    
5  STARSHIP SKYWALKER Sep24 Aug20       (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 10.00 9% 10.60    
6  DR. DARBY Oct30 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 8.00    
7  SAINT BONES Oct30 Oct16 Oct01 Aug05 Jul22 (shaffer richard)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
8  STORE FRONT Oct29 Oct16 Jul27     (garza hector)HARKIE K 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  FRANKIE R. Oct17 Apr19 Mar09 Feb23 Dec02 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WATERMELON CRUSH Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 (wadams j)ROHENA M 124 20.00    
 
FL-5   11/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Oct29 Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 (dixon linda )HARKIE K 124 2.50    
2  MASETA Oct14 Sep30 Sep10 Aug05 Jul16 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
3  RED FORTRESS Oct21 Sep02 Aug13 Jun18 Nov13 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  JITTER JUICE Oct29 Oct14 Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
5  BOTTOMLESS REFILL Oct29 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
6  INVALUABLE WILL Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep16 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MATTY'S EXPRESS Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 Sep23 Sep10 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
8  GOLDINI Oct29 Oct14 Sep29 Sep14 Aug21 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
FL-6   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLORA ROSE Oct30 Oct16 Oct01 Sep09 Aug20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
2  HIDDEN WAR DANCE Oct30 Oct16 Oct01 Sep09 Jun28 (henry ortis )HARKIE K 124 20.00    
3  CRYSTAL Oct16 Oct01 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 (murphy t)DAVIS A 121 15.00    
4  LADY ELOISE Oct30 Oct16 Sep24 Sep09 Aug05 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  DHARMA Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.00    
6  WAR TERMINATRIX Oct30 Oct16 Sep21 Aug28 Jul24 (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  STARSHIP SOPHIA         (ferraro anth)COA J 124 10.00 7% 13.30    
8  BARBARA'S SPIRIT Oct30 Oct15 Nov22 Oct25 Oct11 (lord j)ROHENA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY LITTLE ONE Oct30 Oct09 Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 (babcock edward)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
SCR  WIDOW Oct28 Sep26 Jul11 Nov20 Oct18 (iorio sal)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 15.00    
11  IMALOTTALADY Oct28 Oct16 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
FL-7   11/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JESSICA'S RACE Oct14 Sep11 Aug21 Jul16 Jun24 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 ★    
1A  LIGON'S LEGACY Oct08 Sep25 Sep11 Aug20 Aug07 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
2B  M. A. S. SCRUVES Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 Jul24 Nov01 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 15.00    
SCR  SWEET TOOTH SUE Nov04 Oct22 Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 15.00    
3  DR G AND ALI Oct14 Sep25 Aug27 Aug07 Jul29 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 2.50 6% 14.60    
4  AUTOMATED TELLER Nov04 Jul09 Jul01 Jun04 May21 (bond brent)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
5  SWEET SUGAR BABY Nov04 Oct22 Sep10 Aug28 Aug19 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
6  SHASI Sep30 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 (mastin k)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
7  WINE TRAIL Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 (gibbs jermaine)DIAZ J 122 20.00    
8  HAPPY TIME Oct23 Sep24 Sep06 Jul23 Jul09 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  TINTAGEL Oct08 Sep10 Aug27 Jul29 Jun18 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TACONY ROAD Oct08 Sep23 Aug28 Jul22 Jun26 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
2  THE INSTITUTE Oct21 Sep23 Sep03 Jul10 May27 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Oct21 Oct08 Sep13 Jul19 Jun27 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
4  RUNAWAY JOKE Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 Jun09 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  DISCO DEANO Sep24 Aug10 Jul12 Jun12 Mar10 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.00    
6  SHARED SUCCESS Jan11 Dec17 Nov08 Oct23 Sep25 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
7  POMPOUS PRINCE Nov01 Sep23 Aug25 Aug01 Jul09 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
FL-9   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERCHANGER Oct28 Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 Jun25 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
2  OUTSTANDING DEBT Oct17 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug05 (cotrone )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
3  GIRAMONTE Sep17 May26 Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 (sells rachel)DAVILA A 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  MISAWA Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 (ashley julius)BROWN DALTON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNCLE VIC Oct29 Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
6  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 Sep03 Jul10 (saul dana)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
7  YOU BEAUT Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug26 Jul24 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.50    
8  BLUE LIEUTENANT Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 (monserrate )CAMILO D 122 12.00    
9  MUDVILLE NINE Oct28 Oct01 Sep03 Jul28 Jun28 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
10  PURECRAZIGROOVE Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.