Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(8/10/5/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-4   WIN (8/10/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/5/3/4)-(8/10/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/5/3/4)-(8/10/5/3/4)-(8/10/5/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/5/3/4)-(2/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/5/1/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/5/1/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7/10)-(6/5/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7/10)-(6/5/1/7/10)-(6/5/1/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7/10)-(4/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/5)-(4/10/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/5)-(4/10/3/5/7)-(4/10/3/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/3/5)-(7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(7/9/6/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-9   WIN (7/9/6/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/10/3)-(7/9/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/10/3)-(7/9/6/10/3)-(7/9/6/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLER'S STARSHIP Aug29 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 May28 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 1.80 49% 1.00    
SCR  TWO JAY'S WAY Sep18 Aug26 Jul24 Jul05   (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.50    
3  MY COOL HAND LUKE Aug28 Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 Nov14 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
4  STOP THE SPREAD Aug31 Aug18 Jul21 Jul14 Jun06 (caramori)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
5  MARTY'S MAGIC Sep16 Aug26 Jun21 Apr28 Apr12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
6  SOLO TONIGHT Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 Jul24 Jul09 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00 5% 18.30    
 
FL-2   10/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVOLI GARDENS Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 Jul02 Nov15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  R GIRL FAITH Sep02 Aug19 Jul31 Jul04 Jun17 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FORTY SMOOTH Aug14 Jul15 Jun16 Apr27 Mar26 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 3.00    
4  CHARGE NURSE Sep17 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Nov15 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  MISTY GALE Sep10 Aug07 Jul22 Jun05 May20 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 5.00    
6  LINDSEY (GB) Sep24 Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul04 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 115 10.00    
 
FL-3   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Sep18 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  HYPNOCURRENCY Sep18 Sep02 Jul30 Jul01 May03 (pettine m)ROHENA M 122 5.00    
3  SPECIAL PAL Sep10 Aug14 Jul17 Jun24 Dec29 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  MRS BELL Aug12 Jul04 Jun05 May27 May14 (dean vic)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
5  LINCOLNVILLE BEACH Sep04 Aug07 Jul02 Jun03 Apr30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50    
6  LOVE MY CANDY Sep18 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-4   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOURNEY OF FIVE Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul23 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 20.00    
2  SOL EMPERATRIZ Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jun05 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 121 15.00    
3  IMPERMANENCE Jul30 Jul01 Jun05 May13 Nov01 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIAMI TWOFER Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul23 Jul10 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  REGENERATOR Sep18 Sep03 Aug05 Jun25 Jun05 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 5.00 9% 10.20    
6  DREAMERY Sep18 Aug26 Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 12.00    
7  CITI KITTY Sep04 Nov01 Sep11 Aug15   (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 15.00    
8  BUMP IN THE NIGHT Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Apr27 Apr12 (rice linda)COA J 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
9  LITTLE MAIZE Aug28 Aug07 Jun17 May29 May14 (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00    
10  SHEZENTICING Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul04 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
FL-5   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COIN JAR Sep02 Aug06 Jul08 Jun17   (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  DOROTHYS HAPPINESS Sep10 Aug20 Jul22     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  BILLIEVE IN JOSH Sep10 Jul16 Nov30 Nov14 Oct16 (ficarella brook)ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
4  SMILE TAKES CHARGE Sep10 Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Nov20 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
5  INTERCHANGER Sep18 Sep03 Jun25 Jun10 May22 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Aug28 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 Apr30 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 3.50 ★    
7  THE DELAWARE BOYZ Aug28 Jul24 Jul08 Jun10 May27 (buc)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 5.00    
 
FL-6   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY LA DUSS Sep09         (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00 10% 9.50    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of FAVORABLY by FLYING PASTER)
1A  STAGED CONFLICT         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 12.00 ★    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  QUARTNECT Sep24         (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of TWO QUARTERS by MR. JOHN)
2B  CHICAZTECA Sep24 Aug30 Jul30     (englehart chris)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of TREVI CHIC by ROMAN RULER)
SCR  SLOW READY Sep09 Aug26       (torelli stac)HARKIE K 122 5.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of CHINA RIDER by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  DIVORCED OF COURSE Sep13 Aug14 Jul31     (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of MADAME BOURBON by GOLDENCENTS)
5  ASHTEAD LADY Sep09 Aug14       (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of MS. REHBURG by LUCKY PULPIT)
6  COUNTRY MANOR Sep24 Sep09       (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
7  FREEDOM DREAMS         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00 10% 9.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LIBERTY GIRL by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
8  BANKER MURRAY Sep24 Sep14 Jul30 Jul21   (davis ed)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of IRISH BANKER by CENTRAL BANKER)
9  BALD KITTEN Aug14         (lecesse michae)COA J 122 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of TWICE FOR HONEY by BLAME)
10  LILITHS MOON         (norsen ann)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 8% 10.90    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MON IN THE MOON by MARIA'S MON)
 
FL-7   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Sep09 Aug26 Jul24 Jul10 Nov07 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 20.00    
2  CHRISTMAS DINNER Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 Jun25 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
3  LEFT LEANING LUCY Sep09 Jul31 Jul02 Jan28 Dec14 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 9% 10.70    
4  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Sep11 Aug12 Jul30 Jul04 Jun04 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
5  THE NEW MIAMI Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Jul30 Jul17 (vasquez ra)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEET INVASION Sep23 Sep09 Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 5.00    
7  WINE TRAIL Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 Jul24 Jul01 (gibbs jermain)DAVILA A 124 20.00 ★    
8  KAUFY FUTURES Sep23 Aug19 Aug07 Jul24 Jul16 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
SCR  COMFORTABLE CAT Sep23 Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 (marino josep)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
10  LAUGHTER Sep23 Aug28 Aug06 Jul24 Jul04 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
FL-8   10/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE BO Jun18 May28 May13 Apr30 Mar22 (davis ed)DAVIS A 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
1A  GANDY DANCING Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 120 6.00    
2  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Sep23 Sep10 Aug11 Jul29 Jul19 (acquilano jame)COA J 118 8.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Sep21 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun29 (barrera osc)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00    
4  WARRIORS REVENGE Sep23 Aug27 Aug12 Jun12 May06 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00    
5  C J'S GRAND SLAM Sep03 Aug07 Jun26 May29 Apr29 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
6  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Sep24 Sep11 Aug06 Jul17 Jun24 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
7  CONFORMIST Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jun26 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  BUSTIN PIETRE Sep16 Aug21 Jul16 May07 Mar23 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
 
FL-9   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARDLY WORKING Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (mcclung )DAVIS A 124 20.00    
2  TUCKABUCKAWAY Sep23 Aug28 Aug20 Jul24 Jul08 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00    
3  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 (clarke mat)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MASKED MARAUDER Sep23 Sep11 Jun26 Aug22 Jul18 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00    
5  DOUBLE VISION Sep23 Sep11 Aug20 Aug06 Jul24 (progno s)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
6  PLAY BALL Sep23 Sep11 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
7  FINANCIALSTABILITY Jul06         (beech e)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00 26% 2.80    
8  MASSEY HALL Sep23 Sep11 Aug28 Jul08 Jun19 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 4.00    
9  PERUVIAN BOY Sep10 Mar02 Feb08 Jan27 Dec21 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
10  JOHN'S PROTEGE Dec08 Nov16 Oct03 Aug09 Jun21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.