Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - November 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(4/2/5)-(8/2/9) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(8/2/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/9)-(8/2/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/9)-(8/2/9)-(8/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/2/9)-(4/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (4/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/5)-(6/4/7)-(3/9/2/7/1) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-7   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(3/9/2/7/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/9/2/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/7/1)-(3/9/2/7/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/7/1)-(3/9/2/7/1)-(3/9/2/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO BREEZY Oct23 Sep24 Sep06 Aug14 Jun29 (jackson jeffr)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of BREEZY GIRL by SCIPION)
U BET JO'S PRAYING Oct11 Sep08 Aug17 Jul06 May23 (cordero-lope)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BET ON SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
REVOCATA Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 Sep16   (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
BUXTEHUDE Oct13         (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 118 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of STREET LINE by STREET CRY (IRE))
STREET LASS Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 Sep16 Jun08 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 118 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
ANGIE'S JOURNEY         (ewell deva)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 12.00 9% 10.10    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of SMOOTH ARRIVAL by SILVER TRAIN)
MUJER DE ORO Oct19 Sep21       (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 1.20 44% 1.30    
  (by GOLDEN BALLS out of MINDY'S BIRTHDAY by SINGSPIEL)
LA MEDUSA Oct13 Aug28 Aug01 Jul18 Jun15 (fernandez a)YARANGA Y 118 2.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY ENCOUNTER by FED BIZ)
 
MNR-2   11/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALLELUJAH HARRIS Oct13 Sep15 Aug23 Jul18 Jun16 (kelly blake)TAPARA BRANDON 118 1.40    
  (by TEXAS RED out of SWANKY JAS by FLAT OUT)
DUKE OF SICILY Sep25 Sep03 Aug21 Jul29   (wolfe greg)YARANGA Y 123 4.50    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of SKIPPY O by SKIP AWAY)
HOYLAKE Oct22 Sep23 Aug19 Jul23 Jun18 (hetrick krist)BRACHO A 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SWEET SWINGIN by STREET SENSE)
WEEKEND FLAME Oct09 Sep24 Aug14 Jul30 Jun23 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00 14% 6.20    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WEEKEND WISH by BLUEGRASS CAT)
HE'S A WILD CHILD Oct09 Sep18 Sep11 Aug14 Jul22 (lopez-olmeda)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 20.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of COMMAND PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
FLIGHT WAY Oct21 Oct09 Dec02 Aug26 Jul29 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PURRFECT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
NORTHERN RUNNER Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 Jul07 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 123 20.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of NORTHERN CHEROKEE by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  BIG BANK         (fiesman robert )TAPARA LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DEFY GRAVITY by NUREYEV)
 
MNR-3   11/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READYSEEKGO Oct14 Sep01 Aug19 Jul30 May04 (lawrence d)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Oct23 Oct13 Sep28 Sep05 Aug22 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.60 18% 4.50    
CAPTAIN CREED Oct20 Aug04 Jul17 Jun27 May04 (viands grego)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
STAR PROSPECT Sep22 Sep08 Sep02 Jul22 Jul15 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
SIMPLY JACK Oct13 Jul27 Jun27 May31 May10 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 15.00 14% 5.90    
NO HANG CHARLIE Oct20 Sep25 Sep05 Aug06 Jul25 (woodbury judy)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
SCR  JAHEZ Oct23 Sep25 Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
 
MNR-4   11/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAUMARAMA Sep17 Sep09 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 (bayley ran)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00    
AGENDA Oct02 Sep09 Aug19 Jul09 May28 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 10% 8.80    
MAGNIFICENT PEARL Oct22 Oct12 Sep25 Sep07 Aug19 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.00    
SCR  ALWAYS CONNECTED Oct12 Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 Aug01 (richards rena)CEDILLO MAURO 120 12.00    
SCR  KAIYAS SONG Oct14 Oct05 Sep08 Aug24 Jul16 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
BUSKER ALLIE Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Jun16 May27 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 8.00    
SCR  HONEY BOURBON Oct22 Oct13 Sep17 Sep04 Aug25 (ramgeet tina)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
TEAM HOT LINE Oct09 Sep22 Aug14 Jul28 Jun23 (ramgeet tina)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
UNFAITHFUL WAYS Sep04 Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jun16 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 10.00 10% 9.10    
 
