Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/2/5)-(6/5/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7)-(6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/7)-(6/9/7)-(5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (6/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/7)-(6/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/7)-(6/9/7)-(6/9/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/9/7)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/7)-(5/2/3)-(3/9/6/1) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/9/6/1)-(4/8/6/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-6   WIN (3/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/1)-(3/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/1)-(3/9/6/1)-(3/9/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/6/1)-(4/8/6/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6/1)-(4/8/6/10/1)-(6/7/12/14) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-7   WIN (4/8/6/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/10/1)-(4/8/6/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/10/1)-(4/8/6/10/1)-(4/8/6/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/6/10/1)-(6/7/12/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (6/7/12/14) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/12/14)-(6/7/12/14) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/12/14)-(6/7/12/14)-(6/7/12/14) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Aug20 Aug05 Jun17 May12 Mar22 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  GREATEST MOMENT Sep11 Feb14       (horrell do)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 8.00    
3  BELLA MORNING Aug29 Mar22 Mar06 Feb14 Dec27 (pittman b)BEALMEAR C 117 15.00    
4  C F V TU BRUTUS Sep11 Aug20 Aug08 Jul11 Jun12 (gonzalez agu)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CATHERINE BLAZE Aug20 Jun16 Jun08 Apr26 Mar29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 1.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SALLY BALI Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 Jun27 Jun07 (hamilton william)PARKER L 122 12.00    
7  KATERINA PETROVA Sep05 Nov01 Oct17 Oct03 Sep14 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
 
IND-2   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEARDROP TIARA Sep09 Aug02 Jul07     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  G'DAY LADY Sep12 Aug01       (west w)PARKER L 120 15.00 17% 5.00    
3  PRISON BOUND Sep09 Aug19 Jun26 May31   (meah m)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.50    
SCR  A MUST SEE Aug26 Jul20       (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 120 1.80    
5  SWEET DAYDREAM Sep09 Aug29 Jul15 Jun27 Jun04 (labra rogeli)RAMOS D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ELLIOTT MOON Sep09 Aug19 Jun27 May30 May10 (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
7  LOW KEY FLEX Jul13 May17       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
 
IND-3   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUT GLASS Sep13 Aug27 Jul03 Jun13 May20 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
2  JAMMING EDDY Sep15 Aug11 Jun15 May26 May11 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
3  NEOKING Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar27 Mar14 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 12.00    
4  IMPROBABLE STORY Sep18 Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 (king l)ELLIOTT JANE 122 4.00    
5  TALE OF FAME Aug20 Aug03 Jul12 Jun11 May29 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
6  TRIKITRAKI Sep03 Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 May30 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
7  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun04 May25 (bentler)DE CRUZ 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-4   09/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARMING VICTORY Sep06 Aug15 Jul30 Jul13 Jun19 (holden j)MOJICA O 124 15.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of CHARMED FER SURE by ECKELSON)
SCR  COLOR OF VICTORY Sep05 Aug14 Jul29 Jul15 Jun06 (holden jay)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 30.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of NORTHWEST BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  PUNK (ARG) Sep06 Aug15 Jul31 Jul13 Jun19 (short ricky )MONCADA IRVING 113 20.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of I GOT IT by MORE THAN READY)
4  BIGLEY HUGE Sep06 Aug15 Aug05 Jul10 Jun13 (richardville t)SANJUR SANTO 124 12.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of INCREDIBLE JOURNEY by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  PORKYISMYNAME Sep06 Aug15 Jul30 Jul13 Sep06 (perez natasha)PARKER L 124 1.60    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of VERY BEST TRICK by ECKELSON)
6  GOVERNOR RON Sep06 Aug15 Jul10 Jun10 May21 (londono g)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by GENERAL A ROD out of CHALLENGE ACCEPTED by VIBANK)
7  STARSPANGLEDIMAGE Aug22 Oct04 Aug29 Aug03 Nov21 (brown andy)RAMOS D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of STARSPANGLEDDANCER by FLARE DANCER)
8  YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Sep11 Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 Jun13 (donjuan s)CORREA L 124 20.00    
  (by DOWSING out of SONATA SQUALL by DISCREET CAT)
9  U R NOT THE FATHER Sep06 Aug05 Jul11 Jun19 Jun04 (richardville )LEAHEY HANNAH 124 5.00 11% 7.70    
  (by NECK 'N NECK out of LEAD TIME by GILDED TIME)
 
