Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(7/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(8/5/6/9) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(8/5/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/9)-(8/5/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/9)-(8/5/6/9)-(8/5/6/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/6/9)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/10/5/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/5/2/8)-(3/10/5/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/10/5/2/8)-(3/10/5/2/8)-(3/10/5/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (3/10/5/2/8)-(8/3/4)-(8/5/1/7) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-7   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(8/5/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/7)-(8/5/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/7)-(8/5/1/7)-(8/5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IN TO THE NIGHT Sep24 Aug27 Aug12 Jul31 Jul21 (shuler r)VEGA L 120 2.50    
UNCAPTURED FAITH Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul30 Jul23 (mcdonald w)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 12.00    
PEACE FIRE Sep09 Aug25 Jul28 Jul02 Jun24 (bernardini p)AVILES YAN 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  R B'S BIG MOMENT Sep15 Sep03 Aug07 Jul01 Jun17 (gilbert j)HERNANDEZ H 118 10.00    
ROSE DARLING Sep04 Aug07 May24 May02 Mar29 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
NELL'S BELLS Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Apr03 Feb27 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  BLUE TWIRLIN Sep22 Aug20 Aug07 Jun23 Jun03 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 12.00    
MYRA FLEENER Sep22 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 Jul22 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
 
MNR-2   09/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLASS STAR Sep22 Aug24 Jul25 Jul13 Mar30 (figueroa rol)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Sep15 Aug20 Apr22 Mar20 Feb28 (sanders m)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00    
JANE'S A DIVA Sep22 Sep15 Aug21 Aug01 Jul10 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 1.60    
BLACK BULLET Sep15 Sep04 Aug25 Mar23 Mar02 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 118 15.00    
FINAL EPISODE Nov01 Jul23 Jul11 Apr28 Apr06 (montano wilfri)GILBERT KYLE 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
PATRIETTIC Sep21 Sep06 Aug23 Jul12 Jun28 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 118 4.50    
BETHPAGE Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul14 Jun18 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
MNR-3   09/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVOCATA Sep16         (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
MS ABIGAIL Aug09 Jul14       (figueroa )HERNANDEZ H 118 20.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MIMA PRINCESS Aug25 Jun17 May29     (bouali wajdi)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 113 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
DONT COMPRESS Sep16         (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
BAYTOWN AMY ROSE Sep16 Sep04 Aug21 May18 Apr11 (mcentee paul)WHITACRE B 118 1.40 27% 2.70    
  (by GAME WINNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA Jul06 Jun16 May10 Apr07   (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 118 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
STREET LASS Sep16 Jun08 May24 May03 Apr07 (stanoszek sa)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 30.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
 
MNR-4   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENZOEXPRESS Sep16 Aug19 Jul31 Jul15 Apr30 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 10.00    
TIMBERRY TIDDLER Aug21 Jul24 Jul03 Jun03 May13 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 5.00    
YOU ARE AWESOME Aug14 Jul31 Jul23 Jul16 Jul03 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 123 20.00    
SCR  SYNCLINES TRIP Sep16 Dec10       (kocijan marcus)BUSH V 123 30.00    
BROTHER SKYE Sep17 Sep01 Aug25 Jul14 Jun30 (langley c)WHITACRE B 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
BEYOND GONE Sep17 Jul30 Jun24 Jun04 Dec10 (zook w)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  UNYIELDING Sep17 Sep04 Jul07 Jun25 May28 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 5.00    
FOWL NATION Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jul30 Jul14 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
INDOCTRINATE Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 Jul15 Jun12 (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-5   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Sep12 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun22 (ortiz-)RODRIGUEZ A 110 2.50    
DUEL FUEL Sep18 Sep08 Aug20 Jul31 Jul23 (lopez-olm)HERNANDEZ H 120 10.00    
DEBDURITE Aug12 Jul21 Jul10 Jun25 May20 (ortiz-ruiz carme)WHITACRE B 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DISTORTED LIMITS Sep09 Jul14 Jun25 May07 Apr28 (cox craig)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
INDEFATIGABLE Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 Jul10 Jun23 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.00 32% 2.20    
TONALTALITARIAN Sep04 Aug16 Jul31 Jul13 Jul03 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 120 3.00    
ALMASHRIQ Sep23 Aug18 Jul27 Mar13 Feb25 (cordero-lope)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
 
MNR-6   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKHAMIAN Mar05 Jan15       (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
HIGH ROLLING DUDE Sep01 Aug04 Jul15 Jun18 May14 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00 5% 17.80    
SENSEI LAWRENCE Aug27 Aug12 Jun18 May28 May13 (bernardini p)AVILES YAN 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
PALACE KITTEN Sep04 Aug10 Jul25 Jun26 Jun07 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 3.00    
GAME BOY BENNY Sep10 Jun23 Jun02 May13 May06 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
KING ME Sep12 Aug24 Aug13 Jul27 Jun22 (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 120 12.00    
SCR  ITALIANO Feb19 Jan29 May06 Mar26 Mar05 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 15.00    
KOZY'S WILDCAT Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 Jun18 May27 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
MIGHTY ANGEL Sep04 Aug12 May29 May02 Sep06 (flick jul)HERNANDEZ H 120 10.00    
10  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Aug27 May28 May13 Nov22 May18 (poole a)WHITACRE B 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Sep17 Jun02 Apr30 Mar27 Mar06 (sanders melinda)TAPARA LUIS 120 6.00    
 
MNR-7   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WICKED WARRIOR Aug13 Jul15 Jun13 May15 Oct28 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 4.50    
COUTH Sep01 Jul15 Jun24 May19 May05 (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 120 6.00    
OPRY Jun18 May13 Apr08 Feb05 Jan08 (pease harry)YARANGA Y 120 15.00 14% 6.30    
INDIAN EMPIRE Sep04 Aug20 Aug04 Jul15 Jun09 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MR. WHO Sep14 Aug23 Apr11 Mar28 Feb29 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  O'CONNER SUNSET Aug23 Aug01 Jul08 Jun22 May21 (jones )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
YO VINNIE Aug20 May17 May04 Mar21 Feb23 (runco c)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
JOHN'S ROCK Aug24 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 Apr09 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 1.80 60% 0.70    
 
MNR-8   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOMP Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 (sipp k)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 7% 12.40    
MISS PLA Sep17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 May11 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 20.00    
SCR  RAG TOWN Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul23 May12 (brown t)WHITACRE B 123 20.00    
SCR  JANES HOPE Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 Oct25 Oct10 (meals loi)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00    
TEST YOUR FAITH Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 Jul16 (wade justi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
DANDY DAY Jul31 Jul15 Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 118 6.00    
VERACIOUS VERA Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 (snatchko a)VEGA L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
CASSOULET Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
QUEENS RIOT Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul03 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 12.00    
SCR  DEGAGE Sep23 Sep10       (murtough st)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 12.00    
SCR  KATNAPPING Sep12 Sep04 Aug17 Jun28 Jun12 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 123 20.00    
SCR  NOUVEAU RICHE Aug18 Jul21 Jun30 May18 Dec07 (corder)RODRIGUEZ A 108 1.40    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBERY Sep17 Aug20 Aug07 Jul31 Jul14 (sipp burton )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.