Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/2)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/2)-(4/5)-(4/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/2)-(9/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(9/3)-(3/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/1/6/3)-(9/1/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(3/1/5)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/1/2/6)-(6/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(6/1/7/5)-(8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/5)-(8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNYHUNGRY Aug18 Jul29 Jul21 Jul05 May26 (parker dona)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.00 7% 12.50    
SHOTGUN PRO Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jul20 Jul05 (royal madely)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DABOOM Aug22         (conto kevin)BUSH V 121 5.00    
COACH PETRO Sep12 Aug01 Jun06 Feb24 Jan27 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
MORE HOT SAUCE Aug15 Jul24 Mar07     (bush s)HESS SARA 116 6.00    
GHOST PRINCE Sep12 Aug04 Jul11 Mar21 Mar07 (quartarolo anthony )MCKEE J 121 3.50    
ROENICK Jul20 Jul03 Jun20 May23 May03 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
 
BTP-2   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKIE O'PRADO Sep03 Aug03 Jul11 Jun11 Sep13 (fosdick steve)MCKEE J 123 4.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN CHROME Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 Jul27 Jul08 (mauro julia)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 8.00    
SCR  SHAMMAH Sep12 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun06 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.50    
WAY TOO FAST Aug24 Jun29 May16 Apr24   (morey william)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
D' PISTOL Aug10 Jul17 Jun15 May15 Apr16 (cowans d)MURGIA A 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
HAP'S VICTORY Sep07 Jun18 May03 Feb04 Jan13 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.00    
 
BTP-3   09/26/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE LA CALLES Sep07 Aug27 May27 Apr22   (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 2.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TEQUILITA by UNION RAGS)
ANNA'S KID Sep07 Aug03       (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of KID ROCKETTE by LEMON DROP KID)
KALAHARI KING Aug13 Jul10       (sims a)AVILA LUIS 121 5.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
QUEBRANCHO Sep12 Aug26 Jul13 Jun19 May26 (bahena ismae)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.50 67% 0.50    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of OCEAN BERTIE by POSSE)
OATHBREAKER Aug15 Jul24 Jun28 Jun06 Apr25 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 121 4.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of GOOD TO KNOW by CANDY RIDE)
ONORE Aug15 Oct25 Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.50    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
 
BTP-4   09/26/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDLESS FASHION         (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 4.50    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of ALWAYS SWEET by SIMPLY MAJESTIC)
CERTAIN VICTOR E Sep12 Aug26 Jun26     (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ELKE by DIXIE UNION)
CALCETINES Aug29 Jun29 Jun04 May27 May02 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MEAN MAGGIE MAY by MALIBU MOON)
BETTER HAVE CASH         (alessi james)HESS SARA 116 6.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BLAZING BELLA by YONAGUSKA)
SAN LINO         (chapman ja)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 6.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BALLADE'S GIRL by SAINT BALLADO)
MISS KENZIE Sep10 Aug29       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 4.00    
  (by CUPID out of DAME WICKED by STORMELLO)
SCR  KUKU Sep08 Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (chapman k)MOJICA JR 121 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPICE DROP by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  TRUE COMPANION Sep14 Jul17 Jul04 Jun15   (dailey ronald)OUZTS W 121 12.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PARTING SHOT by TRAPPE SHOT)
ISLAND RIDE Aug12 Jul21 Jun16 Apr07   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FREE BELIEF by JIMMY CREED)
 
BTP-5   09/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 118 3.50 6% 17.00    
SCR  NIXA Sep12 Aug19 Aug01 Nov14 Oct24 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 6.00    
HONEYCOMB Sep07 May31 Jun11 Mar30 Feb23 (alessi jame)JIMENEZ J 122 2.50 70% 0.40    
OUR MAGIC PRINCESS Sep11 Aug23 Aug10 Jul22 Jun30 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 5.00    
SUBTLE SENORITA Aug28 Jul17 Jun22 Jun05 May22 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAY BALI Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 Apr28 Jul27 (manning john)HEBERT LINDSEY 122 10.00    
TOP HAT TIGRESS Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 Jul11 Jul05 (adams l)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.50    
LAST CHANCE DANCE Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00    
 
BTP-6   09/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BALI Sep14 Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 May31 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
GRAY DAY Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Jul31 Jul06 (evans michael )DOYLE SOPHIE 123 8.00 19% 4.20    
GOLDSTRIKER Aug22 Aug03 Jun27 Jun07 Oct31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 6.00    
GOT ZIP Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 May22 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 5.00    
DOUBLE AGENT Aug31 Aug02 Jul06 Jun20 May30 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
SAMURAI WAY Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 Jul06 Jun27 (barton e)SERPA ANGEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
LINO'S KID Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 Jun08 May22 (galloway khad)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
 
BTP-7   09/26/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANCHESTER Sep02 Aug19 Jul07 Jun20 May22 (bright derrick)JURADO EDDIE 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY Jun01 Mar22 Feb10 Jan02 Nov24 (reed r)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
KOBE BEACH Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 12.00    
ONE FOR MY BROTHER Sep19 Sep07 Aug16 Jul24 Nov20 (vosler eugene)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00    
SCR  VELOCIMO Sep06 Aug06 Jun22 Oct19 Sep25 (dunn d)MOJICA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
LEGAL TITAN Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 Jul17 Jun06 (haehn r)OUZTS W 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
PITCH DARK Aug19 Jul08 Nov14 Aug27 Aug02 (bright derrick)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 8.00 7% 13.20    
WOODY'S CHOICE Sep11 Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 Mar10 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50    
 
BTP-8   09/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS OPAL Aug29 Jul21 Jun30     (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
FLAT OUT FAY Aug23 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 124 8.00    
SCR  LATE BLOOMBOPPER Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun05 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  CAT ISLAND EXPRESS Sep16 Jul09 Jun22 Mar03   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 2.00    
LA CUERVA Feb11 Aug26       (oviedo jose)SOSA LAUREANO 124 8.00    
SCR  RUNNETH OVER Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Jun14 (bates l)BUSH V 124 12.00    
GAMBI Sep13 Aug24 Jul24 Jun22 Jul29 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
CORTADO Sep12 Aug15 Jul11 Jul05 Jun20 (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  MORE SPIRITS PLEEZ Aug19 Jul28       (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.