IND-5   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S SMILES Jul29 Jul17 Jun26     (delacruz )BERMUDEZ E 115 10.00    
2  REALER Sep04         (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
3  ECHO DREAMER Aug01 Jul03 Jun12 May29 Apr30 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIRING FAST Aug21 Jul17 Jun12 Apr21   (maker m)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
5  WATCHER Sep06 Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 118 0.80 51% 0.90    
6  MOLLY'S AUSSIE Aug13 Jul18 Jun19 May16 Apr16 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 118 15.00    
SCR  JUST HANGIN ON Aug21 Jul31 Jun25 Jun12 Oct26 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 118 4.00    
 
IND-6   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($49.68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIWANAKU Sep12 Jul16 Jun15 May30 Apr25 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00 9% 10.40    
2  CHIRON Sep12 Aug25 Jul06 Jun08 Apr19 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00    
3  GENTLE SOUL Aug29 Jul14 Jun19 May27 Apr19 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  ALTAZOR (ARG) Aug29 Jul13 Jun13 Oct14 Aug31 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  TATANKA Sep07 Jul29 Jul06 May09 Apr07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00    
6  WOODCOURT Sep12 Jul30 Jul06 Apr21 Mar23 (contreras )VILLARREAL OSCAR 111 10.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  LEADING THE CHARGE Aug21 Jul25 Jun25 Aug24 Jul11 (dobbsjr r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00    
8  RED ROAD Aug03 Mar04 Feb05 Jun04 May06 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
9  GEWURZTRAMINER Sep12 Aug14 Jul02 Jun06 May23 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  RISK MANAGER Aug29 Jun19 May02 Mar23 Mar02 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
11  GO BALI GO Sep11 Aug20 Jul13 May31 Apr30 (nance jonathan)PARKER L 122 15.00    
 
IND-7   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINETEENFOURTYFIVE Aug17 Jul29       (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of RUN ALONG by RUN SOFTLY)
2  ROKA DURA Sep06 Aug22       (garcia isr)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of MY PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  NINE QUESTIONS Aug17         (granitz anthon)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ZIPSO FACTO by CITY ZIP)
4  EL JOVERO Sep06         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of AQUITAINE by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  AIR CHARGER Sep06         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 30.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of AIR ELLIE by LANGFUHR)
6  BOUT TREE FIDDY Sep11         (haran john)ROMAN A 120 15.00 7% 13.20    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of ATHENA BALLERINA by LION HEART)
7  COW CREEK KID Aug22 Jul29       (morrison mike)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 12.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SPELLCHICK by ALPHABET SOUP)
8  LOOKOUT KID Aug17         (langemeie)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SENACHER by INCLUDE)
9  SHEPPINATOR Sep06 Jul29       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PUNKY B by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  SIG FORTY FIVE Sep06 Jul29       (west m)PARKER L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RISOTTO by KRIS S.)
SCR  CANTARITO         (contreras ci)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of KENTUCKY GAL (IRE) by CHURCHILL)
 
IND-8   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEP ON IT Aug30 Jul29 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00    
SCR  HUMBLE WARRIOR Sep09 Aug22 Aug06 Jul11 Jun08 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
SCR  MERLIN'S MAGIC Aug22 Aug14 Sep14 Aug31   (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
SCR  FORT LOWELL Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jun22 Jun01 (hernandez )VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 30.00    
5  CELESTIAL JOY (GB) Sep09 Aug12 Jul19 Jul02 Jun12 (estvanko )CORREA L 118 8.00    
6  ONE LAST BID Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul04 Jun02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  RANSOMWARE Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jun20 May31 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  GROOM LAKE Sep09 Jul29 Jul02 Jun12 Mar27 (vosler eu)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
SCR  ON PALM SUNDAY Sep06 Aug19 Jul29 Jul02 Jun12 (horrell)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
SCR  CAUSE A RUCKUS Aug22 Jul29 Jun17 Jun05 Mar15 (gonzalez lil)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 20.00    
11  CHEESESTEAK Sep09 Jul31 Jul15 Apr25 Mar13 (horrell donald)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00    
12  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL Sep09 Aug07 Jul29 Jun12 May21 (meah anna)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
13  JUDO Sep23 Aug22 Jul28 Jun27 Feb28 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 122 15.00    
14  EGYPTIAN KING Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 Jul09 Mar21 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEFT POCKET MONEY Sep06 Aug26 Jul31 Jul06 Jun05 (pittman b)BEALMEAR C 117 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.