MNR-5   11/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ARM Oct28 Oct02 Sep25 Aug23 Aug17 (smith lawren)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
SCR  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Oct17 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 Jul18 (gotera juan )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 20.00    
LITTLE BIG Oct17 Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 (schneider)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPERANZAS WILL Oct21 Oct15 Oct07 Sep25 Sep09 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 36% 1.80    
YARDMAN Oct22 Oct01 Sep20 Sep02 Aug06 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.50    
COURTHOUSE COVE Oct27 Oct10 Aug27 Aug19 Aug07 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 120 2.50 14% 6.30    
COOLER KING Oct20 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 Jun19 (gotera car)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00    
ACTION POINT Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (inman l)DAVILA M 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
MNR-6   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME BISHOP Oct21 Aug12 May03 Apr19 Mar29 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00    
ALABAMA SLAMMER Oct29 Sep29 Sep17 Aug26 Jul03 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 0.60 50% 1.00    
STORMY SOUL Oct15 Sep16 Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
PARTY OF NO Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 Aug20 Aug06 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 123 5.00    
JUST U AND ME KID Oct23 Sep23 Aug19 Jul31 Jul16 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
BEASTFROMTHEEAST Oct16 Aug18 Oct25 Sep27 Sep05 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 30.00    
KHALFANI Oct23 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 (skelton cha)BLANCHE RISHAWN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCE OF ROSES Oct22 Oct15 Sep28 Sep13 Aug28 (esquivel j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 15.00    
 
MNR-7   11/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POSITIVELY AWESOME Sep25 Sep01 Aug01 Jul11 Jun12 (kelly blake)TAPARA BRANDON 120 15.00    
SCR  STRIKING SPEED Oct17 Oct04 Sep27 Sep18 Jul26 (nazario pedro)CEDILLO MAURO 120 12.00    
EL GAVILAN Oct22 Oct10 Aug10 Jul20 Jun26 (fernandez a)YARANGA Y 120 5.00    
BRIT'S CANDYMAN Oct23 Sep04 Jul11 Jun06 May24 (lopez e)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  RED DEVOLUTION Oct25 Oct11 Sep20 Sep04 Aug15 (nazari)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00    
NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Sep30 Aug27 May28 May13 Nov22 (poole jeffrey)BRACHO A 120 2.50 49% 1.10    
AMBULANTE Oct07 Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 Aug11 (barbaran horaci)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BASEBALL POLITICS Oct19 Oct05 Aug31 Jun16 Jun01 (manley st)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
JUSTCUZIFEELLIKEIT Oct21 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 (cook devin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 50.00    
10  COMPANY CLOWN Sep21 Aug25 Jul18 Jun27 May17 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 6.00    
 
MNR-8   11/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINAL EPISODE Oct15 Sep30 Nov01 Jul23 Jul11 (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS TERESKA Oct28 Apr24 Apr03 Feb04 Oct02 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 8.00 10% 8.90    
SWEET SMILA Oct28 Oct13 Sep19 Sep01 Aug08 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
WHISKEY TALKING Oct09 Sep22 Sep09 Jul21 Jul03 (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 20.00    
BLOSSOM DIVA Oct13 Oct04 Sep12 Aug29 Aug07 (quezada inoc)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 10.00    
SCR  VERACIOUS VERA Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (snatchko a)TAPARA LUIS 118 30.00    
WHISPER ME A SONG Oct15 Sep22 Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  ALMOND FUDGE Sep16 Aug14 Jul14 Jun19 Jun01 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 2.50    
OUTFACTORED Oct28 Oct15 Aug30 Aug25 Aug14 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 25% 2.90    
10  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Oct15 Sep15 Aug20 Apr22 Mar20 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 50.00    
SCR  ABIGAIL G Oct28 Oct15 Sep15 Aug28 Aug09 (rodak geraldine)YARANGA Y 120 50.00    
SCR  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Oct29 Sep15 Jul02 Apr13 Mar13 (cook devin)CEDILLO MAURO 120 50.00    
SCR  TOVIA Sep11 Aug24 Jun07 May17 Apr25 (ccamaque mar)TAPARA BRANDON 120 10.00    
SCR  QADIRA Sep12 Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 (urieta johanna)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.