Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/4)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(1/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/3)-(3/9/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/9/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/2/4)-(3/9/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/2/4)-(3/9/5/2/4)-(3/9/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/5/2/4)-(7/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/6)-(1/8/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/3)-(1/2/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/8)-(1/2/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/8)-(1/2/9/8)-(1/2/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/9/8)-(8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/1/4)-(8/3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Sep18 Aug05 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
2  HOT ROD LINCOLN Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 (areche thali)BERRIOS C 122 3.50    
3  MISAWA Sep18 Sep04 Nov13 Oct17 Sep20 (chamberl)DAVIS A 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
4  LEGENDARY BID Oct31 Oct17 Jul05 Jun20 Nov23 (wadams dewight )ROHENA JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOTTOMLESS REFILL Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Jul11 Jun07 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 2.00    
6  HYPER SPEED Sep18 Sep04 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  PURECRAZIGROOVE Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 Jul30 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 5.00    
 
FL-2   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REV PARKER Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 121 3.50    
  (by ASTERN out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
2  PAINT THE LINE Sep16         (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 121 5.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
3  VISIONS TO REALITY Aug26 Jul26       (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ARCH'S SMILE by ARCH)
4  YOU BEAUT Aug26 Jul24 Jun27 May17 Sep27 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by LEOFRIC out of ASBEAUTIFULASYOU by A.P. INDY)
5  FINDANAME Sep09 Aug26 May07 Mar20   (areche thalia)DIAZ J 121 8.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
6  NOT MY TYPE Sep09 Aug19       (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
  (by CATOMIZE out of MY EXCESS by PARTNER'S HERO)
 
FL-3   10/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGING BEAR Sep18 Aug14 Jul26 Jun27 May23 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  HUTCH Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 Jul09 Nov20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  OUTSTANDING DEBT Sep18 Sep04 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (cotrone )DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  THUNDERING MARCH Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 (williams omani)BROWN DALTON 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
5  UNCLE VIC Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 Jul09 (dean ii)ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
6  BLUE LIEUTENANT Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
7  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Sep18 Aug06 Jul17 Jul08 Jun24 (vasquez r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00    
 
FL-4   10/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA WEEKEND Sep09 Aug26       (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of FELISA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  SAINT BONES Aug05 Jul22 May26 Apr12   (shaffer richard)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  CALL IT A NIGHT Sep09 Aug19       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TASTE'S CLASSYLADY by AFLEET ALEX)
4  DR. DARBY Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Sep18 Sep04 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
5  PROPHETIC Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jan13 Dec17 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WHISPERING ANGEL by NOW LISTEN)
6  ROUGH GUY Aug18 Oct05 Sep13     (goodwin gabri)DAVILA A 124 12.00    
  (by CUPID out of IMAGE OF ANNA by READY'S IMAGE)
7  WITT DASHING SPEED Sep23 Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SHE'S GOT THEFEVER by GOLD FEVER)
8  SENEGAL Sep01 Aug18 Jul18 Jul27   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of HOLLY'S STAR by DUBLIN)
9  JAKE'S ORCHARD Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul24 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
FL-5   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASHEL KITTEN Sep03 Aug13 Jul14 Aug22 Aug07 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
2  HAY HAY HARRY Sep17 Aug28 Aug20 Aug06 Jun24 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 121 5.00    
3  RETAIL MAN Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 2.50    
4  UNION NAVY Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 Jun19 Nov22 (buckley )DAVIS A 122 3.50    
5  BROKENHEARTED Sep18 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 20% 4.10    
6  MUDVILLE NINE Sep03 Jul28 Jun28 Apr28 Mar21 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 10.00 6% 17.00    
7  BUSTING CREDIT Sep03 Aug12 Jun26 Jun03 Nov20 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
 
FL-6   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAHALA Aug31 Aug04 Jun29 May10 Apr17 (englehar)DAVIS A 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  LOVE THAT BIRD Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.50    
3  UNION LIGHTS Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jun28 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG BAD BUD Sep02 Aug21 Aug07 Jul29 Jul02 (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 124 20.00    
5  INTERSTATE Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 (lopez arc)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 20.00    
6  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Sep24 Sep17 Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 8.00 14% 5.90    
7  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Sep17 Aug28 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
8  BREW PUB Sep17 Aug01 Jun27 Dec07 Nov15 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
FL-7   10/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAX FOSTER Sep11 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 (oyola dav)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 4.00    
1A  DOUBLE SHOT Sep16 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jul02 (oyola david)DAVILA A 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  FIRE DOWN BELOW Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 Jun11 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  CAPE COD GEM Sep16 Jul02 Jun18 May22 Nov06 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
SCR  ESCAPE MISSION Sep04 Jul17 Jun03 May13 Nov20 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
5  CAPTAINOFMYHEART Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jun17 (dixon linda)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
6  SMOKIN' ALONE Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
7  SON OF DARKNESS Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
8  MASS APPEAL Sep16 Aug21 Jul16 Jun10 May14 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  TOMMY THE TORCH Sep16 Jul31 Jun27 May30 May02 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
10  MORTGAGE RATE Sep18 Sep03 Aug21 Jul24 Jul08 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00    
 
FL-8   10/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR REWARD Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 Jun28 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 ★    
2  CRYSTAL Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul31 Jul01 (murphy t)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
3  NOBLE LADY Aug28 Aug07 Nov08 Oct25 Apr27 (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 124 4.00 6% 15.20    
4  HIDDEN WAR DANCE Sep09 Jun28 May13 Apr13 Apr04 (henry n)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRANKIE C Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 Jul01 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
6  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
7  LION'S MIRACLE MO Aug02 Jun23       (clarke matthew)PEREZ E 121 8.00    
8  SHE SHE'S SHADOW Jul10 Jun25 May28 May06 Nov06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 71% 0.40    
9  FLORA ROSE Sep09 Aug20 Aug05     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.