Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/7)-(3/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/4)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/4)-(2/1/4)-(6/8/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/8/2/5)-(5/2/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/5)-(6/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/5)-(6/8/2/5)-(6/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/5)-(5/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/1)-(8/7/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (8/7/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/9/5)-(8/7/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/9/5)-(8/7/1/9/5)-(8/7/1/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/1/9/5)-(5/4/3/8/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/9/5)-(5/4/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/4/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
FL-7   WIN (5/4/3/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8/6)-(5/4/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8/6)-(5/4/3/8/6)-(5/4/3/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/4/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/3/8/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/4/10)-(5/3/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/4/10)-(5/3/8/4/10)-(5/3/8/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET COP OFFICER Sep18 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun12 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
2  UTAMARO Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jun26 Nov11 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00    
3  BILLIEVE IN JOSH Oct07 Sep10 Jul16 Nov30 Nov14 (ficarella brook)ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
4  COIN JAR Oct07 Sep02 Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  SKYLER'S STARSHIP Oct07 Aug29 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  PHILHARMONIC Aug18 Jul14 May24 Apr19 Mar29 (zit)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00    
7  MY COOL HAND LUKE Oct07 Aug28 Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY Oct02 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 (smith troy)HARKIE K 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
FL-2   10/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NANASQUAN Sep25 Aug29 Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  LADY FORTUNA Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 Jun27 May24 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 3.50    
2  JOURNEY OF FIVE Oct07 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JAYLA Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
4  JOVIO Sep25 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jun19 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  NORTHUMBERLAND Oct09 Sep24 Aug20 May29 Oct24 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
6  MAJOR MAYHEM Oct08 Sep25 Aug27 Aug14 Jul23 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
7  HAPPY TIME Sep24 Sep06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 4.50    
 
FL-3   10/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE THAT BIRD Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul29 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 4.00 12% 7.50    
2  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 Jul10 Jun12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 54% 0.80    
3  MARTY'S MAGIC Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Jun21 Apr28 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 1.50    
4  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Oct01 Sep24 Sep17 Aug21 Aug13 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BREW PUB Oct01 Sep17 Aug01 Jun27 Dec07 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 4.50    
6  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Oct01 Sep17 Aug28 Aug13 Jul29 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
 
FL-4   10/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KAZ' ROSE Oct09 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00    
2  MOTLEY SUE Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug06 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
3  CENTRAL CAPITAL Oct09 Sep25 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 (morales samue)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00    
4  BLUE EYED WARRIOR Sep11 Aug12 Jul24 Jul10 Jun24 (englehart jere)COA J 121 5.00    
5  DEVILLY Oct09 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Aug06 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAUGHTER Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Aug06 Jul24 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
7  LUNA LOCA Oct08 Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 Jul31 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00    
8  GEORGIE'S LADIES Oct09 Aug19 Jul17 Jun19 Oct31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
FL-5   10/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S NOT OVER YET Oct08 Sep25 Aug28 Aug14   (reed lis)DAVIS A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TEN DEMERITS by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  NOTFANUTIN Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 Jul07 (kintz matthew)PEREZ E 122 2.50 11% 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FU PEGGI SUE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  SOBIESKI Oct08 Sep09       (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of NORTHERN ANALYST by FREUD)
4  MAGGIE'S BOY Oct08 Sep25       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MAGGIE'S RUBY ROSE by GRAY RAIDER)
5  GIANT IMPACT Oct08 Sep09       (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of MOON DELIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
6  JUST A GUY Oct08 Sep25       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 10% 9.30    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of PIECES OF SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  VESUVIO Oct08 Aug14       (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SOLAR VORTEX by ORB)
8  POWMISSIO Sep22 Aug21       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of SECRET MISSION by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
 
FL-6   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA BANKER Aug28 Jul14 Jun19 May20 Apr29 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 4.00 9% 10.20    
2  CASHEL KITTEN Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 Jul14 Aug22 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
SCR  DEE BO Oct07 Jun18 May28 May13 Apr30 (davis ed)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
4  DON'T POKE THE CAT Sep24 Sep17 Sep10 Jul15 Jul08 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 120 15.00    
SCR  CHARLIE FIVE O Jul27 Jun30 Jun02 Apr28 Mar17 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 6% 14.80    
6  BRACIOLE Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 Jan12 Jun17 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
7  SUTTON BREEZE Oct14 Sep30 Sep11 Sep01 Jul29 (lopez arcad)CAMILO D 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
8  BANYAN BREEZE Oct10 Aug10 Jul01 Jun12 Nov15 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
9  THE LAST ACE Oct08 Sep11 Aug12 Jul16 Nov21 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  NEWPORT BRIDGE Oct08 Sep18 Jun12 May20 Apr12 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00    
11  BREAKING STONES Oct08 Sep10 May22 Apr13 Feb19 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
 
FL-7   10/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S GOT THE JACK Sep25 Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 6.00    
2  CAPTAINOFMYHEART Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 (dixon linda)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00    
3  DEE'S WISEGUY Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May13 (johnston)DAVIS A 124 15.00 14% 6.20    
4  SIGHT UNSEEN Nov21 Nov08 Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  N Y RIESLING Sep25 Sep04 Aug06 Jun24 May22 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  BOWING SNOWMAN Sep11 Aug21 Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 (muller j)ROHENA JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORTGAGE RATE Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 Aug21 Jul24 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00    
8  MAX FOSTER Oct01 Sep11 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (oyola dav)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  THUNDERING MARCH Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 (williams omani)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00    
 
FL-8   10/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WABAUNSEE Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul02 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
1A  MELISSA'S SMILE Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 Aug07 Jul22 (pettine ja)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
2  KATERI EMPIRE Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
3  DIVA BANKER Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jul05 (oyola david)DAVILA A 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  COMFORTABLE CAT Sep23 Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 (marino j)DAVIS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Oct07 Sep11 Aug12 Jul30 Jul04 (ferraro antho)DIAZ J 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  LEFT LEANING LUCY Oct07 Sep09 Jul31 Jul02 Jan28 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50    
7  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Oct07 Sep09 Aug26 Jul24 Jul10 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 20.00    
8  NEW YORK BANKER Mar14 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  THE NEW MIAMI Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Jul30 (vasquez r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 15.00    
10  CHRISTMAS DINNER Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.